March 4Mar 4 Starmer’s Polling Slump Deepens As Greens SurgeSir Keir Starmer is facing a deepening popularity crisis after a new national poll showed Labour slumping to its lowest vote share — while the Greens leapfrog the Conservatives.A YouGov survey found the Green Party of England and Wales on 21 per cent, up four points following their shock by-election win in Gorton and Denton.Reform UK topped the poll on 23 per cent, with Labour and the Conservatives tied on 16 per cent — both down two points. The Liberal Democrats were unchanged at 14 per cent.It marks the Greens’ highest national score on record — and Labour’s lowest.‘Coalition Of The Left’ WarningElection Maps UK’s Nowcast model suggests Reform would emerge as the largest party if a general election were held tomorrow, winning 227 seats.The Greens would take 135 seats, the Lib Dems 92, while Labour would be reduced to just 40 MPs. The Conservatives would slump to 59.The projection indicates that a coalition of Labour, the Greens, the Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru and the Scottish National Party could scrape together 335 seats — narrowly enough for a majority.That prospect prompted senior Tory Robert Jenrick to warn of a “scary coalition of the Left” that could lock Britain into “five, ten years” of decline.Greens Dominate Under-50sThe poll of 2,073 adults found the Greens are now the most popular party among all age groups under 50 — including nearly half of 18 to 24-year-olds.They also lead among female voters, with 23 per cent backing them.Perhaps most concerning for Labour, 31 per cent of those who voted Labour at the last general election say they would now switch to the Greens, with only 43 per cent remaining loyal.Meanwhile, 28 per cent of 2024 Conservative voters would now back Reform, compared with 62 per cent who would stick with Kemi Badenoch.YouGov’s Anthony Wells said the shift was likely driven by publicity surrounding the recent by-election defeat — but the numbers underline mounting pressure on Starmer as Britain’s political map fragments at speed.SOURCE
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