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 oops only 94% wrong

 

 

1981 James Hansen, NASA scientist, predicted a global warming of “almost unprecedented magnitude” in the next century that might even be sufficient to melt and dislodge the ice cover of West Antarctica, eventually leading to a worldwide rise of 15 to 20 feet in the sea level. See here.

Reality check: Since 1993 (24 years) we have totaled 72 mm (3 inches) of sea level rise instead of the 4 feet that corresponds to one-fourth of a century. The alarming prediction is more than 94% wrong, so far.

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 2007 IPCC AR4 predicts that by 2020, between 75 and 250 million of people are projected to be exposed to increased water stress due to climate change. In some countries, yields from rain-fed agriculture could be reduced by up to 50%.

 

Yet yields are up not down.

 

There's 100 other dud forecasts. Amazing in 2020 so many people still fooled by this doomsday nonsense.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, UbonThani said:

 2007 IPCC AR4 predicts that by 2020, between 75 and 250 million of people are projected to be exposed to increased water stress due to climate change. In some countries, yields from rain-fed agriculture could be reduced by up to 50%.

 

Yet yields are up not down.

 

There's 100 other dud forecasts. Amazing in 2020 so many people still fooled by this doomsday nonsense.

 

 

and what happens when all the resources run out?

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6 hours ago, Skallywag said:

IMO, population control measures/incentives were needed back in the 70's.  The earth does not have the ability to sustain 7 billion humans.  Starvation, malnutrition, and number of poor people without quality of life is growing every year. 

The way I see "technology" and human endeavours in my lifetime is that on one hand we have highly educated minds spending their lives looking for new ways to save people with medical treatments and technology, then on the other hand we highly educated engineers working for military purposes developing new ways to kill people with better aircraft, better drones, better bombs, better weapons.  Very contradictory.  

 

I believe as I have said before, the reason for most problems in the world is people's "beliefs" or religion.  Religion still plays a role in governments as it has since the middle ages and before.  Along with human greed and power, our species is not evolving in a way that will sustain itself.  

 

Until we as a species adopt reason and science instead of relying on faith based mythologies, we are doomed

 

religion is deadlier than the A-Bomb

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Well , the future looks rather dystopian , man made pollution and greed changed the quality of life for everybody on this planet to the worse ...

We cannot turn back to how it once was , it is too late for that .

Sorry for the kids and younger people ...

What everybody could do , is to change to a non , or at least , less polluting lifestyle , plant some trees , protect the animals and insects that are part of the ecosystem ...

Eat healthy , less meat , try to find something positive even when everything looks disastrous , relax your mind , enjoy every minute that you have , everything is limited in time ... get the hate out of you , it will destroy everything you touch .

It surely is very sad that mankind did not realize the consequences of it's actions when it was still time , but , mai pen rai , it is too late anyway . Do something good with what is left of your life ...

Someone asked me if there is a life after death ... I answered that I am not even sure if there is one before death ...

Edited by nobodysfriend
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29 minutes ago, Thaidream said:

Cameras are everywhere now but they will be truly everywhere within 10 years and they will use facial recognition; instant eye scans and every person's fingerprints will be in a massive database/

Cameras may be everywhere, but in Thailand most of them don't work.

I always remember a talk with my brief back in the UK, he used to say, "never admit to anything, deny you were there"

I said, "what if there was a camera?", he replied "most of them either aren't working, aren't recording, or are too low resolution to positively identify you"

Edited by BritManToo
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21 minutes ago, Thaidream said:

Very  well done but your statements about  America wanting to control the World through it's military expansion is ill informed.   It is much more complicated than that.

 

Most Americans, if you ask them, would agree to a smaller budget on defense in order to fund things like healthcare and  education.  No doubt, things like a war in Afghanistan and Iraq were ill conceived and give the impression that the US is a predatory power but it's people mostly want the wars to stop and they will as long as the body politic refuses to accept them and votes accordingly.

