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Poll: Predict the outcome of the U.S. presidential election (electoral college and after)

Jingthing

By Jingthing
in Political Soapbox

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Predict the outcome of the U.S. presidential election (electoral college and after)  

22 members have voted

  1. 1. U.S. Election Prediction Poll

    • Harris will win the electoral college vote by a LANDSLIDE and be sworn into office January 20
      2
    • Harris will win the electoral college vote by a slim or moderate margin and be sworn into office January 20
      9
    • Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway and Trump will be sworn in January 20
      1
    • Trump will win the electoral college vote by a LANDSLIDE and be sworn into office January 20
      2
    • Trump will win the electoral college vote by a slim or moderate margin and be sworn into office January 20
      3
    • Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
      0

This poll is closed to new votes

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  • Poll closed on 10/31/2024 at 04:59 PM

Recommended Posts

  • Popular Post
NickyLouie Silver Member

NickyLouie

Posted
  • Popular Post
Posted
6 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

Sure he has, in Cloudcuckooland.

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

  • Haha 6
Jingthing Legendary Member

Jingthing

Posted
  • Author
Posted
Just now, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

Then I'm 0 for 2.

Jingthing Legendary Member

Jingthing

Posted
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, CallumWK said:

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

How does it have an agenda?
It's fully balanced between both sides.

I fear your prediction might come true and it certainly could. 

  • Like 1
CallumWK Gold Member

CallumWK

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

How does it have an agenda?
It's fully balanced between both sides.

I fear your prediction might come true and it certainly could. 

 

Of course not adding the same option to the other part of the poll would have made it too obvious, but everyone on this forum knows for ages already about your anti-trump agenda in every political sided post you make

  • Haha 1
  • Agree 1
Jingthing Legendary Member

Jingthing

Posted
  • Author
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, CallumWK said:

 

Of course not adding the same option to the other part of the poll would have made it too obvious, but everyone on this forum knows for ages already about your anti-trump agenda in every political sided post you make

Irrelevant but it is a FACT that Trump tried to overturn the last election and also that he's setting the stage for the same sort of effort this time if he loses the electoral vote.

But this POLL itself is objectively really neutral.

How you or anyone else feels about what I think about Trump is totally irrelevant. Why would that impact anyone's choice in this poll?!?

Again, I'm asking people to make their PREDICTION, not their preference.

 

Edited by Jingthing
  • Like 2
  • Popular Post
Cryingdick Platinum Member

Cryingdick

Posted
  • Popular Post
Posted

I already started a thread on this. It seems JT wants us to choose from his custom set of polling options. I am not doing that but here is my best guess on the electoral college which is the only thing that matters.

 

I have it scored 287 GOP 251DFL. That's giving Kamala Nevada and Pennsylvania and the others MI, WI GA and NC to Trump. 

  • Haha 3
  • Popular Post
BLMFem Newbie

BLMFem

Posted
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, CallumWK said:

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

So committing treason again? Time for him to get bent over a barrel then.

Edited by BLMFem
  • Like 2
  • Sad 2
  • Love It 1
Smokin Joe Silver Member

Smokin Joe

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, BLMFem said:

So committing treason again? Time for him to get put up against a wall then.

You read that wrong. It said :

 

  • Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
     
    0
  • Haha 1
BLMFem Newbie

BLMFem

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, Smokin Joe said:

You read that wrong. It said :

 

  • Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
     
    0

No I did not but my recommendation wouldn't have changed anyway.

Danderman123 Star Member

Danderman123

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Smokin Joe said:

You read that wrong. It said :

 

  • Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
     
    0

You have an active fantasy life.

  • Like 1
  • Thumbs Up 1
Danderman123 Star Member

Danderman123

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

I already started a thread on this. It seems JT wants us to choose from his custom set of polling options. I am not doing that but here is my best guess on the electoral college which is the only thing that matters.

 

I have it scored 287 GOP 251DFL. That's giving Kamala Nevada and Pennsylvania and the others MI, WI GA and NC to Trump. 

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

  • Like 1
Danderman123 Star Member

Danderman123

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

What kind of nut job are you?

 

Politics isn't a religion.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Cryingdick Platinum Member

Cryingdick

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

 

At least I made my prediction without a slew of senseless trolling. 

Patong2021 Gold Member

Patong2021

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

 

Please do not equate Trump to Jesus Christ. The statement is offensive to  Christians. You obviously have not studied the teachings of the Christian faith. Have some respect for others please.

  • Like 1
  • Agree 1
Patong2021 Gold Member

Patong2021

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

Danderman123 Star Member

Danderman123

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

We haven't seen any references to polling from Trumpers since @illisdean was posting polls four months ago.

  • Like 1
Danderman123 Star Member

Danderman123

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

The NY Times poll today has Trump down by four in Pennsylvania.

  • Like 1
herfiehandbag Diamond Member

herfiehandbag

Posted
Posted (edited)

I suspect option 3.

 

Harris will win the electoral college by a slim margin, and the popular vote "bigly" as one might say. There will follow an absolute blizzard of litigation designed to push the electoral process beyond various deadlines, leading to a demands for a "contingent election" and if that doesn't work out for him an urgent appeal to the Supreme Court.

Edited by herfiehandbag
  • Like 1
  • Thumbs Up 1
illisdean Gold Member

illisdean

Posted
Posted (edited)

RCP average in battleground state PA. Trump leads all swing states now except for MAYBE Nevada so should Trump prevail (as he should) in all the safe sunbelt states he will need only one rust belt state (WI, MI, PA) for the victory and Kamala needs all the rust belt states which she is now losing in all of them. Pay attention to AtlasIntel polling as they were by far the most accurate pollsters in the 2020 election. In 2020 Biden held a 4.7 point lead over Trump and won PA by only 1.1 points showing Trump consistently over-performs in most of the polling results. Unless Kamala leads by more than 3 to 4 points she will lose. Bye bye cackle queen.

 

PA_TrumpvHarris.thumb.jpg.945475f5a1cfac2dd9a8a392f053e04a.jpg

 

 

Edited by illisdean
  • Thanks 1
bunnydrops Gold Member

bunnydrops

Posted
Posted

I didn't take part in this Poll. Still to close to call. One thing of interest that I have seen in the polls is that when the pollsters do both the LV (likely voters) and the RV ( registered voters) simultaneously, Trump wins by +1 in the LV but Harris wins by +2 or more in the RV poll. The LV polls only count voters who voted in the last two national elections, whereas the RV includes registered voters who are first-time voters who were too young to vote before and voters who did not vote in the last two elections. The turnout will mean a lot this time around.

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