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Boomer6969

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Posts posted by Boomer6969

  1. 42 minutes ago, Sheryl said:

    Possible  that there are and these are so mild that they go undetected. That is not necessarily a bad thing...if the virus can spread through the population without many severe cases that will produce immunity without overwhelming the health system.

    We definitely need mass antibody testing. The problem for us is that here it will probably take several months to get carried out. On the other hand, a well defined sample of several hundred thousands could be enough to determine the current level of immunity of the population.

    • Like 1
  2. 2 minutes ago, RJRS1301 said:

    Contagion high, mortality mostly older folk, who generally will have comorbidites(cardiac, diabetes,eneral lower immunity) , currently most exposed will recover seems that rate is around 95% or higher, depending on several factors.

    Mortality rate higher in Italy as they have a much older population (percentage wise) compared with other western countries

     

    Italy

    Age structure:

    0-14 years: 13.6% (male 4,326,862 /female 4,136,562)
    15-24 years: 9.61% (male 2,994,651 /female 2,984,172)
    25-54 years: 41.82% (male 12,845,442 /female 13,183,240)
    55-64 years: 13.29% (male 4,012,640 /female 4,261,956)
    65 years and over: 21.69% (male 5,817,819 /female 7,683,330) (2018 est.)
     

    sUSA

    Age structure:

    0-14 years: 18.62% (male 31,329,121 /female 29,984,705)
    15-24 years: 13.12% (male 22,119,340 /female 21,082,599)
    25-54 years: 39.29% (male 64,858,646 /female 64,496,889)
    55-64 years: 12.94% (male 20,578,432 /female 22,040,267)
    65 years and over: 16.03% (male 23,489,515 /female 29,276,951) (2018 est.)

     

    Russia and Thailand, for instance have life expectancies that are even lower than in the US, which could explain to some extent why the infection can proceed silently with fewer deaths in these two countries. I think the whole problem is to assess the impact of the virus crisis in terms of reduced life expectancy, which may end up being of only a few months. In years coming historians might write that the virus has reduced the global life expectancy by a couple of years, while the subsequent collapse of the economy reduced it by a couple of years.

  3. 2 hours ago, TheAppletons said:

    Another person who doesn't understand exponential spread.

     

    The infections double every six days (or less) depending upon what measures are taken in a particular country.  (In the USA, it's been every 3-4 days.)

    This isn't exponential either, it is a simple ax2 function. Exponential would be ax. We'd be dead soon. 

    High school 6 maths were I come from. But that was 50 years ago as far as I am concerned.

  4. 39 minutes ago, animalmagic said:

    Disgusting choices of food is rather subjective.  We westerners relish blue cheese, somewhere in Italy they love maggot riddled cheese; and in South America guinea pig is on the menu.

    It's seems a bit of a stretch to blame 1.4 billion people for the actions of scores of people in charge.

    Thanks for giving us a bit of fresh air. My guess is that Fox TV is to blame to a large extent for the nauseous turn  this thread has taken.

    I have watched quite a few talk shows on European TV, and none of the invited experts was even getting close to blame China for anything. Most of them had praise for the way the crisis was handled by some Asian nations and this included China. We have to accept that this crisis reveals that most European countries and probably the US have now a weak governance and become incompetent to handle a major crisis. 

    • Thanks 1
  5. 1 hour ago, scubascuba3 said:

    Same problem in every town in the world. Governments have really got this wrong

    Our days it is difficult politically to justify letting die the elderlies to save the jobs of bar girls.

     

    But I agree that in a couple of years we may find out that Coronavirus, if let run it's course, would have reduced the global life expectancy by only a few months. 

    • Like 1
  6. 3 hours ago, JimHuaHin said:

    Besides, surely many people in the tourism industry would like all these tourists and expats to stay in Thailand and spend money here!! Ten of millions of Baht flowing into Thailand every day, being spent every day, supporting the failing Thai economy, while all these foreigners are forced to remain in Thailand.

    I have some reasons to believe that many tourists would run out of money, if stranded here, far away from their jobs, for an extended length of time. So some may be spending here while others might end up out begging. You reckon this is worth the risk for Thailand?

    There is also the good old health insurance issues, if they catch COVID 19, most of these tourists won't the cash or cover for two weeks in ICU.

    • Like 1
  7. 25 minutes ago, offset said:

    They should make everybody wear face covering when outside to stop the spread

    Most people use surgical masks, which should be changed every four hours, and/or every time you touch them. So that means that for Thailand  we would need something like 6 times 66 Million masks a day... I don't know what some people wear but it looks like their Grandma's underpants. I guess that stale urine kills the virus.

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