Leading Thai doctor tells the public: STAY HOME, fears there could be 350,000 COVID-19 cases

[Matzzon]

17 minutes ago, stouricks said:

Do you not mean if Thais (no apostrophe) and farangs DO ADHERE to the lockdown, there will be fewer drivers, cars etc.

Who is the moron now.

That´s right. Give him a dose of his own medicine.

[khunpa]

How is it possible to stay home, when you have to do 90 day reporting?

 

 

[phantomfiddler]

But everyone cannot stay at home all the time, at some point someone has to realize this "cure" is worse than the disease !

[Aussie999]

Just now, phantomfiddler said:

But everyone cannot stay at home all the time, at some point someone has to realize this "cure" is worse than the disease !

It's NOT a cure, the idea is to slow down the infection rate, in order for the hospital/health services to cope.

[Isaanbiker]

He admitted that the Thai authorities have been too slow to react. The best they could do was restrict the rise. 

 

That's cool. So we can send it back to Wuhan?

 

 

[morrobay]

15 hours ago, Lodestone said:

 

Hmmm. If I start with today's (Mar 24) number of 827 infections and increase it daily by 20%, on Apr 15 I get 827*(1.2)^22 = 45,655.k

 

Edit: 439.61*(1.2)^22 = 24,269. So how's he calculating this?

I like your first work up because that's about what I got from the solution to the differential equation dy/dt =ky: y(t) =y(0)e^kt. Then with k=.118 that I previously calculated  y(85) = 2e^.118(85) = 45394 cases on April 15. From the 2 cases on Jan 21. 

 

[from the home of CC]

19 hours ago, Jimbo2014 said:

The problem is that all countries are now ruled by incompetent oligarchs who didnt have to sit through maths class when we learnt exponential change ????

Dr. Campbell said on the pod last night the Ro # is around 2.5 so far (countries vary) -  one covid carrier will infect 2.5 people, don't have to be a mathematician to figure out we're in trouble especially with social distancing being so hit and miss among people..

[Jane Dough]

On 3/24/2020 at 10:18 AM, BobbyL said:

It keeps being urged, but it isn't being implemented.

 

Thailand has had the luxury of a very slow increase in cases from late Jan - now, yet have done nothing to prepare for this inevitable rise. The rules won't be followed without proper enforcement, however most things of any real importance in Thailand aren't properly enforced. 

The state of emergency will change all that. I have been here for several and they don't mess around.

 

Stay home.

 

Rooster

[Caldera]

Yet another quack who tries his hand at maths - and fails.

 

[metisdead]

Off topic posts trolling about road deaths have been removed as well as the inflammatory replies. 

[Teee]

Feel free to pass info onto all people thai and farang

[Krataiboy]

Wonder where the doc hung the hat he plucked these Grimm's fairytale figures from?

[rtco]

23 hours ago, Aussie999 said:

Learn what "racism" is before commenting.... stating facts is NOT racism.

Who said anything about racism?

[burgdawg]

...interesting podcast here. Research suggests that population where various forms of malaria are present have a built-in immunity to coronavirus.