Number of new COVID-19 cases in Thailand fall for fifth consecutive day

 

 

The number of new COVID-19 cases in Thailand have fallen for a fifth consecutive day.

 

On Monday, health officials announced 28 new cases, bringing the total number of cases in the country to 2,579.

 

Two new deaths were reported, bringing the total number of fatalities to 40.

 

A further 70 people have been discharged having made a full recovery, bringing the total number of people discharged to 1,288.

 

Of the new cases, 18 are linked to previous cases, 7 without connection to old cases, and 3 are Thai nationals who had traveled to South Sulawesi province, Indonesia for a religious gathering last month.

 

Majority of the new cases are in the capital Bangkok, said Taweesin Wisanuyothin, a spokesman of the government's Center for COVID-19 Situation Administration.

 

Over the past four previous days, Thailand reported 54 new cases on Thursday, 50 on Friday, 45 on Saturday, 33 on Sunday and 28 today (Monday).

 

The figures announced on Monday (13 April) are the lowest since 14 March. 

 

Reuters contributed to this report.

 

-- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2020-04-13

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Good news.

 

One thing that intrigues me about these numbers is how low the death rate is and the relatively high number of recoveries (around 50%, compared with a bit over 20% globally at present). Notwithstanding people's doubts about the numbers themselves, I'm wondering if these encouraging trends have anything to do with them using favipiravir to treat the patients, or at least the worst cases?

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/japanese-flu-drug-clearly-effective-in-treating-coronavirus-says-china

Edited April 13, 20206 yr by Guderian

Every time I hear an ambulance go past my condo in Jomtien, I get a little more worried. Had 4 go by before 10AM today ???? So hope these numbers are close to reality.

 

Hopefully the ambulances are for something else ????

1 minute ago, w94005m said:

Every time I hear an ambulance go past my condo in Jomtien, I get a little more worried. Had 4 go by before 10AM today ???? So hope these numbers are close to reality.

 

Hopefully the ambulances are for something else ????

Naaah, that's the regular bike folk being taken out...

Thanks Thailand, for doing your best to take care of us.

Amazing Thailand living up to its TAT slogan... Must be same think tank that's coming with these CV19 stats...

 

2 minutes ago, Guderian said:

Good news.

 

One thing that intrigues me about these numbers is how low the death rate is and the relatively high number of recoveries (around 50%, compared with a bit over 20% globally at present). Notwithstanding people's doubts about the numbers themselves, I'm wondering if these encouraging trends have anything to do with them using favipiravir to treat the patients, or at least the worst cases?

It is the case fatality rate (Deaths/Recovered patients) that is the lead number. of almost 4%, which is more in line with WHO estimates of the overall fatality death rate, However, worldwide as you say that figure is just over 20%. BIG difference.

 

Maybe they're catching people earlier here, where the recovery rate is much better. Or maybe better drugs are the reason. One can only hope.

 

3 minutes ago, Matzzon said:

Thanks Thailand, for doing your best to take care of us.

In what respect...?

7 minutes ago, transam said:

Naaah, that's the regular bike folk being taken out...

Confused which button I should press for that one! Would I get slated for hitting the funny button?

13 minutes ago, Guderian said:

Good news.

 

One thing that intrigues me about these numbers is how low the death rate is and the relatively high number of recoveries (around 50%, compared with a bit over 20% globally at present). Notwithstanding people's doubts about the numbers themselves, I'm wondering if these encouraging trends have anything to do with them using favipiravir to treat the patients, or at least the worst cases?

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/japanese-flu-drug-clearly-effective-in-treating-coronavirus-says-china

 

They are using hydroxychloriquin and an anti viral, I don't recall favipiravir being mentioned in a facebook post earlier confirming the treatment a patient had

Edited April 13, 20206 yr by scubascuba3

15 minutes ago, Guderian said:

I'm wondering if these encouraging trends have anything to do with them using favipiravir to treat the patients, or at least the worst cases?

I think it has more to do with diet and temperature here in the tropics.  The map below shows epicentres in temperate zone.!

Edited April 13, 20206 yr by graemeaylward

Well they've stopped testing. It's herd immunity folks. That means according to figures I've seen says it's around 80% of population that needs to be exposed and with a death rate of those infected going at around 20% well ... good luck.

28 might as well be zero. This is very difficult to believe. As for worldometre testing in Thailand hasn't moved since early last week. Serious critical the same indeed everything is pretty much the same apart from infections.

4 minutes ago, w94005m said:

It is the case fatality rate (Deaths/Recovered patients) that is the lead number. of almost 4%, which is more in line with WHO estimates of the overall fatality death rate, However, worldwide as you say that figure is just over 20%. BIG difference.

 

Maybe they're catching people earlier here, where the recovery rate is much better. Or maybe better drugs are the reason. One can only hope.

 

Very possible that for most people the strain is milder and therefore easier to treat. 

16 minutes ago, Guderian said:

Good news.

 

One thing that intrigues me about these numbers is how low the death rate is and the relatively high number of recoveries (around 50%, compared with a bit over 20% globally at present). Notwithstanding people's doubts about the numbers themselves, I'm wondering if these encouraging trends have anything to do with them using favipiravir to treat the patients, or at least the worst cases?

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/japanese-flu-drug-clearly-effective-in-treating-coronavirus-says-china

 

Its been on a long slow burn in Thailand, one of the reasons for higher recovery rates at the moment. 
 

When covid really takes hold you get a lot of deaths up front (initial high death rate) followed later by the recoveries, as this takes time (later higher survival rate)
 

Anyway, recovery rates everywhere only have so much meaning as the testing approach varies so much. 

