Face to face one last time: Debate night for Clinton, Trump

[Publicus]

36 minutes ago, Anthony5 said:

 

 

You don't seem to get it, because it is about one poll only, which will be held early November.

 

The candidate who ends up the winner to include the candidate's supporters never say that in that way.

 

It's what Barry Goldwater said each day from the Republican National Convention to the poll in early November, 1964. He got 38% of the popular vote, same as all the reliable polls said all along, each and every day.

 

The right is on a death watch. 

[ilostmypassword]

5 hours ago, Anthony5 said:

 

 

You don't seem to get it, because it is about one poll only, which will be held early November.

Congratulations, you have just totally disproved the validity of the mathematical field of statistics.  And with that, modern science and business crumbles into dust.

[ilostmypassword]

5 hours ago, Bob9 said:

So what did Nate call in 1980?      Only kidding.   But did Nate predict yes to Brexit?  And what did Nate predict about Trump's chances of winning the Republican nomination?

 

I recall recently reading about an academic who had a 'system' that had correctly predicted the last 12 POTUS elections and he was predicting Trump to win (just). His methodology seemed sound, although he missed one variable in his list - the number of women who will vote for Clinton because she is a female. IMO that always been Trump's weakest point - and Clinton's strongest (certainly not her record in Office).  It is going to be close - and it is too early to predict IMO. 

 

In fact, in the polls the remainers and the leavers were running neck and neck over Brexit. It was pundits and such who maintained Brexit was going to lose. 

[Scott]

Please stay on the topic of the debate.   Brexit is starting to move off in a tangent as is a long debate on polls in this particular thread.