 

Don't forget, America was attacked in 2001 and lost almost 3,000 dead.  This attack shocked Americans like never before, even more so than the attack on Hawaii in 1941 as New York is in the heart of the American mainland.  Americans have given up much freedom, loss of life and loss of treasure due to the attack and eventually some form of normality will  force a complete change in direction-  Election 2020

 

However, IMO while climate change is one of the most pressing issues in the World- the real threat is Artificial Intelligence.   Five G (5G)  is not just about making your mobile faster and more diverse- it is the start of total control of the population.

 

Cameras are everywhere now but they will be truly everywhere within 10 years and they will use facial recognition; instant eye scans and every person's fingerprints will be in a massive database/

 

Tho powers that be and the inventors will tell us what a wonderful thing AI is as it will make everything work so much better- medicine will save lives; instant identification will stop fraud and theft and our  social lives improve by leaps and bounds due to more leisure time.

 

In reality, the World will see massive unwmployment; a complete loss of privacy and an intrusive network that tracks our every movement.

 

Wake up in the morning and the lights go on and our AI helper greets us and prepares breafast.  They know what we like.

 

Our autonomous vehicle  starts the minute we walk out the door- we simply say bank and off  we go to do our banking. As we enter we are greeted by AI and as we approach the counter- we have already been scanned and our account has been brought up. We can update our cards (no money needed- replaced by virtual currency).

 

Many of us won't be going to work as  our jobs are already replaced by AI. They don't need us anymore.  The bank has just updated our debit cards with  money provided by the 'Government' or the consortium which pays people to do nothing.  Since many jobs are abolished wealth conglomerates have made huge profits and can easily afford to pay people to do nothing and still make huge profits.

 

What do we do all day- ask the vehicle to find  the local pharmacy so we can get our medicine or  plant mixture to keep us  feeling good all day while we  use our  tablets to view the sports scores; read  what were once newspapers and books and contemplate what the World used to be like.  The weed  stops the depression mostly

 

At the end of the day- our  AI minder will remind us it's time to eat and reccommend a restaurant.  As we  enter we are greeted by name; provided a list of our last orders and asked if we have the order- it just so happens that the helper already knew what we wanted from past history and  it is cooking and almost ready.  A bottle of vodka is placed on the table in case we need more relaxation.  Payment is automatic- don't even have to show the debit card- the restaurant has acess to our bank information through the central AI terminal/

 

We are on the way home where we are greeted by our 'wife' or 'other' which we purchased once the Japanese had perfected  'buy a mate' which provides an exact designed replica of a perfect female or male.  For  the advanced model- every 3 months one can have their mate change nationality and skin color.  I won't go into the sexual aspects that are offered.

 

If you think I am joking- I am not.  Some of it allready exists- some is in the design stage and some in the conception stage.

 

IMO this type of World is not one that is livable (although the  buy a mate could work-it probably cuts down on divorces) and would creat massive social problems.  Just because you can build; do it or conceive it- doesn't mean you must .

 

I would rather look forward to an Alien invasion- benevelnt of course.

Agree regarding AI ...

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9 minutes ago, Thaidream said:

Very  well done but your statements about  America wanting to control the World through it's military expansion is ill informed.   It is much more complicated than that.

 

Most Americans, if you ask them, would agree to a smaller budget on defense in order to fund things like healthcare and  education.  No doubt, things like a war in Afghanistan and Iraq were ill conceived and give the impression that the US is a predatory power but it's people mostly want the wars to stop and they will as long as the body politic refuses to accept them and votes accordingly.

 

Don't forget, America was attacked in 2001 and lost almost 3,000 dead.  This attack shocked Americans like never before, even more so than the attack on Hawaii in 1941 as New York is in the heart of the American mainland.  Americans have given up much freedom, loss of life and loss of treasure due to the attack and eventually some form of normality will  force a complete change in direction-  Election 2020

 

However, IMO while climate change is one of the most pressing issues in the World- the real threat is Artificial Intelligence.   Five G (5G)  is not just about making your mobile faster and more diverse- it is the start of total control of the population.

