By Arun Saronchai

When the dust settles on this election and the results are finalized, it may turn out that Pheu Thai and Move Forward are only separated by a few seats and a few thousand votes. However, if PT manages to surpass Move Forward in the final tally, even such a scenario would be a disastrous outcome for the team in red.

 

To put it simply, the fact that Move Forward and Pheu Thai are neck and neck signifies both a victory for Move Forward Party (MFP) and a failure on the part of Pheu Thai. Let’s not forget that Pheu Thai aligned with Palang Pracharath to change the election rules in favor of larger parties, aiming to diminish MFP’s chances. But that strategy did not succeed.

 

Now, the question is, where did Pheu Thai fail?

 

Pheu Thai’s failures (although the term is used loosely here, as PT will likely be either the most popular or second most popular party when all is said and done) can be attributed to three missteps.

 

The first misstep occurred when rumors emerged that PT would collaborate with the PPRP and Prawit Wongsuwan to form a government.

 

Full story: https://www.thaienquirer.com/49645/where-pheu-thai-failed-and-where-move-forward-capitalized/

 

-- © Copyright Thai Enquirer 2023-05-15

 

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7 minutes ago, webfact said:

 

Now, the question is, where did Pheu Thai fail?

change doesn't come when the same name keeps appearing over and over again. 

Which of the two will  be disbanded? MF likely candidates?

"and a few thousand votes." a few million more likely

I said some weeks back that PT would lose the youth vote. I'm guessing this is the case.

They will share governing therefore both are winners as are regular Thai people 

Good analysis. It also means that broadly the two camps, i.e. the older generation across the populace and the younger generation are set to join in a coalition. That can only be good for the country as it also sidelines the dinosaurs who've been trying to divide the country.

But to paraphrase Mao: It depends what the men with the guns say - and we've seen what they're happy to say in the past when their privileges and chokehold on the country came under threat. 'Soft' coups were the nicest things they said.

5 hours ago, webfact said:

Now, the question is, where did Pheu Thai fail?

Thaksins foot in the door... like a dodgy door to door salesman.

He should have kept out of politics this year.

4 hours ago, pegman said:

They will share governing therefore both are winners as are regular Thai people 

NO PT needed to be the leader.  It had it's winning reputation that it had to keep clean.  They can no longer say we have never lost an election that was fair.

 

Thaksin hurt the party.  To the faithful, he is next to god.  But there are a lot of young people that only know what they have read along with the fact that anytime he has been involved, there has been a Coup.

 

PT had their base in the north and felt that they could ride it.  No one until it was too late really thought MFP would sweep Bangkok.

 

Bringing back Thaksin is no longer in the cards.  All the promises that they made are gone.  They showed with their willingness to form a government with Prawit that they are not the anti-military group that they stated.

 

Will they further show their hand by using the courts to gain favor at the risk of losing even more support?

 

 

Whatever the outcome may be in the end, the results imho show clearly that the influence of the Shinawatra clan in Thailand's politics is declining.

Edited May 15, 20233 yr by JustAnotherHun

Always been a northern party. Bkk plus south vote other. 1st or 2nd is better than 5th.

PT need a new strategy; anything other than the continued use of Thaksins money and the Shinawatra name used decade after decade of Elections.   I live in the North and talk to many Northern Thai Families and with few exceptions they all say the same as i do.  The young however want a complete seachange and yesterdays results show that quite clearly.

I find it almost funny to read articles like this not even a day after the unofficial results.

Where does all this knowledge come from?

With how many voters in how many locations did you talk?

How many surveys all over the country did you analyze?

Or was it more like: I talked with my collogues and we all think the same? We obviously didn't include those others with those strange opinions.

25 minutes ago, JustAnotherHun said:

Whatever the outcome may be in the end, the results imho show clearly that the influence of the Shinawatra clan in Thailand's politics is declining.

Isn't that a real shame ????

Lets hope PT don't start up their old tricks and start trying to push their agenda, we know what happened the last two times.