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eisfeld

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Everything posted by eisfeld

  1. Once the work is finished and the work permit cancelled, the permission of stay will also end rather quickly. A new visa / permission to stay (e.g. Tourist Visa) will be required to further remain in Thailand and travel.
  2. The intervals for most recent Honda bikes that I've seen are multiples of 6000km. So would be strange to have something be changed every 20000km. I just let them follow what the manual says. If I ride in an environment with elevated levels of dust or other polution then I cut the interval in half for the air filter. For oil (and filter) I'd only reduce the interval if I ride the thing hard frequently. It's a Honda and it's a Forza. I wouldn't worry too much and just follow the manual but if you want to err on the safe side just change them twice as frequently. It's not too expensive as others mentioned.
  3. The word unprecendented was refering to a sitting or former president being indicted of a crime and not the charges themselves. Of course other people have been indicted and convicted for similar things.
  4. Hm I'm not sure what "limit" you mean but if you are talking about the graviational pull at the EH then every black hole in the universe has the exact same amount of gravity on that sphere pretty much by definition because the event horizon is the point at which gravity is so strong that light can't escape anymore and that is a constant. Indeed, especially about whatever lies inside because as far as we know it's impossible to actually ever find out because no information from inside can be obtained from outside.
  5. It is not up to me to prove the case. It's the prosecution that will lay down the evidence to the jury. It is clear though they are sure they have enough evidence or the grand jury wouldn't have indicted Trump. The rest is up to the courts.
  6. Many people don't understand that it's not the hush money payments to the woman that are the issue. Those are not illegal. What is illegal and was done by Trump himself is the payments to his fixer Cohen that Trump disguised as payments for legal services that never existed and spread them out as monthly payments. This happened in 2016 during his first run. It was not disclosed what the charges are but they could be for example falsifying business records and campaign financing violations. We'll know soon.
  7. I'm pretty sure their strategy is to go slow but steady. First they brought charges against things in his vicinity and checked how that goes. The result was the conviction of the Trump Organization on 17 criminal charges and a few people around him. Now they are bringing criminal charges directly against him but starting with the smallest case. The hammer will fall later. It's a very delicate and unprecedented thing. They'll need to handle it carefully and strategically.
  8. It's straight from Trumps lawyers, in the NYT I linked to. Since you seem to follow Trump I'm pretty sure you know what Jack Smith was put in charge of.
  9. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/30/nyregion/trump-indictment-news The gloves are off I guess. This is the opening statement that they are indeed crossing that line and not just threatening. The first criminal charges in this case will be the test for how everyone reacts. The more serious stuff will then follow later.
  10. If you have a singularity then there can't be any speed inside. Speed is distance over time. You can't have distance within a singular point. Obviously black holes have incredible influence on the rest of the universe due to their graviational effects. I could be wrong but I think the idea is more that black holes "compress" space into a dense object which in turn stretches the rest of the space. And from the perspective of someone in the rest of space that could look like space is expanding.
  11. The idea of extracting energy from black holes was postulated by Sir Roger Penrose in the early 70s. The idea is to extract energy that the black hole would lose in its angular momentum. It's a very fascinating thought experiment. I don't think though that it's a good idea to seek aliens there because for aliens to attempt to extract energy from black holes they surely first went through a phase development in which they extract energy from stars (e.g. dyson sphere) which should be much easier and should leave some detectable traces. Also if they have such a massive need for energy that they need to extract it from black holes it would mean big changes in the angular momentum of black holes which would massively affect the galaxy around it which the alians inhibit. Maybe not the best idea to mess with that one thing that keeps your galaxy stable ????
  12. The problem with this theory is that if the matter was removed from this dimension then the black hole would lose mass and would not be able to form a black hole anymore. So in order for the black hole to actually exist, its matter needs to exist in our dimensions. We find the opposite to that theory, they grow when sucking in matter. Plus Hawking famously postulated that they lose mass via Hawking Radiation to the outside slowly over time. Fun fact: no one actually can observe something truly falling into a black hole. You can just see it approaching it and then becoming slower and slower until it freezes as it is about to enter. Also fun fact: the ultramassive black hole described in this article is not the biggest one we've observed. That would be "TON 618" which is roughly 50% bigger still. And that one is approaching the current theorical maximum for the mass of a black hole because as they grow various effects slow down the growth and there has been only so many billion years since the big bang that they can have spent growing.