 

Cameras are everywhere now but they will be truly everywhere within 10 years and they will use facial recognition; instant eye scans and every person's fingerprints will be in a massive database/

 

Tho powers that be and the inventors will tell us what a wonderful thing AI is as it will make everything work so much better- medicine will save lives; instant identification will stop fraud and theft and our  social lives improve by leaps and bounds due to more leisure time.

 

In reality, the World will see massive unwmployment; a complete loss of privacy and an intrusive network that tracks our every movement.

 

Wake up in the morning and the lights go on and our AI helper greets us and prepares breafast.  They know what we like.

 

Our autonomous vehicle  starts the minute we walk out the door- we simply say bank and off  we go to do our banking. As we enter we are greeted by AI and as we approach the counter- we have already been scanned and our account has been brought up. We can update our cards (no money needed- replaced by virtual currency).

 

Many of us won't be going to work as  our jobs are already replaced by AI. They don't need us anymore.  The bank has just updated our debit cards with  money provided by the 'Government' or the consortium which pays people to do nothing.  Since many jobs are abolished wealth conglomerates have made huge profits and can easily afford to pay people to do nothing and still make huge profits.

 

What do we do all day- ask the vehicle to find  the local pharmacy so we can get our medicine or  plant mixture to keep us  feeling good all day while we  use our  tablets to view the sports scores; read  what were once newspapers and books and contemplate what the World used to be like.  The weed  stops the depression mostly

 

At the end of the day- our  AI minder will remind us it's time to eat and reccommend a restaurant.  As we  enter we are greeted by name; provided a list of our last orders and asked if we have the order- it just so happens that the helper already knew what we wanted from past history and  it is cooking and almost ready.  A bottle of vodka is placed on the table in case we need more relaxation.  Payment is automatic- don't even have to show the debit card- the restaurant has acess to our bank information through the central AI terminal/

 

We are on the way home where we are greeted by our 'wife' or 'other' which we purchased once the Japanese had perfected  'buy a mate' which provides an exact designed replica of a perfect female or male.  For  the advanced model- every 3 months one can have their mate change nationality and skin color.  I won't go into the sexual aspects that are offered.

 

If you think I am joking- I am not.  Some of it allready exists- some is in the design stage and some in the conception stage.

 

IMO this type of World is not one that is livable (although the  buy a mate could work-it probably cuts down on divorces) and would creat massive social problems.  Just because you can build; do it or conceive it- doesn't mean you must .

 

I would rather look forward to an Alien invasion- benevelnt of course.

Thanks for that well written outlook to a possible future ...

Yes , AI and robots will replace a lot of people ( who than become useless for the ones in control ) , but that is only a part of a possible

future ... What will happen before this becomes a reality , is what we have seen in Australia for example , huge fires that are out of control , droughts followed by inondations , huge storms like we've never seen before , viruses that will become more deadly and that are designed to eliminate most of the planet's human population ( by nature or by people ? ) ... All this will result in a shortage of food to feed the ever growing population , wars for resources , ( water ) will result out of that , many , many people will die ...

The ones who will survive all this , ( probably the rich and powerful who are prepared for this ) , might learn from this ' apocalypse ' or not ... and build a better future for the few survivors ( if there are any ) , AI could be a part of a future utopia if there is one , but before this , mankind will suffer .

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In nature there is always a tipping point. When one species becomes too dominant nature redresses the balance. There are simply too many people on this planet to continue a sustaining existence.

BTW I love the OP's nod to Graphene - invented in Manchester UK by a man with a pencil and a roll of cello (scotch) tape. Manchester University is currently benefiting to the tune of £100 million and rising   ????

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31 minutes ago, Thaidream said:

Our autonomous vehicle  starts the minute we walk out the door- we simply say bank and off  we go to do our banking. As we enter we are greeted by AI and as we approach the counter- we have already been scanned and our account has been brought up. We can update our cards (no money needed- replaced by virtual currency).

