Early voting - battleground states

[Danderman123]

2 minutes ago, earlinclaifornia said:

 According to a Fox News poll of Pennsylvania, Trump is running 5 percentage points behind Harris among voters ages 65 and over, slipping back from the previous month, when he and Harris were tied with that demographic. It’s a major shift from 2020, when Trump carried 53 percent of the senior vote in Pennsylvania in a losing effort in the state.

 

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/31/trump-lagging-early-votes-seniors-pennsylvania-00186612

At this point, I don't care about polls. Hillary won all the polls.

 

Voting data is what matters.

 

I'll let @illisdean post polls, he can post them even after Trump loses, if it makes him feel better.

[theblether]

Jon Ralston reporting that the GOP advantage grew in Nevada yesterday. Today is the last day of early voting. 

[theblether]

Bottle crashing time. Dem strategists are now hoping for a 480,000 vote lead in Pennsylvania. Their original target(s) are impossible to hit now. 

 

Their current lead ( 400,000 ) will be destroyed by the GOP on election day. To put it in perspective, the last time the GOP win on election day was that low ( only 400,000 ) was 1968. 

 

In 2020 the GOP election day win in Penn State was 1 million. 

[theblether]

Reports coming in that the Dems have moved resources out of North Carolina ( accepted defeat ) and are trying to shore up Virginia. 

 

GOP is hoping to keep the Dem election day lead under 250,000. I can't work out the maths but the GOP thinks the current Dem lead is 150,000. My maths says 208,000 Dem lead. 

 

If Va votes Trump, Harris is kaput. 

 

 

 

.

Edited 2 hours ago by theblether

[HonestQuietTom]

1 hour ago, theblether said:

Reports coming in that the Dems have moved resources out of North Carolina ( accepted defeat ) and are trying to shore up Virginia. 

 

GOP is hoping to keep the Dem election day lead under 250,000. I can't work out the maths but the GOP thinks the current Dem lead is 150,000. My maths says 208,000 Dem lead. 

 

If Va votes Trump, Harris is kaput. 

 

 

 

.

 

The gender gap is certainly present in early voting....not a promising set of numbers for Trump.

 

 

Not to mention:

 

Even with GOP voters having cast more ballots in battleground states of Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina, Sams argued the Democratic nominee’s campaign is fine with the current numbers and added that they have surpassed surpassed its “internal metric” from two years ago. 

 

“We feel really good about the numbers that we’re seeing in our own early vote push,” Sams said. “We’re exceeding our own internal metrics from 2022, and we’re excited about bringing us home next week.”

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4960816-harris-campaign-senior-advisor-early-voting-numbers/

 

 

 

[HonestQuietTom]

2 hours ago, theblether said:

Bottle crashing time. Dem strategists are now hoping for a 480,000 vote lead in Pennsylvania. Their original target(s) are impossible to hit now. 

 

Their current lead ( 400,000 ) will be destroyed by the GOP on election day. To put it in perspective, the last time the GOP win on election day was that low ( only 400,000 ) was 1968. 

 

In 2020 the GOP election day win in Penn State was 1 million. 

Hmmm,

 

You probably need to expand your reading list to include a few non biased sources.

 

Donald Trump Gets Bad News From Two Early Voting Trends in Pennsylvania

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-bad-news-pennsylvania-early-voting-harris-1978491