  13. I think what you posted is important information for anyone who might fall into that situation. The problem I see is twofold: 1. Immigration officers have a lot of power and leeway. They can deny you entry if they feel like and it's really hard to break through that once they decide against you. Even if you have a valid visa/re-entry permit. There is no well working backpressure mechanism. The only hope you have is that a more senior officer will look at the case and overrule the lower officer but they usually stick together. Happened once to me though. Lower officer had a bad day or whatever and tried to deny me with no reason. Senior officer looked 10 seconds at the passport and told him to let me in. That lower officer was visibly not happy about it. There is the TM11 route but that is going to take a long time and virtually no one does that. 2. There are from time to time orders from higher ranks of immigration to do a crackdown targeting ED visa abusers. During those times immigration officers can give people that are on this type of visa a really hard time even if everything is above board. There is always collateral damage. The missing backpressure from the prior point combined with them getting positive points for having "caught" someone even if innocent puts this into overdrive.
  14. Click on the Baht (or whatever currency) icon at the top. Then choose "Total price per night".
  15. You are confusing who is the one that doesn't understand. I've worked on payment system integrations. I don't have to google how they work. You are the one googling and quoting sites without having the full picture ???? Of course they are making profits because the fees for collecting payments are priced in. Really not a difficult concept. In both the case of a credit card and a debit card the merchant gets paid by the payment provider with a delay in virtually all cases but usually in the order of days. Many times there is a reserve - rolling or not - put in place to cover the possibility of chargebacks. A chargeback can come sometimes months after the transaction and obviously the payment provider is not keeping the funds until that time has passed. What you are thinking about is the payer side of things. With a credit card the funds are not debited to you instantly but whenever you cover your debt to the card issuer. Even if you pay back your credit card debt 3 months later the merchant received the funds already a long time ago. That's the whole idea of credit: someone gets money faster than the payer spends.
  16. You might have better fraud protection or you might not. Depends on the card terms. I've done chargebacks through my bank two weeks after the fraudulent transaction and got the full amount refunded. What the article talks about is the minimum that is set by law in the US. That you result to a suggestion I had a bad credit rating even though you know jack sh*t about my finances shows you're talking out of your behind. Sorry to state it so bluntly. Again, sorry but you are the one talking baloney. Of course they have to factor in their cost of goods sold. Do you think the owner of a business just takes it out of his pocket? Incredibly naive. That's like thinking if something says free shipping that the company just pays for it and that's that. No, it's factored into the price. Same as taxes, production costs, marking expenses etc. pp.
  17. You can determine the card network (visa, mastercard) etc and that's what I see most sites auto-fill. Haven't noticed any that shows if it's debit or credit and anyways they might attempt a best guess via some heuristics but it wont be reliable. And the point was the claim that sites can't store credit card information compared to debit which isn't the case.
  18. Just by the number you can't reliably do so, no. Doubly so because these sites give you the option to save it before you even submit the form.
  19. That is simply not true. Sites can store credit cards just as they can debit cards. Most sites don't even know what type of card it is because you can't tell by the number. You offered no reasoning for why you think getting a refund on a debit card would be any less likely. A lot of people writing in this thread seem to have no idea how the card processing systems work but throw around claims.
  20. I also really don't like this practive but you can change that via a setting on the page.
  21. Of course not, why would Agoda care what kind of card you paid with to decide if they should refund you or not? Unfortunately credit cards increase the prices for everyone. Where do you think the cashback/points come from? The card networks charge a fee to the merchant who in turn has to increase the prices. And because the merchant either can't differentiate between debit and credit card or doesn't want to put different prices on different payment methods he just increases the average selling price. These credit card processing fees can be as high as 3-10%. I know because I've worked on the merchant side.
  22. I've done chargebacks on debit cards and paid $0. What you quoted is not a universal thing that applies to all debit cards. It depends on the terms of the card issuer. What you quoted is the minimum they have to offer in the US and is the same for debit or credit cards.
  23. You can do chargebacks with debit cards just as well. Debit cards are a bit safer in terms of fraud because you at least can't overdraft. They also don't work offline. It's very normal to book hotels from another country. I don't see a reason for you to eat it. Just do a chargeback once it has actually gone through. They have to prove you did the booking. I would assume soneone got access to your Agoda account. Better to reset the password and see if any other of your logins have been compromised as well.
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