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Thai central bank holds rates as economy shows signs of life


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Thai central bank holds rates as economy shows signs of life

BANGKOK, August 6, 2014 (AFP) - Thailand's central bank held its key interest rate Wednesday as the kingdom's economy showed signs of revival after an army coup ended months of political protest which rattled consumers, tourists and investors.


The Bank of Thailand kept its policy rate at 2.00 percent, a level set in March in an effort to boost an economy which shrank 2.1 percent quarter-on-quarter in the first three months of 2014.

The economy had since shown "signs of improvements... from private spending following the political resolution," said Paiboon Kittisrikangwan, Secretary of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).

Explaining the decision, he said the bank expected stronger domestic demand in the second half of the year as "fiscal policy, particularly public investment, should lend further growth recovery" while exports including tourism are also expected to recover, albeit slowly.

It was the bank's second monetary policy decision since the army toppled a civilian government whose spending plans were hamstrung by months of political turmoil.

Thailand's army seized power from the elected government on May 22, pledging to galvanise the kingdom's stuttering economy.

It has promised to make swift decisions on much-needed major infrastructure projects and has moved to reassure tourists the kingdom is once again safe to visit after violence linked to the protests claimed nearly 30 lives and wounded hundreds more.

An appointed national assembly will be convened for the first time tomorrow, opening the way for the selection of a new prime minister who will marshall economic policy.

Analysts said the bank's expected rate hold reflected fragile economic gains since the army power grab.

"With the economy still in a delicate state, the Bank of Thailand will be keen to keep rates low," Capital Economics said in a briefing note.

"But as the economy gains a stronger footing in 2015, supported by public spending, we expect the BoT to gradually tighten monetary policy."

[afp]2014-08-06[/afp]

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Increase in gross GDP is not enough to save the Thai economy from further depression. The danger to the economy is unchecked government borrowing, unrelated foreign events that will adversely impact the economy, and economic decisions made by foreign nations that will devalue the baht and make it harder to meet its debt obligations. Given the low level of average annual income of the population and record high household debt, the nation cannot depend on domestic consumption to grow the economy. "Signs of llife" will not be enough for the economy.

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Increase in gross GDP is not enough to save the Thai economy from further depression. The danger to the economy is unchecked government borrowing, unrelated foreign events that will adversely impact the economy, and economic decisions made by foreign nations that will devalue the baht and make it harder to meet its debt obligations. Given the low level of average annual income of the population and record high household debt, the nation cannot depend on domestic consumption to grow the economy. "Signs of llife" will not be enough for the economy.

 

What depression?  Link please.  What foreign nations will devalue the baht?  Iink please. 
What low level of average income? 

List of Asian countries by GDP per capita

 

Thailand #16 out of 37

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