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spidermike007

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Posts posted by spidermike007

  1. Your rather refreshing common sense and reasoning will fall upon alot of deaf ears. There is a significant percentage of the population that would rather "buy into panic", at this time. I keep saying this is NOT the Zombie Apocalypse but hundreds of millions think it is. 

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  2. 1 hour ago, englishoak said:

     

    Ask yourself this, do you think that ALL the global powers, ALL the think tanks they have, ALL the cost to these massive economies and personal fortunes, real risk of civil unrest etc for years to come would all be taken is climate was a factor ? these are not stupid people at the top and their advisory groups... when you step back and really look at the global cost financially, socially, and stability wise it is highly unlikely its heat affected and its highly unlikely  whatever it is will be over in a few months.

     

    Ive wrestled with this for a long time, none of it makes sense unless its a huge problem or a huge goal... and its a global agreement whatever it is, everyone is on board from China to Russia to the US to India to Japan, Europe, S America, Africa.. thats a lot of different experts and highly informed secret services in advisory agreement dont you think ? 

    There may be some sort of converted effort going on. Why knows?

     

    But I do believe the one weakness this virus has is heat. The only tropical nation on earth with a significant number of cases is Brazil. Next Malaysia. 4000 cases. Merely a pimple. India has a few thousand despite an enormous population. Same here. Heat kills!

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  3. Personally, I think this thing will be over in a month or two here. Certainly not in the US or Europe. But we have had less than 100 cases a day for the past two days, only 2100 to date, and only 20 deaths. This is literally a small pimple on the cheek of a teenager here in Thailand. I believe it is due to the heat. The heat appears to decimate this virus. With over a million Chinese running around Thailand in December and January, if this thing were going to blow up here, as many fear, it would have happened long ago. Calm down. Take a deep breath. We are in one of the safest places on earth, right now. 

     

    Of course, the recovery from this inane economic shutdown could take far longer than that. It could take years, the tourism industry emerge as a pale shadow of it's former self, never to return to the previous levels. Which is a good thing for many of us, but a sad thing for millions of Thai families, and of course a huge humiliation for the army and the TAT, which is also a good thing. We will see a huge economic contraction, no doubt, and high unemployment numbers. How long it will take to recover from that is anyone's guess, but I would say at least a year, maybe more. 

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  4. There is a very high chance this will improve within a week or two, presuming heat has the effect on the virus that many researchers are saying it does. Personally I believe it. Less than 100 cases in the past 24 hours. It will flatten out shortly. No need for panic, and no need for draconian measures. The economic shutdown was inane enough, without a 24 hour curfew. 

     

    If the curfew does go into effect, and millions of us defy it, it will result in alot of disorder. 

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  5. At least some good is coming out of this virus. When was the last time you heard of a major foundation being set up by one of these guys, one of them signing the "pledge", or one of them doing amazing things for the Thai people? They appear to be some of the stingiest people of wealth on the planet. Little sympathy for their losses. Boonchai Bencharongkul (the founder of Dtac) is one of the few I know of who is actually doing things to benefit the nation and its people. MOCA Bangkok is a good example of that. The so called Hi-So here is not exactly a good example of community spirit. 

  6. Thailand and many other countries, especially the US, Spain, France, Germany, and Italy should feel fortunate if the dent is only 10%. I think it will be much higher, and I think the "startup" after this thing ends will be far more lengthy and far more difficult that many project. This deliberate economic lockdown is unprecedented, inane, and a ridiculous response to the virus. I doubt if things are as they appear to be. Something else has to be going on. 

     

    In Thailand we had less than 100 new cases in the past 24 hours, and one more death, and they are behaving like this is armageddon, or the Zombie Apocalypse. It is the equivalent of a small pimple on the cheek of a 13 year old. Yet, one would think the world is coming to an end here. The consequences of the economic lockdown will dwarf that of this virus by a multiple of 100. My prediction is that the tourism industry will NEVER recover here. NEVER. Sure it will come back. But, I doubt we will ever see the numbers from before. That may be a good thing for many of us, but devastating for millions of Thai families.

     

     

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  7. 5 hours ago, Tounge Thaied said:

    I'm here to tell you that it isn't true that you are safe here. I was not allowed into Thailand 3 weeks ago, because I didn't have the necessary Covid-19 "Medical Certificate". I have lived in Thailand for 6 years, I have a house and wife In Buriram province. I have a Non-immigrant O based upon Marriage. I cannot come and be at my home or my wife. You could say this is a one off event, but is it? With the draconian measures keep being implemented, it is clear that what you say is no longer really true. 

    The precautions being implemented are totally out of proportion to the number of cases of deaths. 

     

    I do feel we are fairly safe here. But some of the measures are a bit over the top. 

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