President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to its lowest level of his second term, according to political analyst Nate Silver, as the continuing war with Iran and rising fuel prices weigh on public opinion.

Silver said on Thursday that the timing of Trump's declining approval closely matched the recent increase in petrol prices and the resumption of hostilities with Iran.

"The timing lines up remarkably well with gas prices and the resumption of hostilities in Iran," he wrote on X.

Support declines as Iran war and fuel prices dominate concerns

The conflict, now approaching its sixth month, has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime route that carries around 20% of the world's oil supply. The disruption has contributed to higher global energy costs, with the average price of a gallon of petrol in the United States reaching about $4.11 on Friday, up from roughly $3.15 a year earlier.

Polls Show Growing Disapproval

Two major polls released this week also indicate declining public support for Trump, particularly over his handling of the conflict in the Middle East.

A Quinnipiac University poll published on Tuesday found that 58% of registered voters disapproved of the president's job performance, while 32% approved. The survey marked Trump's lowest approval rating recorded by Quinnipiac across both of his terms in office.

An AP-NORC poll released on Wednesday similarly placed Trump's approval rating at 33%, down four percentage points from its previous survey. It was also the lowest level recorded by the polling organisation since Trump's return to the White House.

According to Decision Desk HQ's polling average on Friday, Trump's overall approval rating stood at 40.6%, while his average disapproval rating was 57.5%.

Economic Pressure Mounts

The prolonged conflict has also increased pressure on the US economy, with higher oil prices contributing to rising inflation and growing concerns over the cost of living ahead of the midterm elections.

Higher fuel costs have become a visible consequence of the fighting, as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to affect global oil markets.

Opposition to the War Increases

The Quinnipiac survey found that 60% of US voters opposed the war, the highest level of opposition since the conflict began on 28 February. Nearly three-quarters of respondents also said they did not support sending US troops to Iran.

The AP-NORC poll reached similar conclusions, with 64% of Americans saying the war had not been worthwhile. That view was shared by 87% of Democrats, 68% of independents and 37% of Republicans.

Join the discussion?

2 August 2026

View full article

Trump’s numbers dropping isn’t mysterious, he's achieved this through his own efforts.

Six months of war, $4‑plus petrol, and no clear endgame. People don’t like foreign conflicts that hit their wallets, and the polling shows exactly that.

The sane old same old, that victory is around the corner, is really starting to wear thin.

It’s the classic moment Shakespeare warned about: “Uneasy lies the head that wears a crown”. The weight of the Iran conflict, the oil shock, and voter fatigue are all sitting squarely and deservedly on his shoulders now!

Mr Jim you aren’t even beginning to scratch the surface on the deep betrayal many Americans feel towards this failure.I believe you have touched upon the leading reason his supporters are dumping him…there’s lots more he’s earned …..hopefully soon we can put this nightmare behind us.

Maga cult song?

We paid the fare, and we took the train
Three teenagers, helping each-other go insane

[Chorus]
We were so excited for that day to come around
Just wanted to have fun like your average high school clown
No words can explain exactly what we found
And the walls came tumbling down
The walls came tumbling down
The walls came tumbling down
The walls came tumbling down
Came tumbling down
Came tumbling down

Nate Silver said the election was too close to call. He wanted money to sign up to his election forecast. The guy is a shonk. I accurately predicted the election to within 0.1%.

That guy should apologise and close his website. A total embarassment.

Edited August 2Aug 2 by Rockyroad

The Grifter has now started a new service.

$100,000/month now gets you “advanced access to real time feeds of the most market making Truth posts from President Trump.”

Great for the cronies. Not so much for the average investor.

I wonder how many MAGA’s can afford 100,000 dollars a month.

23 minutes ago, Rockyroad said:

I accurately predicted the election to within 0.1%.

But Rockyroad wasn't a member at the time of the election, so which of the twenty previous usernames did you post with?

17 hours ago, webfact said:

A Quinnipiac University poll published on Tuesday found that 58% of registered voters disapproved of the president's job performance, while 32% approved.

Who are those 32%❓ Deaf, blind? Stoned? (or stock market winners?)

Don's done this to himself, he's an expert at two things, shooting himself in the foot and grifting. He's also pretty talented at losing wars.

The extent to which this man is despised is only revealed when he actually goes out in public which is not very often these days. He is truly a pestilent boil on the face of America. Everyday with him in office is another day that America marches backwards towards irrelevancy.

Edited August 3Aug 3 by spidermike007

5 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

Don's done this to himself, he's an expert at two things, shooting himself in the foot and grifting. He's also pretty talented at losing wars.

The extent to which this man is despised is only revealed when he actually goes out in public which is not very often these days. He is truly a pestilent boil on the face of America. Everyday with him in office is another day that America marches backwards towards irrelevancy.

You can't afford to live in the US. Poor and jealous.

19 minutes ago, newbee2022 said:

Who are those 32%❓ Deaf, blind? Stoned? (or stock market winners?)

US inflation 3.5%. Biden average 5% .

12 hours ago, phetphet said:

The Grifter has now started a new service.

$100,000/month now gets you “advanced access to real time feeds of the most market making Truth posts from President Trump.”

Great for the cronies. Not so much for the average investor.

I wonder how many MAGA’s can afford 100,000 dollars a month.

Right. The Grand Master of Grifting continues his grifting ways. He's basically charging them a huge fee for advanced insider trader information, which they can use to purchase or sell stocks before they go up or down due to the information Trump will be later releasing.

Buying or selling stocks with insider information is, of course, illegal, as Martha Stuart found out. Her little stock sale pales in comparison to all of Trump's illegalities. Nice his approval rating is continuing to drop--but I remain astonished it is still in the low 30s when it should be close to zero.

1 hour ago, Rockyroad said:

US inflation 3.5%. Biden average 5% .

Well, the term is not over, so wait

1 hour ago, Rockyroad said:

You can't afford to live in the US. Poor and jealous.

I do admit that living in the US would stretch my budget, but thankfully I have zero interest in living there.

However I would live there for 3 years if a sponsor stepped up and offered to pay me 3 million dollars a year.

I love polls, especially when they told me Hillary is winning.

The guy is the worst. Turd brain turd touch.

3 hours ago, Rockyroad said:

US inflation 3.5%. Biden average 5% .

Biden 2024 2.9%. 🤣🤣🤣

On 8/3/2026 at 3:23 AM, Rockyroad said:

US inflation 3.5%. Biden average 5% .

Trump inherited a YOY inflation rate of 1.46% from Obama and managed that up to 2,46%, not too bad! Biden inherited the knock on effects of COVID19 plus the Russian invasion of Ukraine which caused a massive hike of oil prices but got inflation back to 2.9 % for Trump to inherit. With tariffs, warmongering and fealty to the tech oligarchs your man’s not doing so well now is he? How’s the US national debt doing?

2 hours ago, retayl said:

How’s the US national debt doing?

Don't be silly; the national debt is not important unless the president is a Democrat.

He should have listened to this guy.

Edited August 4Aug 4 by shdmn