COVID Updates from Johns Hopkins in the U.S.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in the U.S. has been providing regular, non-partisan updates on the worldwide COVID pandemic since the outset. The updates are available on their website, and also by email subscription. They make for very valuable and informative reading.

 

https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/resources/COVID-19/COVID-19-SituationReports.html

 

Here's some of the latest from their Sept. 9 update regarding developments in the U.K.:

 

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While not in the top 10, the UK is also exhibiting a concerning increase in daily incidence, more than doubling since August 22—now up to 2,032 new cases per day.

 

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In response to the recent increase in daily incidence, the UK government decreased the allowable social gathering size from 30 to 6 individuals. This rule will not apply to households or bubbles of more than 6 persons. Additionally, pubs, restaurants, and other hospitality-based businesses will be required to collect customers’ contact information in order to aid in contact tracing efforts following suspected exposures. Collecting customer information was previously voluntary.

 

[cmarshall]

While the UK is not in the top ten for news cases it is very much in the top ten for deaths per million, which is the scorecard for how well or poorly a country managed its outbreak.  For comparison's sake, Thailand has a deaths per million of 0.84.

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

From JH's Sept. 18 Update:

 

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The global daily incidence is once again increasing, driven largely by increasing incidence in India and multiple countries in Europe. After leveling off at approximately 260,000 new cases per day, the global daily average is now up to 285,000. As expected, the daily incidence in Asia and Europe are increasing, while North and South America appear to have plateaued or started to decline. Africa’s daily incidence peaked in mid-to-late June, and it has steadily decreased since then, now reporting fewer than 7,500 new cases per day for the entire continent. 

 

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With respect to deaths, Asia and North and South America are all reporting similar daily mortality (1,350-1,800 deaths per day), and Africa, Europe, and Oceania are all reporting fewer than 500 deaths per day. On a per capita basis, South America (3.4 daily deaths per million population) and North America (2.2 per million) are both reporting higher than the global average (0.7 per million). Europe (0.6 per million) is near the global average, and Africa, Asia, and Oceania are all reporting fewer than 0.4 daily deaths per million population.

https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/resources/COVID-19/COVID-19-SituationReports.html

 

PS - the same update I've linked to above contains an extended discussion about both the current rise of the virus across European countries, and also the UK's ongoing struggles and failed efforts to mount a comprehensive virus testing scheme.

 

Good reading for either European or UK folks.

 

Edited September 19, 2020 by TallGuyJohninBKK