^That's a very good point. Many people who work and live in Bangkok are still registered with upcountry Amphurs. They live here, but they are counted as residents of Nakhon Wherever and vote for MPs up there (if they vote at all).

Or as part of the 40% who couldn't take 3 days off their jobs

and ride in the back of a pickup truck for two days and nights

to go vote in a simple by-election.

Some work in resort areas and it's even longer to travel.

And those are the ones more likely to have an open minded, less biased,

view of their politicians, from exposure to more differing opinions.

That the urban working class are still registered to vote by land papers in a province far away and for MPs who dont know, understand or care for their issues is something amny miss. This disenfrachised group need to be reincluded in Thailand's future by being allowed to voite for MPs where they actually live and work rather than at the piece of land they remain tied to in archaic feudal fashion.

The PAD party wont do well but they will decrease the Dems number of seats imho which is probably the aim as now that creates pressure.

The Dems also have internal problems

Newin will try to use the largesse to do better in the Isaan but it will take time and not be to the liking of Isaan Dems - they have seats in Ubon, Yasothon and Amnat Charoen as well as on the Isaan lists. Newin needs time to create optimim conditions. PTP dont want him to have time and it seems Isaan Dems dont either. Interesting politics.

So PAD gain at the expenses of Dems and can't penetrate the rural areas

If Demos can not make in road at northeast their seat may shrink as well.

For demos and his partner chart Thai Pattana, Puea Pandin, Ruam Jai Thai Chart Pattana, and Bhumjaithai are going to against Puea Thai in next election .

If use Sisaket as the yardstick, Demos partners may have to struggle and shrink.

Does Puea Thai has a chance to break Bhumjaithai backyard Burrirum and gain more than 50 % of the seat along in the whole country

Of course everythings can change before the next election .