Why would you ever need to visit your bank?

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9 hours ago, geronimo said:

If you take the past 20 years, as an example, climate issues were rarely discussed, then, as the years went by, respected scientists were coming forward, concerned about the carbon emissions, science doesn’t lie …..

 

Oh dear. Where to start...

 

Your long post started well. It appeared to be a distillation of Bill Bryson's excellent "A Short History of Nearly Everything". But then you left the rails I'm afraid.

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Below are the 41 failed doomsday, eco-pocalyptic predictions (with links):

1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975
2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)
3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000
4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980
5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030
6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070
7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast
8. 1974: Another Ice Age?
9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life (data and graph)
10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent
11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes (additional link)
12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend (additional link)
13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s
14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs
15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)
16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000
17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)
18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is
19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024
21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018
22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013
23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015 (additional link)
27. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
28. 1968: Overpopulation Will Spread Worldwide
29. 1970: World Will Use Up All its Natural Resources
30. 1966: Oil Gone in Ten Years
31. 1972: Oil Depleted in 20 Years
32. 1977: Department of Energy Says Oil will Peak in 1990s
33. 1980: Peak Oil In 2000
34. 1996: Peak Oil in 2020
35. 2002: Peak Oil in 2010
36. 2006: Super Hurricanes!
37. 2005 : Manhattan Underwater by 2015
38. 1970: Urban Citizens Will Require Gas Masks by 1985
39. 1970: Nitrogen buildup Will Make All Land Unusable
40. 1970: Decaying Pollution Will Kill all the Fish
41. 1970s: Killer Bees!

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29 minutes ago, Antonymous said:

 

Oh dear. Where to start...

 

Your long post started well. It appeared to be a distillation of Bill Bryson's excellent "A Short History of Nearly Everything". But then you left the rails I'm afraid.

Science says alarmists are wrong year after year.

 

Not to mention that there is no evidence of manmade co2 doing much at all. All the alarmists did was take some correlation and argue causation.

 

That is mickey mouse science. If you cannot prove causation you have NO science and none of the alarmists can prove it as climate is complex not simple like the alarmists.

 

No wonder all the alarmist forecasts are so wrong.

 

When you think about it the climate scam is like the food scams against butter, meat and salt. It's all driven by dodgy gravy train people.

 

 

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42. 1975: The Cooling World and a Drastic Decline in Food Production
43. 1969: Worldwide Plague, Overwhelming Pollution, Ecological Catastrophe, Virtual Collapse of UK by End of 20th Century
44. 1972: Pending Depletion and Shortages of Gold, Tin, Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, Aluminum
45. 1970: Oceans Dead in a Decade, US Water Rationing by 1974, Food Rationing by 1980
46. 1988: World’s Leading Climate Expert Predicts Lower Manhattan Underwater by 2018
47. 2005: Fifty Million Climate Refugees by the Year 2020
48. 2000: Snowfalls Are Now a Thing of the Past
49.1989: UN Warns That Entire Nations Wiped Off the Face of the Earth by 2000 From Global Warming
50. 2011: Washington Post Predicted Cherry Blossoms Blooming in Winter

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10 hours ago, UbonThani said:

" Great Thunberg started a movement for the young people, "

 

Sure conned you. Her parents are using her to make money. Books, videos, sponsorships etc.

 

It's all about money.

 

Nothing to do with saving anything. Al Gore started the money making enviro con.

You sound like a Donald Trump fan. 

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10 hours ago, UbonThani said:

Not true at all. You cant feed 7bn billion without transport , houses and cold storage.

 

And telling people to give up holidays while you live in Thailand from another country is just hypocritical.

 

People have better lives now than any point in history.

 

Black Plague anyone?

 

Killed by Romans?

 

Humans just like to whinge and make doomsday forecasts cause their own lives arent good.

To clarify one point. I am retired in Thailand because I can better afford a working middle class standard of living unavailable to me in the country of my birth. So, holiday travel is not an issue with me but I am not here as a luxury.

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