Lacessit

I am quoting Peter Zeihan, a geopolitical author, on China's population. 1.5 degrees C increase had about a 66% chance of happening back in 2018. More recent reports now put the probability at 90%, forecast to occur in 2027. July has been the hottest average temperature on record. The hotter it gets, the more crises we will have. Who ever heard of Canada and Hawaii having bushfires of this scale before this year? I quote from the 2018 IPCC report: In order to achieve the 1.5 °C target, CO2 emissions must decline by 45% (relative to 2010 levels) by 2030, reaching net zero by around 2050. Deep reductions in non-CO2 emissions (such as nitrous oxide and methane) will also be required to limit warming to 1.5 °C. Under the pledges of the countries entering the Paris Accord, a sharp rise of 3.1 to 3.7 °C is still expected to occur by 2100. Holding this rise to 1.5 °C avoids the worst effects of a rise by even 2 °C. However, a warming of even 1.5 degrees will still result in large-scale drought, famine, heat stress, species die-off, loss of entire ecosystems, and loss of habitable land, throwing more than 100 million into poverty. Effects will be most drastic in arid regions including the Middle East and the Sahel in Africa, where fresh water will remain in some areas following a 1.5 °C rise in temperatures but are expected to dry up completely if the rise reaches 2 °C.[9][1][10] It's not what I believe, more what other scientists are saying. 91 authors from 40 different countries. I believe in the laws of thermodynamics. That is not a subject the average person is educated in, unfortunately. If they were, this thread would be superfluous.

According to you, quite well off. Modelling yourself on Trump, perhaps?

Please, go.

I like it, a departure from the usual ASEAN threads. Might even get the GG seal of approval.

You're saying the coppers don't know, but you do. Senior moment, thought it was bignok responding

LOL, Murdoch media is not? I seem to remember a $787 million dollar damages award that says otherwise.

Yes, dingoes do attack small kids. Where was that fact when Lindy Chamberlain was sentenced to life imprisonment without parole? Similar symptoms doesn't cut it. There are about 5 million cases of food poisoning in Australia every year. You've been watching too much Cal Lightman. How do you know shops don't sell dodgy mushrooms? I'd agree not deliberately. You've demonstrated in multiple threads you rush to judgment, I guess I should not be surprised.

IIRC, many media outlets piled on to Lindy Chamberlain when she said a dingo had taken her baby. The same happened with Kathleen Folbigg. Which is why I am not prejudging this case.

It seems you are. Where did you acquire the mindset you can dictate to other posters how they should post? AFAIK the use of acronyms is not in breach of forum rules. The first sentence of your post probably is.

I don't know. For all I know, the report by the 7 news group may be inaccurate. Do you believe everything you see in MSM?

The rate of population growth is questionable, as quite a few countries are actually in population decline. China apparently has overestimated its population to the tune of 600 million people. During times of conflict, birth rates decrease significantly. That fact is affecting both Russia and Ukraine. While it may not be part of any scientific climate change model, IMO it's reasonable to predict massive economic refugeeism, very similar to the movements of Americans during the 1930's dust bowl. Conservative models of the Tibetan glaciers are predicting the water flows from them will be halved by 2050, even assuming no further Chinese dam construction. That water feeds the Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Mekong rivers. One billion people depend on those rivers for water to drink and feed themselves.

Do you acquire a lot of bruises, jumping to so many conclusions?

Many foreigner - Thai relationships start out as transactional. They either stay that way, or move on to love and trust. I am under no illusions as to whether I am an ATM. Fine by me, as long as I get what I want in return. It's a very easy choice for many Thai women. Work until they no longer can, then exist on a government pension of 600 baht once they turn 60. Or hook up with a foreigner, have a quite comfortable life instead. IMO the average Thai man mostly regards us as better off than they are, but lacks the education to start questioning why. It's only Thais who have been outside Thailand that understand.

I'm explaining why I did not read the woman had said she bought the mushrooms in the supermarket. No other MSM I read had that information.

Scientists can make predictions based on current data and trends. While the outcome cannot be predicted precisely, if we keep burning fossil fuels at the rate we do now, any real scientist knows it's going to be hotter. Wanting a precise number is quibbling. Unless, of course, one of the world leaders gives us a nuclear winter.

A classic example of what-about-ism. Religions are based on belief, climate change is based on fact and science. It's a convenient and dishonest label used by climate deniers. It's all too hard, let's just stick our heads in the sand and hope it goes away. News flash - it won't.

If you want to post on an English forum, I don't see why you should get an exemption. Please explain why you can't use a grammar and spell checker. Judith Curry is aligned with climate deniers, downplaying risks and questioning the cost of rectification. One scientist's contrarian opinion. Another poster has supplied with a link establishing the claim to 95% is valid. Noted you did not answer my question w.r.to your own qualifications. IME deniers almost never do.

I don't usually read any Murdoch publications.

Link to the article where she said that, please.

Nothing wrong with the Tops in Chiang Rai, a wide variety of local and imported food. IME 7/11 is far more limited in range, lower quality.

I've never met an Eskimo, doesn't mean they do not exist.

Five golf courses for him to choose from. More if he goes to Chiang Mai.

People who believe the earth is flat. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_flat_Earth_beliefs

I haven't bothered going to a bar for 7 or 8 years. I know one guy whose sole topic of conversation is how many caddies he has screwed in the current month. Another who can only talk about his investments. I actually get more varied discussion with my Thai GF, even though neither of us are fluent in the language of one another.

You may be right. It's difficult to make sense of Trumpers, climate deniers, anti-vaxxers, and flat earthers.