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Everything posted by Walker88
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How do you want things to be like by 2028?
Walker88 replied to hotsun's topic in ASEAN NOW Community Pub
Don’t confuse knowing what will happen with wanting something to happen. The US would have been just fine, with a few minor hiccups from time to time, if it had avoided electing the current incompetent clown. Now, all the worst case scenarios are on the table. A 20% market tumble this year is a certainty, as is the start of a Recession. Absent some dumb luck, more likely is a 50% market drop, double digit unemployment, and the US moving into a Depression. Tariffs, trade wars, alienating allies and yet more unnecessary tax cuts will do that. Though not totally immune to the coming maelstrom, I have taken steps to minimize any impact the clownshow can have on me. I’m totally out of the market, have gone short term USTs and cash, diversified into other currencies, and have international acreage that is arable and has its own water source. I own a range of weapons, should society get nasty, and have at least 20K rounds of ammo in various makes, from 5.56 NATO to 9mm, and my practice targets all have silly red hats. I’m fortunate in that I was trained by the best. As for predictability, I‘m pretty comfortable with my long term track record spotting trends, as that or dumb luck is what enabled me to retire at a tender age. I’m certainly never going to worry about digging 50 baht out of a Mike’s Shopping Mall pair of cargo shorts so that I can buy a plate of street food, like some MAGAs here. As Charlie Sheen says, WINNING! I also know MAGAs and their messiah are quite poor at predicting anything. That’s why the average MAGA is rather unsuccessful, and their messiah blew a massive inheritance with poor decision-making and top-ticking markets, until saved by Mark Burnett making him a Game Show Host. POTUS’ mouth diarrhea has already alienated former friends and allies, and led even gentle Canada into imposing its own tariffs on US goods, not bothering to wait for the whiner in the White House to finally make up his mind. A major fear I have is for a terrorist attack, because intel-sharing with former friendly liaison services has already stopped. Nobody trusts the President, and they are not about to hand over intel that could reveal clandestine assets or SIGINT operations, assuming the POTUS would either mouth off or hand intel to his buddy Putin. I wouldn’t even rule out the possibility of POTUS falling to a Ukrainian hit squad, or even a Danish one. Those Vikings should not be taken lightly. I’m guesstimating a 30% possibility that the US sees secession by successful Blue States before 2028. There are already secession movements in California and Washington, and any move by them would have New England and NY do the same. I remember back in 2020 when the ‘really stable geniuses’ of MAGAstan predicted a horrible 4 years under Biden. Well, they couldn’t have been more wrong. Since 2020, US economic growth was three times the average of other G7 nations, and was the highest US growth since under Bill Clinton in the 1990s. Biden presided over 41 straight months of <4% Unemployment, the longest streak in 64 years, and no President ever saw higher job creation. If there’s anything I would like to see, it is not POTUS getting shot, but maybe a stroke leaving him a drooling, blabbering idiot (might be tough to tell the difference from the present), and then after a period of karmic suffering for a life poorly lived, let him pass and get tossed into an unmarked grave, upon which dogs void themselves. I really don’t think that is too much to ask. -
As usual, the MAGAs are acting as dumb as anyone can be and still...possibly....be classified as the same species as homo sapiens. I think the jury is still out in that regard. Is there something special about the air above Greenland that it can stop ICBMs? In case you hadn't noticed, it's 2025. Siege engines are so Dark Ages. Also, a land invasion might be easy when Russia shares a border with Ukraine, but when there's this big body of water between the US and everybody except our former friends Canada and Mexico, a sneaky invasion or a blitzkrieg is a bit more difficult. Now if Canada decides to invade the US, or perhaps engage in a joint attack with Mexico, the shared land border becomes significant. In addition, lots of Americans would choose to fight with Canada and Mexico against the fascist and imperialistic MAGA clowns.
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Elect a clown, expect a circus. In 800 years under Denmark, nobody has attacked Greenland and nobody has even hinted at using military force against Greenland....until this clown. The claims letting others provide security to Greenland is pretending to fix what isn't broken. Greenland has been plenty secure since Leif Ericsson. And what are US guarantees or even implications of security worth under this clown? The US was helping Ukraine defend itself against Putin until what even Elon Muck's AI Grok says is a "75-85% chance" POTUS is a controlled Russian asset? POTUS has turned against historical allies and aligned with historical foes. Even if POTUS is just an unwitting fool of Putin, the US flip flop from standing up FOR democracy to standing up TO democracy is going to make any nation or territory fearful and suspicious of US intentions and guarantees. NOBODY who ever trusted POTUS ever came out ahead....not his subcontractors, not his junk bond buyers, not his casino employees, not his wives, not his "best people" (e.g., Mattis, Cohn, Kelly, Esper, Sessions, Barr, Tillerson, Milley).....NOBODY. The US itself was similarly betrayed by such things as his theft of highly classified documents and his attempt to overturn his 2020 election loss.
