The Conservative Party has edged ahead of Labour in the latest voter opinion poll, showing a shift in public support following the appointment of Kemi Badenoch as party leader. According to a survey by the research group More in Common, the Conservatives now hold a two-point lead, with 29% of voters supporting them compared to Labour’s 27%—their strongest lead since Labour’s sweeping general election win in July. This survey positions Reform UK in third place with 19%, followed by the Liberal Democrats with 11%, and the Greens with 8%.

 

A previous poll by BMG Research at the end of October had also shown the Conservatives slightly ahead, suggesting that recent changes in the political landscape have impacted public opinion. One of the main reasons for this shift appears to be the sharp drop in Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s popularity. Since its peak in early August, his approval rating has declined by nearly 40 points. In contrast, Badenoch holds a net approval rating of -3, significantly higher than Starmer’s -25, although many voters still report being unfamiliar with her leadership style and approach.

 

Some of Labour's recent policy choices may also be contributing to this decline. Polling experts cite controversies such as the party’s decision to cut the winter fuel allowance and debates over the distribution of “freebies” as factors undermining Labour’s standing with voters. One of Labour’s most criticized proposals—the plan to impose inheritance tax on farmland valued at over £1 million—has stirred widespread disapproval, with nearly six in 10 voters opposing the measure, according to More in Common. These issues seem to be chipping away at Labour's initial support, allowing the Conservatives to regain ground.

 

Luke Tryl, UK director of More in Common, attributes Labour's recent drop in popularity to what he describes as perceived “missteps” by the party. He notes that Badenoch’s leadership has encouraged voters to envision a viable alternative, thus benefiting the Conservatives. “We know that things like the cuts to the winter fuel allowance had an impact on [Labour’s] standing, similar to the row over freebies. That’s now translating into a boost for the Tories because they now have a leader. There’s a leader people can imagine voting for,” Tryl explained. This perception of a fresh start under Badenoch appears to have spurred a positive shift in voter sentiment toward the Conservatives.

 

Reflecting on the impact of Badenoch’s appointment, Tryl highlighted that her leadership has allowed the party to distinguish itself from its previous administration. For comparison, Rishi Sunak, the outgoing prime minister, had a net approval rating of -35 when he resigned. Badenoch’s perceived difference from past leadership has helped shape the Tories' improved polling performance.

 

Tryl also commented on the broader political environment, noting that voters today are more volatile and less inclined to give extended "honeymoon periods" to new leaders. “People think there’s been mistakes. We have a much more volatile electorate, and people are impatient. The era of long honeymoons is over,” he remarked. This heightened scrutiny on leadership changes means that while Labour initially enjoyed strong support, Badenoch’s fresh approach and Labour's recent setbacks have shifted the balance back toward the Conservatives.

 

Based on a report by Daily Telegraph 2024-11-14

 

 

 

It's like a choice between dog <deleted> or cat <deleted>

 

Hopefully Farage isn't a fake and pulls finger soon as neither the CONtories or LIEbour are fit for purpose

 

 

 

Early days.  Labour don't care about being unpopular and with Bad Enoch and Farage opposing them, there's no reason why they should be.  In 2 years time, when the Tories have an electable leader and Farage has imploded (or taken down the Tories completely), Labour will start preparing for an election.  

Well, that was a quick turnaround. Probably meaningless though, given 4 or more years to the next election ...

 

And even if Bad Enoch turns out to be Pretty Good Enoch, the Conservatives could do with several years to reform themselves & decide what they actually want to stand for (eg 'rightwing' vs 'conservative').

8 hours ago, BruceWayne said:

It's like a choice between dog <deleted> or cat <deleted>

 

Hopefully Farage isn't a fake and pulls finger soon as neither the CONtories or LIEbour are fit for purpose

 

 

 

Your hope will be dashed.

 

Farage is a fake.

 

4 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Your hope will be dashed.

 

Just like Kamala was going to win the US election? 😄

There's a possibility of a by-election in the not too distant future, if MP Amesbury is convicted. I believe his majority was over 14000.

 

That by-election will be a good insight as to how people are thinking.

 

If the electorate are working people or pensioners, very likely, maybe with a splattering of farmers, business owners and people classed as non working people because they have a few quid in the bank, Labour could be in trouble.

33 minutes ago, youreavinalaff said:

There's a possibility of a by-election in the not too distant future, if MP Amesbury is convicted. I believe his majority was over 14000.

 

That by-election will be a good insight as to how people are thinking.

 

If the electorate are working people or pensioners, very likely, maybe with a splattering of farmers, business owners and people classed as non working people because they have a few quid in the bank, Labour could be in trouble.

I don't think losing one seat when they have a huge majority will be much trouble!

2 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Your hope will be dashed.

 

Farage is a fake.

 

 

So is Starmer and Angela Raynor - seen here seeing clinging to the arm of top buy to let American lew Larry Fink (formerly Finkelstien)

 

They're ALL <deleted> fakes - inc the ones on yr side <deleted> izen Smith 

 

 

2 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

I don't think losing one seat when they have a huge majority will be much trouble!

