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Reform UK Just One Point behind Labour in Latest YouGov Poll, a Blow for Starmer


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A new YouGov poll presents a worrying outlook for the Labour Party, revealing that Nigel Farage’s Reform UK is now just one point behind Labour in terms of voter support. The study, which is the first since last summer's general election that saw Labour secure a commanding victory, shows that the ruling party is currently at 26 percent, only narrowly ahead of Farage’s right-wing group, which stands at 25 percent.

 

In a surprising twist, the once-dominant Conservatives, who had held power for 14 years before losing control in the 2024 elections, now find themselves trailing Reform UK with only 22 percent of the vote, securing them third place in the poll. The results have led to immediate declarations from Farage, who seized the opportunity to criticize the Conservative Party’s standing. “The Tory brand is completely broken,” he declared on X. “We are the real opposition to this disastrous government.”

 

The poll highlights a significant shift in political dynamics. Labour, which has experienced considerable challenges since taking office, appears to be losing ground. The party has seen a notable dip in voter retention, with YouGov's data revealing that only 54 percent of Labour’s 2024 supporters would vote the same way if an election were held today. The poll also noted that Labour has lost 7 percent of its 2024 voters to the center-left Liberal Democrats, 6 percent to the Greens, 5 percent to Reform UK, and 4 percent to the Conservatives.

 

Farage’s rise in popularity has been fueled by a variety of factors, including recent endorsements from high-profile figures. One such endorsement came from U.S. billionaire Elon Musk, who used his platform on X to criticize the current Labour government. However, the relationship between Musk and Farage has been complicated. The two figures had a public falling-out after Farage distanced himself from a far-right figure who had been supported by Musk, despite the billionaire’s significant backing.

 

Although the general election is still some years away, the current polling data suggests that Labour’s early days in power have been tumultuous, marked by sluggish economic growth, contentious decisions surrounding social security and taxes, and a series of ethical controversies. POLITICO’s Poll of Polls shows that while Reform UK currently stands ahead of the Conservatives, with 24 percent to 22 percent, Labour maintains a four-point lead at 28 percent, indicating that Farage’s movement is a rising force to reckon with in British politics.

 

This shift in the political landscape reflects growing disillusionment with the established parties, particularly Labour and the Conservatives. With the electorate showing a willingness to explore alternatives, Reform UK is positioning itself as a key challenger to Labour’s dominance in future elections. As the political climate continues to evolve, Farage’s party appears increasingly poised to impact the upcoming political battles.

 

Based on a report by Politico 2024-01-16

 

 

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Posted

It might be a worry if the next election was due anytime soon.

 

As it is there’s four and a half years for the policies being enacted now to bear fruit.

 

And just as much time for Reform and the Tories to continue fighting over and split the rightwing vote.

 

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Posted

Reform still going Strong after the Musk debacle.

Starmer afraid to hold an inquiry into the Pakistani grooming gangs  is boosting support for Reform and people to the right of UK politics. 

A Starmer U turn  comming soon 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Smokey and the Bandit said:

Starmer's 'problems' just seem to getting worse?

Seems nothing compared to the problems BadEnoch is having. At this stage in the parliament her lot should be miles ahead but is trailing badly. She won't last long.

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Posted
2 hours ago, Smokey and the Bandit said:

Starmer's 'problems' just seem to getting worse?

Look out Nigel Farage will be opposition leader soon ....and P.M. next.but I wish he would get a new set of teeth first I'm sure he can afford it.

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