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LOL. I see the MAGAs around town. Old, obese, tatted up, with a deer-in-the-headlight look....I'm guessing they're down a few quarts of testosterone. I even see them post online here asking where they can get TRT. Sorry MAGAs, but real men produce their own testosterone, and know how to use it. Real men also don't need Big Pharma to raise their sails. (I remember Rush Limbaugh got stopped by customs entering the US with half a suitcase of Viagra he had bought offshore.) The "lefties" I know are gym rats, sculpted, and scoring well with women at home and abroad. We date Thai women now because we live in Thailand. We used to live in Japan, and dated Japanese women there, and back home we dated Western women. Love the one you're with, as Stephen Stills sang. Quiet confidence and a fit appearance sells everywhere, especially in Thailand. Of course, if MAGAs can scrape together a thousand baht, they can buy a toothless mother of five working in a beer bar. They call that 'living the dream'. In my old industry I worked with women who were not only extremely feminine, but well educated and earning huge incomes. The last thing they would ever want is some poorly educated loser who thinks a bloated, cowardly, convicted sex offender crybaby is an "Alpha". Have game or opt for onanism, which is the national sport of Incel-infested MAGAstan. If I were female and POTUS was the epitome of the modern male, I'd be gay. Hit the gym, and testosterone takes care of itself. You should try it.
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The same weaknesses that drive people to believe in deities is what drives the losers who are MAGA to worship him. Weak people don't like randomness, nor are they capable of accepting responsibility for their own failures. They gravitate toward entities that claim control over events or sell them pie-in-the-sky fantasies or especially tell them failures are others' fault. Simple answers for simple minds. All of those things resonate with the forlorn, and when a single figure is the source of all the ego salving, then everything that entity does or says is infallible. In religion, we have the supposed bad guy Satan, the one who tempts you to lie or cheat, and he is the epitome of all evil. The good guy, on the other hand, is supposedly omnipotent, which means it is responsible for tsunamis and childhood cancer and all sorts of horrors....but that entity's cult claims "Master Plan" or "works in mysterious ways". When it comes to evil, Satan is a mere posseur. So with the President, we have a guy who----as an example---stole highly classified documents, claimed he declassified them with his mind, but also claimed the FBI planted them. MAGAs believed all of it, despite the contradictions. He sent his goobers to hang the Vice President, but when they got arrested and convicted, he called their attack a lovefest, the terrorists "hostages", and he pardoned the scum. When he mouths off with his increasing insanity, saying things that either make no sense or are wildly contradictory, the cult parses it as if it has the "hidden meaning" of a Nostradamus quatrain or a message from "Q" of QAnon fame. Just yesterday he did what is now the norm for him: take both sides of the same issue. Russia carried out a massive drone attack on Ukraine. The clown's first comment was, "I don't blame him. He wants peace". (Now how idiotic is that. Putin started the war and is welcome to go home anytime, so clearly he doesn't want peace; he wants Ukraine.) Perhaps seeing his dream of a Nobel Peace Prize disappearing as the war heats up, POTUS then condemned the attack and spoke about new sanctions. Sane and intelligent people get dizzy with all the flip flops. MAGAs think it's manna from heaven. A cult is a cult is a cult. Most religions, QAnon, Scientology, MAGA....are refuges for the weak minded and losers.
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The abject ignorance of MAGAs never ceases to amaze. As dumb as one thinks they are, a MAGA will say, “hold my beer” and go about exceeding the lowest expectations. What is Socialist about lefties? Do have any clue whatsoever what you are even trying to say? Biden’s CAPITALIST economy dwarfed his predecessor, both in terms of GDP growth and employment/job creation. GDP growth under Biden was the best since the late 1990s under Clinton. Biden presided over 41 straight months of unemployment below 4%, a 64 year record. ALREADY under his successor, unemployment ticked upward, as Friday’s release showed. The Atlanta Fed, which under Biden had forecast a +2.3% 1st Quarter 2025, adjusted its forecast last Friday to a -1.3% 1st Q 2025, because of the economic policies of 47 and the uncertainty created by his flip-flopping every hour or so on tariffs. The deficit is ready to explode as forecasts see the coming tax cuts adding an additional $900 billion to the yearly budget deficit. Every country has some Socialist policies, such as national defense, the highway system, FDIC insurance, food and drug inspections, etc. What other “socialism” did “lefties” add and how did it impact growth?
