59 minutes ago, GreasyFingers said:

I have been in a category 1 (100 km/h winds) cyclone in Darwin. The wind sounded like jet planes taking off constantly. Was living in a caravan at the time so doubt if you would know the difference between 100 & 90 km/h wind & rain.

I hope Samui does not lose its electricity for too long as there a friends there.

I most certainly do, I've been at sea in yachts and fishing boats in winds from gale force 8 to 11 force 8 = 62-74km/h force 11 = 103-117km/h on several occasions & on land right up to force 12 hurricane strength greater than 118km/h. If you spend many winters on the coast of the UK you would have too.....

1 hour ago, ronaldo0 said:

Not a drop of rain or hardly a breeze in samui.

Yesterday it was end of the world approaching in samui on Facebook and today hardly one comment !!

Thas because the storm is still 36 hours from possible direct hit at koh samui. And everyone on fb has fled. Doh

2 hours ago, oilinki said:

That's not good at all.. where do you find this projection?

http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

 

then select "google earth overlay" on the right. you have to have google earth installed on your computer.

Boats tied to road signs here near Prachuap although hopefully we will escape the worst

WTPN31 PGTW 030300 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CORRECTED//
RMKS/   

1. TROPICAL STORM 36W (PABUK) WARNING NR 012 CORRECTED   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030000Z --- NEAR 6.0N 105.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z --- 6.3N 104.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   040000Z --- 7.2N 102.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
      
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   041200Z --- 8.0N 100.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
     
      ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   050000Z --- 8.7N 98.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   060000Z --- 10.6N 95.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 13.0N 92.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z --- 15.9N 90.8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
  
    ---

REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 6.1N 105.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 36W (PABUK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 
AT 030000Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z, 031500Z, 
032100Z AND 040300Z.

Nothing like a good soaking. Stock up on essential supplies and enjoy the view dry inside your residence.

looks like max wind speed at land fall. 50 knots with 65 knot gusts.  One knot equals 1.852 KPH. So 50 knots per hour X 1.852 equals 92.6 KPH or 57.53 MPH.

Edited January 3, 20197 yr by NCC1701A

From Windy.com looks like it will make land in Surathani area a bit more south than the original forecast

https://www.windy.com/?2019-01-06-12,12.383,99.917,5

1 hour ago, NCC1701A said:

http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

 

then select "google earth overlay" on the right. you have to have google earth installed on your computer.

Try windy.com

I'm watching cams from this youtube page, you can see the storm live

 

Samui Webcam

latest radar from Sathing Phar:

 

http://weather.tmd.go.th/stpLoop.php

 

 

5 hours ago, zyphodb said:

I most certainly do, I've been at sea in yachts and fishing boats in winds from gale force 8 to 11 force 8 = 62-74km/h force 11 = 103-117km/h on several occasions & on land right up to force 12 hurricane strength greater than 118km/h. If you spend many winters on the coast of the UK you would have too.....

Mate, you are a braver man than me. I have spent a little bit of time in boats, but nothing like you describe, and surfed 15 ft waves, but would not do what you have done. I thought your original post might have been flippant so my apologies.

6 hours ago, bstafford214 said:

Hi NCC1701A

Thanks for the update on the storm. I would like to ask if you would share the link for the storm tracker you are using please?

I have search the Joint Typhoon Warning Center but not seeing the same tracking map.

Thanks for sharing mate.

There is an app called Rainviewer that is available from both Apple Store and Google Play store for phones. It has a good radar view of approaching weather.

 

HTH

5 hours ago, NCC1701A said:

http://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

 

then select "google earth overlay" on the right. you have to have google earth installed on your computer.

Thanks. Please keep on posting the screenshots of the predicted path, like you did before. That's the handiest way for most of us to follow what is happening. 

latest:

 

Looks pretty calm outside, for the time being. Has a pretty good night lighted view.

 

And seems to play better from here when I just post the link only:

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSnip1fML5w

 

Edited January 3, 20197 yr by TallGuyJohninBKK

tomorrow morning there is going to be a lot of wind damage, downed trees, flooded homes, wrecked vehicles and washed out roads

latest radar:

 

http://weather.tmd.go.th/stpLoop.php

 

 

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hurry down!!!!