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candide

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Posts posted by candide

  1. 44 minutes ago, CorpusChristie said:

    You link states " It has been 2 years, 9 months since North Korea's last ICBM test."

    Which must be about the same time as Trump and Kims meeting ?

    More than 6 months before the meeting and 3 months before NK started to make contact with SK. They stopped because they had completed their program.

    "After North Korea claimed that the missile was capable of "carrying [a] super-heavy [nuclear] warhead and hitting the whole mainland of the U.S.", Kim-Jong-Un announced that they had "finally realized the great historic cause of completing the state nuclear force",[23] putting them in a position of strength to push the United States into talks.[24]

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_North_Korea–United_States_Singapore_Summit

    • Thanks 1
  2. 23 minutes ago, CorpusChristie said:

    It really doesnt 

    The USA is not the whole World and not everyone hangs onto every word he says 

    These days we are not force feed news , we can click on any news that interests us .

    (Please spare me , telling me what I click on and what I watch and what I read )  

    Well, considering the relatively high number of posts which are just echoing Trumps tweets.....

    • Like 1
  3. 41 minutes ago, forehandplus said:

    I'm sure that somewhere in The Art of War by Sun Tzu there's some discourse on doing nothing when your enemy is destroying himself. So sometimes doing nothing is a form of campaigning.

    A relevant quote from Sun Tzu:

    "If your opponent is temperamental, seek to irritate him. Pretend to be weak, that he may grow arrogant. If he is taking his ease, give him no rest."

    ????

    • Like 2
  4. 2 hours ago, CorpusChristie said:

    LOL, I was asking what Biden SHOULD do in the future, I wasnt asking what Trump Shouldnt have done in the past 

     

     

    You are just trying to hyde the most relevant issue under the carpet. The damage is done and now there isn't much more to do, apart from leaving the health authorities do their job.

     

    The relevant issue is who will be able to initiate and implement an efficient response to a next crisis (in case one comes up), without incoherent and childish behavior and without continuously bragging the first B.S. that comes to his mind.

    • Like 2
  5. 10 minutes ago, CorpusChristie said:

    Take into consideration that more Democrats  were asked than Republicans were .

    Dems seem to be more vociferous , Republican  may not have bothered answering the poll

    All polls are showing the same trend, not only this one. And as noticed by another poster, there are more registered Democrats than Republicans, so it reflects the composition of the population.

    The rest is just unbacked assumptions that people may be lying or may not be motivated to answer, etc....

    • Like 1
  6. 6 hours ago, Damual Travesty said:

    My original point, again, I don't put much credence in polls - one way or the other - at best they are a snapshot of a moment in time - prone to rapidly change - at worst - they are no longer accurate at all due to public simply not telling the truth when questioned. Something which is not easily measured. I will wait until after the election to find out who wins.

    You propose an hypothesis without anything to support it. How do you know that there may be a significant number if people lying? If yes, how do you know they are not more or less equally distributed.

    Polls are just as accurate (or inaccurate) as before.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right/

     

    Polls are just measuring attitudes at a given time. Attitudes do affect future behavior, but only to a certain extent. The current polls (they all show the same trend) just indicate that Biden is more likely to win. "More likely" (Biden), is better than "unlikely" (Trump), but Trump still has a small chance to win.

    My personal opinion is that attitudes are not going to change significantly, because both candidates are well-known by the voters. There will be no "new guy" or "let's try something different" effect.

    • Like 1
  7. 5 minutes ago, CorpusChristie said:

    I didnt realise people placed so much importance on what Trump says .

    There were reports back in January of a new highly contagious virus , I took precautions without seeking Dons advice 

    My post was not about individuals' reactions, it was about triggering and implementing an early response. What SK and Germany did. More or less what Trump started to do in mid-March.

    • Like 1
  8. 5 minutes ago, CorpusChristie said:

    My point is that even after the world became  aware of the dangers of the virus , many people still are unconcerned and dont take any precautions , Trumps early stance had little effect .

       Had he told everyone to wear masks , they would have just ignored his advice , as they are doing now 

    And masks were not available, anyway.

     

    The problem is that his stance was also reflected in his behavior. He failed to trigger and lead an early response. 

     

    Another problem is that he politised an issue which should not have been politicised, accusing the Dems and the MSM of creating panic and the usual B.S.

     

    • Like 1
  9. 2 hours ago, Hi Tea said:

     

    In short, nominations can be made by anyone who qualifies, it does not have to be a country!

    I agree, but the discussion was about Riclag writing "Thanks Norway", Chomper replying "It wasn’t a gift from Norway", and then you replied.

    So I recalled that he wasn't "Norway", just an individual.

    The fact that the guy is an extreme-right pro-Putin lawmaker only adds more flavour to the story.

    • Like 1
  10. 1 hour ago, cmarshall said:

    That was the last, best chance for the US to be S. Korea or Taiwan, both of whom were closely monitoring the new virus in China and kicked off their carefully prepared plans in Dec. 2019.

    This is actually not accurate. Of course, they were more apt to decrypt information from China due to geographical and cultural proximity. They were also more sensitive to epidemic risk and more experienced, having been hit by SARS and MERS previously.

     

    However, they only started to organise a response after Jan. 20, I.e. by creating a strategic committee, inciting labs and companies to produce tests, etc...

     

    What they did in a few weeks, the US could have easily done it in nearly two months.

     

    Another good example is Germany. It was exactly at the same level of information as the US at the end of January: both had a seat at the WHO executive board and had access to all information processed by the WHO.

    When the outburst occured on Feb. 25/26, Germany was ready (tests, equipment, organisation, etc...). When the outburst started in the US 3 weeks later, the country was not ready.

     

    https://ourworldindata.org/covid-exemplar-south-korea

     

    https://theconversation.com/what-coronavirus-success-of-taiwan-and-iceland-has-in-common-140455

     

    https://www.ft.com/content/cc1f650a-91c0-4e1f-b990-ee8ceb5339ea

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