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Isaan sailor

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Everything posted by Isaan sailor

  1. Bank of Thailand should move closer to a floating peg of the USD, like Vietnam does. Baht starting to rise, and would hurt the economy even more.
  2. Vietnam will eat Thailand’s lunch.
  3. The pendulum has swung right. It’s about time.
  4. Strange; from the 2020 election to this one, there few 15,000,000 million fewer ballots cast. And we were told the 2020 election was the most secure ever…
  5. I just hope we have a fair election. No ballot harvesting, uncompromised vote counting machines, clean voter rolls and voting by American citizens only.
  6. Kinda like the cameras watching Epstein’s cell…
  7. Good explanation. Thanks for the link.
  8. I would much prefer they tax tourists (and returning expats) a little, than the expats income.
  9. So no direct correlation of Tradingview USD prices to Wise USD/Baht. That would make sense. There must be other factors at play. Thanks for responding.
  10. Agree with your suggestions. It does seem, however that forex Tradingviews of USD don’t correlate with actual exchange rates of USD/Baht. Today we see a USD at 104.37 with a Wise price of 33.71. Yet on July 24, we saw USD at the same 104.37–and Wise showed 35.15 USD/Baht. Have the parameters changed? Or did foreign inflows buoy up the Baht this month? Not complaining here—just a bit confused
  11. Baht valuation makes no sense. It doesn’t follow international trading trends—should be much lower than now. I think foreign currency inflows have a direct bearing on Baht valuation. Data from Bank of Thailand seems to confirm this.
  12. If it sticks, could be the final nail in the coffin for Thailand. That, plus the crazy Baht valuation today—-DXY Tradingview shows USD at an 11-week high. The last time it hit 103.60 we had an exchange rate near 34. on the USD/Baht. Today, we have uSD at 33.14.
  13. Yup—stocks up, Baht up. And visa versa.
  14. Don’t forget, we also have fentanyl coming into the US, as a result
  15. Before my time. But I’d be happy with another peg to the Dollar—about 34 or 35 sounds right.
  16. No worries, Bank of Thailand assures us they will watch the Baht rise, and take appropriate action if necessary. They will probably reduce interest rates 1/4%. That should pump up western currencies but only a few Satang.
  17. Good answer, and straight forward too. Thank you. Still not sure why USD tanked with Baht on Friday, yet rose on the Dong. as well as on the DXY Tradingview.
  18. Thank you for this linked info. Bank of Thailand has experienced unusual inflows recently. However they won’t say where the inflows originate, I think there’s an 800 pound gorilla in the room—-Chinese investment money. Prove me wrong.
  19. Is the Boht overpriced on USD? Look at the ten year average USD/Baht rate: 33.20. Yes, it is now overpriced. And look what USD did yesterday vs Viet Nam Dong—it bounced up—not down like in Thailand.
  20. All kidding aside, why does the Baht have an inverse value to the USD and other western currencies? Why can’t the Baht go down when western currencies go down? I hardly think the Baht can be considered “risk on” and such a compelling value for traders.
  21. Personally, I hope the Baht swiftly rises to parity with the USD. That way, my Thai wife and I can move to America as millionaires!
  22. It’s crazy. US Fed cut interest rates 50 basis points—and US stocks relaxed, and the USD went up. I give up trying to understand currency traders.
  23. Why does the Baht have an inverse pricing to most, if not all western currencies? When the western currencies go down—why can’t the Baht go down along with them?
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