Correlation is not causation, but your MO is generally to pretend correlation is causation every chance you get. Almost half of murders in the US go unsolved, the average time a convict spends on death row in the US prior to execution is over 20 years, and less than one in six convicts that are condemned to death are ultimately executed. That does not send much of a message that if you kill you will die. Now you say it is not possible to prove either way, but before you stated: "Well the evidence clearly shows that the death penalty is no deterrent whatsoever", so which is it? It is possible to prove either way. If littering were punishable by death, would fewer people litter? Virtually every inmate on death row it fighting to get life in prison. Is that not an indication that death is worse than life in prison? To be clear, I am against the death penalty, but to pretend it in not a deterrent is insanity.
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