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Who Needs Foreign Investment?

By Michael A. Tew & Alexandra V. Preate

Published 3/23/2007 12:06:28 AM

As Asia continues to be a growth market, investors will shift their capital to those countries that they believe have the potential to generate the highest returns with the least amount of risk. Thailand has now become more risky in comparison to its neighbors. Once again, the market will dictate the best solution to the problem. Unfortunately for Thai citizens, that could mean less private investment, less growth, and less opportunity.

Michael A. Tew and Alexandra V. Preate are Principals of CapitalHQ, an international consultancy.

a long read and rather damning of current direction .....................

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Once again, just because a report, post, letter, book, statement agrees with your own position does not impart any truth to what has been said.

To take decisions the Thai government make on the way they want the Thai ecconomy to develop out of context of Thai history and culture is sheer folly and an indication that the risks being talked about are based upon only the most superficial of understandings of what is going on in Thailand.

Its a bit like the predictions made when Malaysia refused IMF help getting over the financial crisis of the mid 90s. The press was full of people cooing and predicting a melt down, the utter collapse of Malaysia's ecconomy and Malaysia coming begging for help.

And they were .... erm ...... WRONG!

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Just remember the golden rule, don't invest anymoney in Thailand that you can't afford to loose.

Since that is univesally accepted as wise council it follows that being denied the 'right' to invest in Thailand is actually reducing your risk.

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I love it.

So wise.

Lets take this quote:

We believe the Thai government could suffer tremendous repercussions as a result of its latest actions. Foreign Direct Investment is already waning, and could possibly decline again in 2007. China has quickly become one of the darlings of the investment and business community, most recently permitting its citizens the same private property rights as the government. Vietnam's stock market has boomed, up 145% in 2006, and some experts predict FDI to reach nearly $20 billion in 2007, which would be another 100% increase. Although both countries admittedly have drawbacks, they are opening their gates to private investment at a rapid pace.

geez....real in depth analysis there. No doubt they are growing, but off pretty narrow bases.

No doubt the booms there will turn to....bust. Economic history is always a good subject to study.

Economies after they deregulate go into hyper mode for a few years, and then crash, or a Shumpeterian creative destuction cycle.

We can already see how edgy people are about China. It doesn't take much, and as we saw 2 weeks ago, a much-ado-about nothing caused massive shocks to shareprices world wide.

Same with India. Great country, huge potential, but a worse infratructure than Thailand which is acting as a bottleneck on sustainable growth.

Ah, but who cares, you blokes look at things in isolation. Trawl the internet about anything negative about Thailand, and then fall hook, line and sinker for the hype around all our neighbours.

I remember 1992-1997 well. Very well.

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Always good to look at the credentials of the source of any data.

Nicholas T. Terzulli

Biography

Nicholas Terzulli joined CapitalHQ as Managing Director in September 2006. Prior to joining CapitalHQ, Mr. Terzulli held a senior position at the Free Enterprise Fund in Washington, D.C., where his primary responsibilities included helping to build the young organization’s legal, policy, and fund raising arms. During his tenure at the Free Enterprise Fund, he was intricately involved with fund raising strategy, free-market policy, and FEC compliance.

After graduating from American University with a Bachelor of Arts in political science and public communication, Mr. Terzulli served as a Press Officer at the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research. His main responsibility at the Manhattan Institute was to schedule and secure regular bookings for the Institute’s high profile fellows on nationally syndicated television and radio programs, developing policy messages, placing opinion articles in top circulation newspapers and magazines, and strategically promoting the Manhattan Institute’s unique New York-centric intellect and discourse to New York City and State media outlets.

Mr. Terzulli has held internships in the White House’s Office of Strategic Initiatives, the New York State Office of Federal Affairs, GOPAC, The Winston Group, The National Republican Congressional Committee, and the 2004 Republican National Convention.

In college, Mr. Terzulli served as President of the Student Government Association and was an active member of the College Republicans and the Sigma Chi Fraternity. He is currently enrolled in New York Law School’s evening division.

Well balanced non 'real' work CV this

Extracts

Alexandra V. Preate, Principal

Alexandra V. Preate has worked professionally as a strategic consultant, public policy strategist and fundraiser for over ten years. Her political career began at a young age; in fact, she was only 22 years old when she served as Assistant Finance Director and spokesman for Ernie Preate's Gubernatorial primary campaign, which raised a record setting $4.0 million for the candidate.

Michael A. Tew, Principal

In 2003, Michael Tew founded CapitalHQ with Alexandra V. Preate as a means of helping small and medium sized companies grow by providing fresh insight and applying unique concepts and ideas to already existing business models. The firm's revenues doubled in year two and the company continues to grow rapidly.

Prior to founding CapitalHQ, Mr. Tew worked as a leading hospitality, gaming and leisure securities analyst at Bear, Stearns & Co., Inc. .. Prior to joining Bear Stearns, Mr. Tew served as a global public relations consultant for PricewaterhouseCoopers' Hospitality and Leisure consulting group.

Catching my drift....

Regards

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