Jump to content

Pollsters Say They're Working To Make Better Predictions: Thailand


webfact

Recommended Posts

POLL
Pollsters say they're working to make better predictions

The Nation

BANGKOK: -- Suan Dusit Poll chief Sukhum Chaloeysub has released a letter publicly apologising for the incorrect predictions for the governor's election.

Pollsters said they were sorry they released wrong projections for both pre-election and exit polls over who would win the race. They explained there were several factors affecting the accuracy of the poll.

The letter said the Dusit Poll team met on Monday to find out why its survey had come up with the wrong results.

The meeting resolved to change the "process of survey" in the future, by getting pollsters to plan better and train their staff; double-checking all data storage, including mapping and telephones; keep a better control on variables in data analysis, such as popularity flow, base vote of each side and behaviour of the respondents; and having all 27 key researchers to consider staff quality control.

Some lacked caution in the control of variables and some did not understand the political process, he said, adding that the poll findings of the research team did not reflect the real opinion of Bangkok residents.

Staff members of Suan Dusit Poll are working to improve and restructure their polling methods.

Abac Poll chief Noppadon Kannikar said in his article "That day… the Lost Truth", that Abac did not take an exit or entry poll but only a pre-election poll between last Thursday and Saturday. The survey showed projected voter turnout at 66.4 with a poll point aberration of between 5 and 7 per cent.

In reality, the voter turnout was 63.9 and the media did not present the aberration, which made the public believe the poll was wrong.

Some groups called on pollsters to stop focusing on certain issues which, Noppadon said, would not be possible as it would mean not reflecting "the truth of all the classes [in society]" in a democratic system.

nationlogo.jpg
-- The Nation 2013-03-06

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In other words they were talking <deleted> and don't have a clue.

Here is a hint.

When you take a poll publish not only the results but the questions as well with a contact number or website so that you can get proper feedback.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Better predictions mean polling in all of Thailand's provinces not in 10. The same counts for Bangkok not in 10 districts but in all and reaching people working in the fields and in factories. That is not going to happy. Rather lazy than tired is written in their tag lines.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BANGKOK: -- Suan Dusit Poll chief Sukhum Chaloeysub has released a letter publicly apologising for the incorrect predictions for the governor's election.

OR in other words : "Suan Dusit Poll chief says "Sorry we fecked up and next time we won't <deleted> up quite so badly"

Edited by ratcatcher
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.










×
×
  • Create New...