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Anutin in discussion with "many countries" over vaccine travel bubble - but cagey over who they are


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So if we use the Sinovac vaccine and your figures above.

 

Sinovac is around 70% efficacy ......

 

You state say up to 50% of vaccinated people who then go on to get Covid - do not spread it.

 

So.......100,000 vaccinated tourists come in to Thailand.

 

30,000 of them could catch ,carry Covid 19.

 

Of that 30,000 - 50% of them could spread it.

 

So in 100,000 vaccinated Chinese tourists there are 15,000 that could be spreading Covid-19.

 

 

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1 hour ago, RR2020 said:

So if we use the Sinovac vaccine and your figures above.

 

Sinovac is around 70% efficacy ......

 

You state say up to 50% of vaccinated people who then go on to get Covid - do not spread it.

 

So.......100,000 vaccinated tourists come in to Thailand.

 

30,000 of them could catch ,carry Covid 19.

 

Of that 30,000 - 50% of them could spread it.

 

So in 100,000 vaccinated Chinese tourists there are 15,000 that could be spreading Covid-19.

 

 

There's also the same problem the other way round. I am not sure how much China may trust Thailand. They may fear those 15% (or whatever) come back to contaminate China. China has currently only inoculated 75 million doses and doesn't plan to reach herd immunity levels before the end of the year. I won't bet Thailand will get Chinese tourists soon.

Edited by candide
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5 hours ago, RR2020 said:

 

So if we use the Sinovac vaccine and your figures above.

 

Sinovac is around 70% efficacy ......

 

You state say up to 50% of vaccinated people who then go on to get Covid - do not spread it.

 

So.......100,000 vaccinated tourists come in to Thailand.

 

30,000 of them could catch ,carry Covid 19.

 

Of that 30,000 - 50% of them could spread it.

 

So in 100,000 vaccinated Chinese tourists there are 15,000 that could be spreading Covid-19.

 

Sinovqc has been proven scientifically to be only 50.3 % effective.

and as for the rest of your post the mind boggles

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6 hours ago, RR2020 said:

So if we use the Sinovac vaccine and your figures above.

 

Sinovac is around 70% efficacy ......

 

You state say up to 50% of vaccinated people who then go on to get Covid - do not spread it.

 

So.......100,000 vaccinated tourists come in to Thailand.

 

30,000 of them could catch ,carry Covid 19.

 

Of that 30,000 - 50% of them could spread it.

 

So in 100,000 vaccinated Chinese tourists there are 15,000 that could be spreading Covid-19.

 

 

An efficacy rate of 90% doesn't mean 90% of those vaccinated would be protected and 10% of those vaccinated would not be protected.  

Likewise, an efficacy rate of 50% doesn't mean only half of those vaccinated would be protected.

Please watch the following video.

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