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AlexRich

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Posts posted by AlexRich

  1. 45 minutes ago, Forethat said:

    Admitted to an Intensive Care Unit and being put on a ventilator are two different things. Glad that you have now googled that so you can admit your error. 

     

    He's still not on a ventilator.

    A medical specialist quoted in the Mirror said it was “highly likely” that he would end up on a ventilator. I’m guessing that those who require oxygen at this stage of the illness swiftly progress to ventilation. I wish him well but I don’t think this looks good.

    • Like 1
  2. 11 minutes ago, mikebell said:

    Indeed the numbers are surprisingly and exceptionally low.  Do we trust Anutin's figures?  He tends to report cases involving dirty farangs. 

     

    His numbers are an understatement for sure ... there are far more "dirty farangs" than he imagines, quite a few in Pattaya.

     

  3. I'm impressed by how serious some countries are taking this, and pleasantly surprised by the actions taken in Pattaya. The US is a disappointment. I thought that they would handle it very professionally. I read that a pandemic team were fired by the Trump Administration ... I wonder if the US would have been ahead of the curve if that had not happened?

    • Like 1
  4. 14 hours ago, scubascuba3 said:

    Yeah ride it out, maybe back to normal in 2 years. I guess the worse case scenario apart from getting corona is the locals go crazy

    Tosh. Common sense tells you that Thailand can not sustain this for more than a month ... the locals cannot survive much longer than that ... so the cost benefit analysis leads to them opening up commerce and inbound and outbound flights.

  5. I don’t think climate makes much difference. Countries like Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea and Hong Kong have more experience on epidemics and have learned a great deal from previous mistakes. So they are more on the ball than western countries ... although Germany and Norway have made a decent effort. Sweden will be an interesting case study after this is done and dusted. 

    • Like 2
  6. 9 hours ago, DavisH said:

    The distribution of infection is similar across age groups, but not many are infected less than 10 years old. There aren't many deaths in Thailand so far because the median is 34 y.o. One son got infected at the boxing match, took it home, and killed his elderly father. This is the problem we face. 

    Yes. And that’s why we need a support group around the vulnerable people. Isolate from the rest of society but taken care of with food and support. Until this virus clears.

  7. 27 minutes ago, Brewster67 said:

    I watched a video compilation of thais commenting on having their livelihoods removed and it is becoming clear that they would rather risk getting COVID-19 and take their chances than to starve to death.

    This is not a country’s that can survive long in lockdown. I suspect more people will die from lockdown than from covid-19.

     

    At some point every country will need to adjust their strategy. Put support groups around the vulnerable, but let everyone else get back to commerce. The younger people who get this will be in lower numbers, and a small % will need ventilators. A vaccine is not guaranteed, and will not protect everybody even if one is produced.

    • Like 2
  8. I’m reading a book about the 1918 pandemic. The author told the story of a man in Cape Town who jumped on a tram for a three mile travel home. On the journey the ticket collector collapsed and died along with three passengers, all in the space of a few minutes. He jumped off early and walked home. It was just influenza, but it was devastating.

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  9. 13 hours ago, Logosone said:

    "Whoever thinks that governments end viruses is wrong."

     

    Dr Yoram Lass is an Israeli physician, politician and former Director General of the Health Ministry. He also worked as Associate Dean of the Tel Aviv University Medical School.

     

    Thankfully the German health system was well prepared and is even able to take in patients from Italy and France as it has spare capacity. 

     

    So clearly this particular country had the hospitals and equipment and skilled manpower.

     

    Why not the UK or US? The point is that many reputable people warned a long time that a pandemic was coming. Governments failed to prepare. They should have. You think inreasing testing capacities would not have made a difference early on? It certainly would have.

     

    The governments have failed. Miserably. And the people who will end this virus will not be government. Even while Boris Johnson and Neil Ferguson, the biggest social distancing fanatics, espouse their social distancing religion for which there is no hard data that it works with Covid19 whatsoever, they are lying in bed nursing a Covid19 infection. They are fortunately contributing to herd immunity, however, the economic cost of their lockdowns will be payed for by our children's children. The governments have failed on all fronts.

    The Germans got their act together and tested. If they hadn’t they’d be having the same issues as other countries. So far Singapore, Taiwan and South Korea have done likewise, with good results. They all learned the lessons from previous outbreaks like SARS. 

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