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Foreign tourist arrivals in Thailand could be 10 million below estimates

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10 hours ago, Iron Tongue said:

It's not over, if you think it's over, perhaps you should find a job working for the TAT.

Aside from China NOT getting back to normal beyond publicity events like Xi's, their factories are still far from getting into full operation as workers have not been convinced to travel back from their homes to the cities, and when they do get back to work, they won't have time for vacation as China is going to push production over leisure. 

Plus, if China is fired-up, why are oil prices going down?  (yeah, yeah Saudis & Russians, but their oil war was originally meant to raise prices)

Plus, covid-19 is at pandemic levels now and has affected the global economy.  Italy is shut down, so is most of South Korea, maybe soon Japan, France and the USA, remainder of EU.

Even if covid-19 ends (12-18 months for vaccine), nobody will have any money nor vacation time left to travel.

 

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  • Given the TAT always puts a positive spin on things, I'd expect the drop to be much larger than 10 million.

  • TAT are probably the only organisation in the world that believe this. Three weeks?   Always the optimists.

  • i never said that.

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On 3/11/2020 at 3:04 AM, daveAustin said:

10mil is about right, which is around 50% right... true figures have never been much more than 20mil.

In my working life in Tourism.it is impossible ever to quantify correct, accurate data,.... Tourism data and revenue is a feel good factor where each individual business involved has their own methodologies and they are never going to disclose this sensitive information to anyone...... because it is not mandatory!????????

 

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