I wonder when they're going to release the number of positives for the block of 50k tests done at private hospitals that will not end in the "Confirmed" box and not even in the "Probable" or "Asymptomatic" one, because they are not reference labs:

 

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/eng/file/guidelines/G_en_21022020.pdf

Quote

2. Probable case is defined as a PUI who has tested positive for genetic materials of SARS-CoV-2 by PCR from one (1) reference laboratory, or by genetic sequencing, or by culture.

3. Confirmed case is defined as a PUI who has tested positive for genetic materials of SARS-CoV-2 by PCR from two (2) reference laboratories, or by genetic sequencing, or by culture.

4. Asymptomatic case is defined as a person who has tested positive for genetic materials of SARS-CoV2 by PCR from two (2) reference laboratories, or by genetic sequencing, or by culture, but has shown no signs and symptoms.

 

I think it's fairly safe to assume we'll never know. Naughty naughty for the one that leaked the info last week. 

 

And nobody bothered to notice, hey tests went up 50k, but confirmed are going down? 

28 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

As for worldometre testing in Thailand hasn't moved since early last week.

They took the news where the apparent camera shot of some internal document of MoPH showed 50k more tests done privately and have stuck with that. Would not be surprised if they read TVF for such news.

36 minutes ago, scubascuba3 said:

They are using hydroxychloriquin and an anti viral,

Nonsense, hydroxychloroquin in an anti-inflammatory that is commonly used to treat auto immune diseases like Lupus. With regards to COVID it has been theorised that it could contribute to control the post infectious inflammatory storm that can destroy lungs and possible other organs. No serious study to that effect has been completed.

Edited April 13, 20206 yr by Boomer6969

And the same lame, tired comments from the same TV genius pool.

1 minute ago, Boomer6969 said:

Nonsense, hydroxychloroquin in an anti-inflammatory that is commonly used to treat auto immune diseases like Lupus. With regards to COVID it has been theorised that it could limit the post infectious inflammatory storm that can destroy lungs and possible other organs. No serious study to that effect has been completed.

You say nonsense but you have no idea really. An extensive post on facebook earlier from a patient in Thailand who recovered listing everything that happened and medication and hydroxychloriquin was listed, unless you were there you don't know. Get on facebook and go find it

7 minutes ago, Boomer6969 said:

Nonsense, hydroxychloroquin in an anti-inflammatory that is commonly used to treat auto immune diseases like Lupus. With regards to COVID it has been theorised that it could contribute to control the post infectious inflammatory storm that can destroy lungs and possible other organs. No serious study to that effect has been completed.

nonsense he says, educate yourself: https://www.dailywire.com/news/doctors-rate-hydroxychloroquine-most-effective-coronavirus-treatment

Nice to see the figures are dropping daily. Stay safe, everyone.

The big question tht people do not know for sure is the number of cases that required hospitalization.  

 

A lot of people are diagnosed with it but may have a very "light" case of it and are just quarantined like you do for the flu or such.

 

The big question now is going to be 

1. How is the government going to re open things

2. Will Thai people listen or just open their shops right away?

3. What new parameters are schools going to have for children that are sick?

 

The system has t be started slowly places like MBK and Platinum mall where everything is crowded have to be some of the last places to open.   I would think open stores and let peope get back to work.  Posssibly add more trains to BTS and restrict the number of people getting into cars (if possible)

Poppycock I say. https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/is-hype-over-chloroquine-as-a-potential-covid-19-therapy-justified--67301

Questions to ask among others are: 

 

How many are turned away from hospital doors?

Is there an uptick in some types of deaths?

 

You have to rely on hearsay data now, especially since there's the "fake news" gag order in place. What a contrast to the open flow of information in some countries like Finland, where the response has been impressive and transparent. The form of government truly makes a difference.

1 hour ago, scubascuba3 said:

They are using hydroxychloriquin and an anti viral, I don't recall favipiravir being mentioned in a facebook post earlier confirming the treatment a patient had

Here's what they are using, straight from MoPH itself: https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/eng/file/guidelines/g_treatment.pdf

 

Chloroquine, not hydroxychloriquin. I'd guess price issue.

The number of tests hasn't moved again, still 71,860, i did wonder if it was artificially high when one day it jumped from 25k to 71,860.

 

The number of cases worldwide has only just passed 1,000,000, already  very near 2,000,000

5 minutes ago, scubascuba3 said:

The number of tests hasn't moved again, still 71,860, i did wonder if it was artificially high when one day it jumped from 25k to 71,860.

They stopped relying on MoPH's daily report numbers and the only source for that 71,680 figure was a seemingly leaked MoPH document. MoPH does have figures but is not publishing them. Worldometer and other simply aggregate sources and from Thailand there's only MoPH.

Edited April 13, 20206 yr by DrTuner

1 hour ago, webfact said:

On Monday, health officials announced 28 new cases, bringing the total number of cases in the country to 2,579.

 

Two new deaths were reported, bringing the total number of fatalities to 40.

Whatever happened to that guy A-nut-in, he would have loved to be beating his chest for this, well I suppose we can do without him ????

 

1 hour ago, scubascuba3 said:

They are using hydroxychloriquin and an anti viral, I don't recall favipiravir being mentioned in a facebook post earlier confirming the treatment a patient had

Some 120,000 tablets of Favipiravir, an antiviral drug, will be imported for the battle against Covid-19, Public Health Minister Anutin Charnvirakul said on Wednesday (March 18).

1 hour ago, graemeaylward said:

I think it has more to do with diet and temperature here in the tropics.  The map below shows epicentres in temperate zone.!

Unfortunately, China and Iran have been ignored!