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Ten Percent of Republicans Less Likely to Vote for Trump After Felony Conviction: Reuters/Ipsos Poll

 

A Reuters/Ipsos poll, completed on Friday, reveals that 10% of Republican registered voters are less likely to vote for Donald Trump following his felony conviction for falsifying business records to cover up a hush money payment to a porn star. The two-day poll, conducted shortly after the Republican presidential candidate's conviction by a Manhattan jury on Thursday, also found that 56% of Republican registered voters said the case would have no impact on their vote, while 35% said they were more likely to support Trump. Trump has claimed the charges against him are politically motivated and has vowed to appeal.

 

The potential loss of 10% of his party's voters is more significant for Trump than the increased backing from over a third of Republicans, as many of the latter likely would have voted for him regardless of the conviction.

 

Among independent registered voters, 25% said Trump's conviction made them less likely to support him in November, compared to 18% who said they were more likely to support him and 56% who said the conviction would have no impact on their decision.

 

The verdict could significantly impact the race between Trump, who served as U.S. president from 2017 to 2021, and Democratic President Joe Biden ahead of the November 5 election. U.S. presidential elections are typically decided by narrow margins in competitive swing states, so even small voter defections can have a significant impact.

 

The poll shows Biden and Trump in a tight race, with 41% of voters favoring Biden if the election were held today and 39% favoring Trump. The poll, which surveyed 2,556 U.S. adults nationwide, has a margin of error of roughly 2 percentage points for registered voters, consistent with a previous Reuters/Ipsos poll showing both candidates with 40% support. About 20% of voters remain undecided, leaning toward third-party candidates, or are considering not voting at all.

 

The election is still more than five months away, meaning that much could change before November 5. Some Republican strategists believe the news of Trump's conviction will have little influence on voters' decisions by then.

 

Trump is set to be sentenced on July 11, and the poll showed voters evenly divided on whether he should serve prison time for his crimes. While 53% of registered voters believe he should not be jailed over the hush money case, 46% believe he should serve time. Incarceration would not prevent Trump from campaigning or taking office if he were to win; his sentencing hearing will come just days before the Republican Party is scheduled to formally nominate him as its presidential candidate at its convention in Milwaukee.

 

Voter opinions are split on whether the hush money case against Trump is politically motivated, with 52% believing the prosecution is about upholding the rule of law and 46% thinking it aims to prevent Trump from returning to the White House.

 

Trump faces three other criminal indictments, but legal delays could push these trials beyond the November election. Legal scholars consider the pending trials, which include charges of electoral fraud and mishandling classified documents after leaving office, to be more serious than the hush money case. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all charges.

 

Approximately 60% of registered voters believe it is important for the three pending trials to occur before the election, compared to 39% who say it is not important and 1% who did not respond.

 

as reported by Reuters

 

2024-03-02

 

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There may still be hope. Now let’s hope these people show a little backbone and won’t vote for Trump come November 5 after all. People like Bill Barr and other prominent Republicans set a very bad example in that respect: railing against Trump, calling him a threat to democracy, and then finally admitting they’re going to vote for him after all. Cowards. 

"Ten Percent of Republicans Less Likely to Vote for Trump"

Does this mean that 90% of Republicans are More Likely to vote for Trump ?

29 minutes ago, rudi49jr said:

There may still be hope. Now let’s hope these people show a little backbone and won’t vote for Trump come November 5 after all. People like Bill Barr and other prominent Republicans set a very bad example in that respect: railing against Trump, calling him a threat to democracy, and then finally admitting they’re going to vote for him after all. Cowards. 

It would be easier for them to switch their votes if the Democratic ticket didn't consist of a potted plant and a word salad machine. 

1 hour ago, cracker1 said:

"Ten Percent of Republicans Less Likely to Vote for Trump"

Does this mean that 90% of Republicans are More Likely to vote for Trump ?

9/10 support an incoherent lying dope   https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/31/donald-trump-verdict-speech-fact-check

The way I read it the more significant stat is the  60% who of all registered voters who would like/want the other pending trials to go ahead prior to the November election perhaps as a way of confirming one way or other direction of support.

 

Main-stream media will be publishing poll after poll showing that Trump has lost votes and that "polls show that Biden will win for sure!"

Just ignore 2016 when they did the same thing.  "Hillery is winning for sure, Trump doesn't have a chance in hell."

And the rest is history.
 

Edited June 4, 20242 yr by connda

The dem trial and their radical concocted scheme that convicted Trump ,all comes down to the appeal process .

The dems vs the Gop and their media 

propaganda outlets!

Who will win the battle of words in a vicious attempt at changing public opinion in the court of public opinions.

The battle for the Swing voters ,(independents)has begun!

 

May the man who loves traditional values win!

