To be clear.
I am not predicting the war outcome.
I am saying I want Ukraine to win and I'm also saying that it's possible for Ukraine to win.
The US election is a big deal here and also continued western support without constraints.
Unfortunately, there is bad news on that front -- Germany.
But the balancing good news is that Ukraine is building their own strong internal weapons building machine so if Trump loses and Ukraine can make it to the winter, things could be very different in the spring.