Thailand warned to brace for the second wave of COVID-19 infections

[bodga]

14 hours ago, PatOngo said:

How many smart ones will be trying to sell the Honda Wave to avoid infection?

The  smart  ones  will be  buying  them up

[DrTuner]

11 hours ago, Fex Bluse said:

He may have been right... The Thais only tested a handful of people per day, so who knows exactly how many infections there are... 

Not with 100k casualties though. Probably 1000 in excess of average, HDC death reports only reported a small blip of daily doubling in the pneumonia deaths in the first week after I started checking them on 6th (the peak was probably earlier when I was not checking).

 

He was at the time referring to the scenario where there would be no lockdowns. In that case it might have well been possible, the daily, albeit understated, confirmed cases were starting to climb before the lockdowns were hammered in.

 

You can test the effects of lockdown with the SEIR model: http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html . Move the intervention date with mouse.

[3NUMBAS]

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/18/us/coronavirus-time-risk/index.html?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB

 

Staying safe isn't just about hygiene and distance. It's about time, too.

By Eric Levenson, CNN

By now, you've likely heard the main pieces of advice to avoid the coronavirus.

Wear a mask. Wash your hands with soap. Stay at least 6 feet from others. If you do gather with others, go outside rather than inside.

Still, there's one more aspect to infection that has received less attention. Growing evidence suggests that Covid-19 infection, like with other illnesses, is related to prolonged time exposed to the virus. The longer you stay in an environment that may contain the virus, the higher the risk of getting sick.

Erin Bromage, a comparative immunologist and professor of biology at the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth, summed it up with a short and sweet equation: "Successful Infection = Exposure to Virus x Time."

 

[3NUMBAS]

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/italy-records-111-coronavirus-deaths-161358969.html

 

ROME (Reuters) - Deaths from the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy climbed by 111 on Saturday, against 87 the day before, the Civil Protection Agency said, while the daily tally of new cases fell to 416 from 516 on Friday.

The total death toll since the outbreak came to light on Feb. 21 now stands at 33,340 the agency said, the third highest in the world after those of the United States and Britain.

The number of confirmed cases amounts to 232,664, the sixth highest global tally behind those of the United States, Russia, Spain, Britain and Brazil.

People registered as currently carrying the illness fell to 43,691 from 46,175 the day before.

There were 450 people in intensive care on Saturday, down from 475 on Friday, maintaining a long-running decline. Of those originally infected, 155,633 were declared recovered against 152,844 a day earlier.

The agency said 2.405 million people had been tested for the virus against 2.369 million on Friday, out of a population of around 60 million.

The small central region of Abruzzo did not provide any fresh data on Saturday, the Civil Protection Agency said.

[uhuh]

On 5/30/2020 at 3:55 AM, PatOngo said:

 What would be the feeling if western countries reciprocated with Asians? What would you do with your western real estate that Caucasians CAN'T purchase in SOME countries in Asia? Where would you get your DECENT QUALITY EDUCATION?

Hopefully not at the place where cornish carlos got his education. 

Singapore?

[thai006]

did they have the first wave ?? 

[3NUMBAS]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52840763

Coronavirus: The mystery of 'silent spreaders'

As the crisis has unfolded, scientists have discovered more evidence about a strange and worrying feature of the coronavirus. While many people who become infected develop a cough, fever and loss of taste and smell, others have no symptoms at all and never realise they're carrying Covid-19.

Researchers say it's vital to understand how many are affected this way and whether "silent spreaders" are fuelling the pandemic.

When people gathered at a church in Singapore on 19 January, no-one could have realised that the event would have global implications for the spread of coronavirus. It was a Sunday and, as usual, one of the services was being conducted in Mandarin. Among the congregation at The Life Church and Missions, on the ground floor of an office building, was a couple, both aged 56, who'd arrived that morning from China.

As they took their seats, they seemed perfectly healthy so there was no reason to think they might be carrying the virus. At that time, a persistent cough was understood to be the most distinctive feature of Covid-19 and it was seen as the most likely way to transmit it. Having no symptoms of the disease should have meant having no chance of spreading it.

The couple left as soon as the service was over. But shortly afterwards, things took a turn for the worse, and in a wholly confusing way. The wife started to become ill on January 22, followed by her husband two days later. Because they had flown in from Wuhan, the epicentre of the outbreak, that was no big surprise.

But over the following week, three local people also came down with the disease for no obvious reason, leading to one of Singapore's first and most baffling coronavirus cases. Working out what had happened would lead to a new and disturbing insight into how the virus was so successfully finding new victims.