 

Methinks

 

Btw - since the news of Trump's "conviction" I've seen polls saying that he's losing votes and polls saying he's gaining votes.

Wise individuals should understand that polls are propaganda that should not be trusted.

There are lies, damn lies, and polls statistics.

We have our own very good indicator at AN. When Illisdean stops writing posts, it means that Biden is winning in polls! 🤣

16 minutes ago, connda said:

Btw - since the news of Trump's "conviction" I've seen polls saying that he's losing votes and polls saying he's gaining votes.

Wise individuals should understand that polls are propaganda that should not be trusted.

There are lies, damn lies, and polls statistics.

Many people have watched the news in the past couple of months about the dem trial against Trump  in NY.

 

Dems needed a trial for that label, they will claim it was a fair trial and justice prevailed according to the System!

 But its all BS ! They have coordinated this scheme for a couple of years now!

The American system of justice fell

in a NY jurisdiction that votes 85% dem. The dem judge was conflicted. The Prosecutors were dem ! They concocted a a misdemeanor into a felony just for Trump!

When Trump asked for a change of venue , to escape that jurisdiction,it was denied!

Going forward the dems& Msm will crucify him further as biden pivots to the center. The  Appeals  process to get it out of that evil jurisdiction looms large.

 

 

 

3 minutes ago, riclag said:

Many people have watched the news in the past couple of months about the dem trial against Trump  in NY.

 

Dems needed a trial for that label, they will claim it was a fair trial and justice prevailed according to the System!

 But its all BS ! They have coordinated this scheme for a couple of years now!

The American system of justice fell

in a NY jurisdiction that votes 85% dem. The dem judge was conflicted. The Prosecutors were dem ! They concocted a a misdemeanor into a felony just for Trump!

When Trump asked for a change of venue , to escape that jurisdiction,it was denied!

Going forward the dems& Msm will crucify him further as biden pivots to the center. The  Appeals  process to get it out of that evil jurisdiction looms large.

 

 

 

It's a nice conspiracy theory! 😀

A lot will depend on the outcome of an appeal against the verdict/ verdicts.

1 hour ago, connda said:

Main-stream media will be publishing poll after poll showing that Trump has lost votes and that "polls show that Biden will win for sure!"

Just ignore 2016 when they did the same thing.  "Hillery is winning for sure, Trump doesn't have a chance in hell."

And the rest is history.
 

Yes the worst president in American History

4 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

It would be easier for them to switch their votes if the Democratic ticket didn't consist of a potted plant and a word salad machine. 

Well it doesn’t.

And no felons either.

20 minutes ago, Thingamabob said:

A lot will depend on the outcome of an appeal against the verdict/ verdicts.

The appeal will still be running after the election.

 

July 11 is sentencing.

5 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

It would be easier for them to switch their votes if the Democratic ticket didn't consist of a potted plant and a word salad machine. 

A potted plant that has lead a major nation out of the worst pandemic in a hundred years took over from the worst president in our history has managed to lead the USA into the most successful economy on the planet created more jobs passed for real concrete legislation for the betterment of the country……does it make you feel better to regurgitate such nonsense?really?you need new material…..

3 hours ago, riclag said:

The dem trial and their radical concocted scheme that convicted Trump ,all comes down to the appeal process .

The dems vs the Gop and their media 

propaganda outlets!

Who will win the battle of words in a vicious attempt at changing public opinion in the court of public opinions.

The battle for the Swing voters ,(independents)has begun!

 

May the man who loves traditional values win!

 

Methinks

 

Welcome to the Biden camp.

 

1 hour ago, Thingamabob said:

A lot will depend on the outcome of an appeal against the verdict/ verdicts.

You don't seem to realize that the appeals decisions won't happen before election day.

Trump if still nominated, will be running as a convicted felon x 34. Deal with it.

24 minutes ago, Tug said:

A potted plant that has lead a major nation out of the worst pandemic in a hundred years took over from the worst president in our history has managed to lead the USA into the most successful economy on the planet created more jobs passed for real concrete legislation for the betterment of the country……does it make you feel better to regurgitate such nonsense?really?you need new material…..

 

37 minutes ago, Tug said:

A potted plant that has lead a major nation out of the worst pandemic in a hundred years took over from the worst president in our history has managed to lead the USA into the most successful economy on the planet created more jobs passed for real concrete legislation for the betterment of the country……does it make you feel better to regurgitate such nonsense?really?you need new material…..

I'm not the one regurgitating. You have the same list of talking points and you deploy them almost every time. And still...still...the American people simply don't believe you. 

 

Pre-covid America under Trump was a good place to live. Cheap gas, low inflation, affordable housing, historic low unemployment for black/hispanic people. These are things people remember, not your laundry list of "accomplishments" that do nothing for the average citizen. 

I would agree to discount polls.

Look at the fundamentals.