 

'Huge majoirity' LOLs

Only public sector workers looking for a pay rise actually voted.

 

Vast majority stayed home but ARE watching

1 minute ago, BruceWayne said:

 

'Huge majoirity' LOLs

Only public sector workers looking for a pay rise actually voted.

 

Vast majority stayed home but ARE watching

True, the first-past-the-post system is indefensible.  But it suits both Tories and Labour.  Reducing the Labour majority from 156 to 155 will not worry them.

3 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Your hope will be dashed.

 

Farage is a fake.

 

Agreed, same as Trump, a salesman, gift of the gab..............

40 minutes ago, youreavinalaff said:

There's a possibility of a by-election in the not too distant future, if MP Amesbury is convicted. I believe his majority was over 14000.

 

That by-election will be a good insight as to how people are thinking.

 

If the electorate are working people or pensioners, very likely, maybe with a splattering of farmers, business owners and people classed as non working people because they have a few quid in the bank, Labour could be in trouble.

One by-election,  Labour in trouble?

8 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

I don't think losing one seat when they have a huge majority will be much trouble!

It was deemed so on this forum, by the usual suspects, when the Conservatives lost a by-election.

 

When I said "Labour could be in trouble" I was referring to the by-election. The subject of my comment. 

Edited November 14, 20241 yr by youreavinalaff

Just now, Chomper Higgot said:

One by-election,  Labour in trouble?

In the by-election. The subject of my comment. 

8 minutes ago, youreavinalaff said:

In the by-election. The subject of my comment. 

And at best speculation.

 

 

16 minutes ago, BruceWayne said:

 

So is Starmer and Angela Raynor - seen here seeing clinging to the arm of top buy to let American lew Larry Fink (formerly Finkelstien)

 

They're ALL <deleted> fakes - inc the ones on yr side <deleted> izen Smith 

 

 

 

On the prowl for her 4th baby daddy. 

I feel sorry for british people.

They are really led by corrupted incompetent a55holes left and right.

What a total pathetic shipwreck...

1 minute ago, ModdaPunk said:

I feel sorry for british people.

They are really led by corrupted incompetent a55holes left and right.

What a total pathetic shipwreck...

 

   Why is Badenoch corrupt ?

5 minutes ago, ModdaPunk said:

I feel sorry for british people.

They are really led by corrupted incompetent a55holes left and right.

What a total pathetic shipwreck...

And yours, isn't.......................😂

4 minutes ago, transam said:

And yours, isn't.......................😂

 

Here we go again.

Mister Low Self-Esteem feels the need to show all of us he exists.

Pathetic...

16 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

And at best speculation.

 

 

We all speculate. Some people (no names mentioned) even speculated that Kamala would win 

Just now, ModdaPunk said:

 

Here we go again.

Mister Low Self-Esteem feels the need to show all of us he exists.

Pathetic...

I don't need to show anything, it is you that is trying hardest to show something, whatever that is...

 

Come back to me when you've been here for at least 12 months, not years, months........😂

15 minutes ago, transam said:

I don't need to show anything, it is you that is trying hardest to show something

 

Welcome at Transam's Kindergarten...

"No it's you because it's not me because it's you"

Pull my middle finger already and take a good whiff of it.

My god, bro...

 

3 minutes ago, ModdaPunk said:

 

Welcome at Transam's Kindergarten...

"No it's you because it's not me because it's you"

Pull my middle finger already and take a good whiff of it.

My god, bro...

 

 

  You are squabbling with him though  , you are both the same 

2 minutes ago, ModdaPunk said:

 

Welcome at Transam's Kindergarten...

"No it's you because it's not me because it's you"

Pull my middle finger already and take a good whiff of it.

My god, bro...

 

Oh, you're still here, and pleased you've been away having fun with your digit..........😘

41 minutes ago, Nick Carter icp said:

 

   Why is Badenoch corrupt ?

Maybe he was referring to Boris?

10 minutes ago, ModdaPunk said:

Pull my middle finger already and take a good whiff of it.

Why?

Has it been up your @rse looking for your brains?

1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:

One by-election,  Labour in trouble?

 

Hey Citizen <deleted> ff , I'm in England and since the pensioners fuel thing and the budget, and smearing whites concerned about unlimited gimmigration  'The Far Right' 

- EVERYONE hates Starmer and by extension Labour.

 

As noted previously, it was like a choive between dog <deleted> and cat <deleted> hence barely anyone bothered voting

 

Anecdotal but still...

 

 

 

 

 

7 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

Maybe he was referring to Boris?

 

 

Badenoch as been put there to permanently split the conservative vote imho -

The puppetmasters want to ensure the Marxist Agent Staliner further destroys the middle class and make the UK lords and serfs again - hence Rayner cosying up to Black Rock's Larry Fink

 

(Fink's Black Rock are currently buying up (BTLing) unprecendednted numbers of family homes in the US and obvs plans to do the same in the UK WITH Liebore's help)

 

Hence UK will soon be lords and serfs again.