Hello! “Insider trading” in the traditional sense doesn’t really translate well to sports prediction markets. For a World Cup match, almost all relevant information (team form, injuries, lineups, odds movement) is either public or rapidly reflected in pricing. To have real insider advantage, you’d need non-public, outcome-changing information that the market cannot infer — which is extremely rare, tightly controlled, and difficult to monetize consistently. What often looks like “insider trading” is usually a combination of statistical modeling, correlated signals, or multiple accounts managed by the same trader or group.