 

 

“Trump cannot win with his base.” Biden is poised to win the 2024 election, says Allan Lichtman.

1 hour ago, Hanaguma said:

I'm not the one regurgitating. You have the same list of talking points and you deploy them almost every time. And still...still...the American people simply don't believe you. 

 

Pre-covid America under Trump was a good place to live. Cheap gas, low inflation, affordable housing, historic low unemployment for black/hispanic people. These are things people remember, not your laundry list of "accomplishments" that do nothing for the average citizen. 

Pre-Covid life was better everywhere. It was not a specific to the U.S.

4 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

I'm not the one regurgitating. You have the same list of talking points and you deploy them almost every time. And still...still...the American people simply don't believe you. 

 

Pre-covid America under Trump was a good place to live. Cheap gas, low inflation, affordable housing, historic low unemployment for black/hispanic people. These are things people remember, not your laundry list of "accomplishments" that do nothing for the average citizen. 

Haggis as you know the cheep gas was during Covid due to oversupply pe Covid inflation and interest rates were down now as the WORLD fights inflation one of the tools used to kill it is interest rates as you well know .Trump presided over the greatest job loss in our HISTORY all stop .you are mistaken on the housing prices they were very high then more so now.the talking points you refer to are positive accomplishments under this administration.trump is a criminal conn he is what he is just wait untle the important case come to trial.lock him up!

Alternate headline: 9 in 10 Republicans want a convicted felon for president.

Edited June 4, 20242 yr by shdmn

11 hours ago, cracker1 said:

"Ten Percent of Republicans Less Likely to Vote for Trump"

Does this mean that 90% of Republicans are More Likely to vote for Trump ?

10% probably means a loss for Dozer

8 hours ago, riclag said:

The dem trial and their radical concocted scheme that convicted Trump ,all comes down to the appeal process .

The dems vs the Gop and their media 

propaganda outlets!

Who will win the battle of words in a vicious attempt at changing public opinion in the court of public opinions.

The battle for the Swing voters ,(independents)has begun!

 

May the man who loves traditional values win!

 

Methinks

 

Trump was convicted by a jury of his peers. The GOP is just spewing propaganda. Sad some fall for it

10 hours ago, 0ffshore360 said:

The way I read it the more significant stat is the  60% who of all registered voters who would like/want the other pending trials to go ahead prior to the November election perhaps as a way of confirming one way or other direction of support.

 

What a shame that the corrupt supreme court is assisting in delaying the more serious trials til after the election.  You know those little things like trying to overthrow an election, stealing all sorts of classified docs then refusing to give them back and lying and obstructing justice....both of those cases have massive amounts of evidence....obviously about 35% of the maga bunch would vote trump if he crapped on their head and laughed at their ignorance....but if the trials were held and he were convicted for a second or third group of felonies where prison was much more likely sentence?  

 

The supremes have found time to review all sorts of cases over the last two months that have little or no national signficance but they have not been able to deal with a very simple legal quesion of should and ex president have total immunity from any and all crimes?  DUH..

 

The supremes have pushed this issue to the last possible day of the session....perhaps they are too busy accepting luxury vacations from right wing billionaires or having to raise trump friendly flags at their homes....disgusting in every way possible.

9 hours ago, Hanaguma said:

I'm not the one regurgitating. You have the same list of talking points and you deploy them almost every time. And still...still...the American people simply don't believe you. 

 

Pre-covid America under Trump was a good place to live. Cheap gas, low inflation, affordable housing, historic low unemployment for black/hispanic people. These are things people remember, not your laundry list of "accomplishments" that do nothing for the average citizen. 

Yeah too bad the orange traitor couldn't handle a crisis      .   The laundry list does plenty for the average citizen          Once again non-American speaking for the "American people"

potted palnt ,word salad  -   quite articulate       regurgitate on 

 

Edited June 4, 20242 yr by charleskerins
nm

3 hours ago, pomchop said:

What a shame that the corrupt supreme court is assisting in delaying the more serious trials til after the election.  You know those little things like trying to overthrow an election, stealing all sorts of classified docs then refusing to give them back and lying and obstructing justice....both of those cases have massive amounts of evidence....obviously about 35% of the maga bunch would vote trump if he crapped on their head and laughed at their ignorance....but if the trials were held and he were convicted for a second or third group of felonies where prison was much more likely sentence?  

 

The supremes have found time to review all sorts of cases over the last two months that have little or no national signficance but they have not been able to deal with a very simple legal quesion of should and ex president have total immunity from any and all crimes?  DUH..

 

The supremes have pushed this issue to the last possible day of the session....perhaps they are too busy accepting luxury vacations from right wing billionaires or having to raise trump friendly flags at their homes....disgusting in every way possible.

The Leonard Leo SC  bought and paid for.