Should read..

32 million not expected to return. 

Be Honest …. Oh Wait … It’s TAT 5555555555555

Those tourists that do come are going to be hugely disappointed. Rows of shops with their shutters down and other closed down facilities don't really contribute to a happy holiday experience.

 

On my recent visit I was very surpised to see a previously very busy 7/11 had closed down. Even more of a shock was to see that The Dynasty Hotel on Sukhumvit Soi 4, otherwise known as 'Mongering Central' was closed  - permanently or temporarily I know not but that's a real barometer of the current situation for one group of tourists.

58 minutes ago, aussiexpat said:

Your answer is in the OP, 444,000 came in first 3  months and they project 341,000 in the 2nd Quarter.

 

So that's 785,000 in first 6 months which leaves 7,215,000 to come in the last half of the year lol

Yes--and certainly not good that the second quarter numbers are expected to drop from the first quarter numbers.  Shouldn't they at least be increasing if they hope to hit 8 million?

Where are they getting the aircraft from to transport these visitors? Oh, I see. The same place they got the 8 million.

9 minutes ago, newnative said:

Yes--and certainly not good that the second quarter numbers are expected to drop from the first quarter numbers.  Shouldn't they at least be increasing if they hope to hit 8 million?

Well I understand Russia was the biggest visitor in first quarter so they had to adjust for that

"The relevant authourities will take into concideration the infection rate after Songran at their meeting on April 22" This will give them just a few days to know what the infection rate is, very clever guys in the Government. 

I long ago stopped reading anything about what TAT says. Life is too short to read the same fairytale over and over again. I suppose they have to go through the motions to remain in their job, but it's like being a weather forecaster - no matter how many times you get it wrong you're never fired.

Just keep those white busses filled with pendant followers away…

Just accept Thailand has no option but to cancel Thailand pass and open up as normal.

2 hours ago, blazes said:

I'm as sceptical as the next person on this thread, but at the same time, it seems reasonable to expect (IF they lift all Covid regulations) that something close to normal in the arrivals department will assert itself, no?

Doubtful, those who were looking for "winter sun " holidays have all been to Mexico and, more recently, Vietnam. The next big break is the summer holidays when it will be rainy season so that will reduce numbers. Thailand put itself behind the curve for tourists when it didn't follow the example of other countries and open up without restrictions. Add to that Anutin's announcement that bars and clubs still can't open as normal and they are just diving lower and lower beneath the curve. Vietnam is going to get all the tourist TAT is claiming will want to come here. Let's think:

• Go to Thailand - wear a mask pretty much everywhere. Pay for insurance that may/may not cover you if the arrival test shows you as positive and you end up in quarantine at a hospitel. Bars can only open as restaurants so you have to pay for overpriced food (those brown envelopes need stuffing somehow) just to have a beer in the afternoon. Nightclubs, gogo bars etc. all closed so evening entertainment is a meal out then back to the hotel and hope they have Netflix.
• Go to Vietnam - no mask mandates, not testing, no enforced purchase of useless insurance. Bars open as normal, entertainment venues open.

Hmmm, hard choice......

Down from 30 or 40 million pre-pandemic.

8 Million people may possibly set foot on Thai soil this year.

But of those 8 Million only about 2 Million will actually stay and spend some Money.

Most of them will be transient through the Country on there way to other destinations or as a short stop over on a Long Haul

1 hour ago, simon43 said:

Here in Pattaya, there are row upon row of closed restaurants and massage shops and bars.  Do you think that these bankrupt businesses will suddenly come back to life? 

Not to forget the former employees. - My ex-girlfriend, just to name one example, was a successful administrator in an (outbound-) tourism business with a good salary. When the pandemic hit, the company folded and she was unemployed within a a few months (just doing cancellations by then). She decided to take over the family farm and get rich from growing vegetables. She's not going back to an office job...

a handfull of elderly aussie sex tourists if theyre lucky is the reality of the situation

1 hour ago, simon43 said:

There really is no reason why tourist numbers should return to pre-Covid19 levels.  The vast majority of tourist businesses have been destroyed by strict lockdown measures (both in Thailand and overseas).  Here in Pattaya, there are row upon row of closed restaurants and massage shops and bars.  Do you think that these bankrupt businesses will suddenly come back to life?  I think not, and no-one wants to holiday in something that resembles Aleppo...

Exactly, as a snowbird in Thailand since 1984, my last stay in Jan to March was quite depressing., I was never so glad to leave to spend 10 days in Bangkok, where there is at least a semblance of normal life . I won’t be back too soon. Seeing the state of the closed up beach villages and the poverty of the working class absolutely made me feel sorry I came. 

what type of crystal ball, tarot card reader or amulet he's using

5 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

Visions of grandure and delusions spring to mind.  When the year ends can I sue him in court for promoting false information....

You have more chances of being successful in suing Putin over the invasion of Ukraine. 

22 minutes ago, StayinThailand2much said:

Not to forget the former employees. - My ex-girlfriend, just to name one example, was a successful administrator in an (outbound-) tourism business with a good salary. When the pandemic hit, the company folded and she was unemployed within a a few months (just doing cancellations by then). She decided to take over the family farm and get rich from growing vegetables. She's not going back to an office job...

This is brilliant as there will always be a market for vegetables that can be exported. 

5 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

Visions of grandure and delusions spring to mind.  When the year ends can I sue him in court for promoting false information....

I forget what a tourist looks like, maybe I just don't get out enough?

Hmmm…. Maybe it’s a misprint and they meant 8000 international visitors?

Better order the 8 million ATK Test kits then, airfares have increased substantially £200/£300 from U.K. airports because of the Ukraine Russian conflict so that will put another spanner in the works.

31 minutes ago, vandeventer said:

I forget what a tourist looks like, maybe I just don't get out enough?

Saw 1 backpacker near Siam Paragon last Sunday. Must have been one of few tourists I've seen the past two years...

3 hours ago, Jimbo2014 said:

Fly to Thailand, PCR test on entry after spending 1-2 days of your holiday in a hotel jail, Wear a mask at the beach in 40 degree weather, put up with random bans and no nightlife.  Enjoy folks.

And statements like this have been barfed out endlessly by people who actually went on holidays in Thailand.  

It isn't worth it and if you think it is, you were dropped on your head as an infant.

Seriously, someone with far better math skills (it would not require much), please help me understand. 34 billion baht generated by 444,000 tourists. So, each one generated how much?

Edited April 11, 20224 yr by wwest5829

8 minutes ago, wwest5829 said:

Seriously, someone with far better math skills (it would not require much), please help me understand. 34 billion baht generated by 444,000 tourists. So, each one generated how much?

76,576 baht. Sounds reasonable for a two-week holiday.

Edited April 11, 20224 yr by StayinThailand2much

He has finger trouble. The space bar is immediately below "M". Common typo.

8 hours ago, mtls2005 said:

So that's an average of 27,750 per day, each and every day.

 

Current run rate is, let's say, 11,000 per day.

 

So they're counting on ~ 4 million all arriving on 31 December right?

 

you no unnersan thai math.

 

2 minutes ago, StayinThailand2much said:

77,272 baht. Sounds reasonable for a two-week holiday.

Yes, that does sound reasonable. I’ll be spending a bit more for this month on Koh Samui but then, .I live here and have a retirement budget to deal with as no earned income helps as it did earlier.

3 hours ago, jvs said:

How many will come from Russia to avoid the coming draft?

Can never have enough of the lovely Russian trash