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Trump Bows to Economic Reality With Tariff Delays and Exemptions
Walker88 replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
His election is a reflection of the general ignorance of voters and their need to believe pie-in-the-sky fantasy, something the POTUS admittedly is good at delivering.. The changing economy has obviated the kind of low skill, poorly educated people who are the President's bread and butter. He knows from Goebbels that a lie told often enough becomes "fact", and his moronic base is so desperate, they'll buy into absurdity, like that China pays for the tariffs. I can't say his voters are not getting what they deserve. Guys can take advantage of Darwin's Rules, but that doesn't mean they're clever, just self-serving opportunists. -
Trump Bows to Economic Reality With Tariff Delays and Exemptions
Walker88 replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
Since the end of January, the price of steel in the US is up 30%, and the price of lumber futures is up 20%. Inflation. Now consider many firms will import quickly to beat the tariffs, so the trade deficit will soar. That impacts the GDP calculation. Couple that with consumer sentiment already tumbling (according to the Michigan Survey of Sentiment, the benchmark measure), and the fact prices for goods will rise, and we'll see negative growth. So...inflation + negative growth. The term for that is Stagflation. Now before any willfully ignorant MAGAs jump in and bark about 'that will bring jobs home', riddle me this: How long does it take to design and construct an auto plant? A steel plant? Grow a forest made of the kind of trees used in home construction? But hey, maybe we'll make up in lost trade, lost ag exports, etc. with our new bestest buddies in Russia and North Korea. I mean aren't those both booming economies full of HNW consumers? -
Elon Musk - time to return to your Office at Tesla
Walker88 replied to TorquayFan's topic in Political Soapbox
Within 2 years Tesla will be bankrupt. It's a high cost, inferior product, plus the owner has alienated potential buyers around the world. It will first go through a Chapter 11 restructuring, but the damage is done, and competitors are producing much better vehicles at a fraction of the price. Musk is going to parrot his two recent rockets, blowing up and raining debris. His mental issues and ego will be the cause of his demise. -
Trump Bows to Economic Reality With Tariff Delays and Exemptions
Walker88 replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
Sounds good, but is far from reality. First, the clown isn't clever enough to carry out a plan like that. Second, the market is not going to recover. Dead cat bounces do not spell the end of the rout. Third, he's stupid enough to keep doing things that hurt both the stock market and the economy. Fourth, the biggest billionaire has lost $150 billion since mid-December, and his company stock even closed lower Friday, despite the dead cat bounce in the overall market. -
Trump Bows to Economic Reality With Tariff Delays and Exemptions
Walker88 replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
Bowing is about the only thing he is good at. Bowing to Putin...bowing to Musk...... Actually, he's also good at running to the WH bunker, as he does when a Code Pink protest develops on Pennsylvania Ave. Who would have thought a fat guy like that could move so quickly when fear of a group of post-menopausal women appearing on the street has him in a titter. -
Is Trump Losing the Trade War with Canada and Trudeau?
Walker88 replied to John Drake's topic in Political Soapbox
The bone spurs coward made yet another flip flop on tariffs---albeit after the market closed, so as not to cause yet more decline. Now it's going to be dairy products from Canada by next Friday......well, at least until wishy-washy changes his mind tomorrow. Canada is treating the clown's mouth diarrhea with all the respect it deserves, which is none. Canada is treating him as if he's a pre-pubescent teenage girl unsure what she will wear to go to the bowling alley, trying on every A&F, Old Navy, or Lululemon outfit in her closet. So bad is the President at dealmaking and impacting behavior, even Putin has decided he has no need to even pretend the President has any sort of workable peace plan, as Russia launched massive drone attacks against Ukraine Friday. The moron has dreams of a Peace Prize, still envious over Obama's award, failing to realize the Nobel Committee would likely choose Attila the Hun before the President. The whole world is laughing at the bozo in the White House. -
I would have thought the President would be more favorably disposed to trans people, as he is married to a trans, isn't he? (Without DNA evidence of a Y chromosome, I can't be sure, but certainly she looks the part to me.) I'm willing to bet she wouldn't even have to prove her katoey-ness, if she applied for a dancer job at one of Nana's ladyboy agogos. "She" is certainly not a woman in my book, and no amount of Viagra on Earth could get straight men to rise for the occasion. MAGAs, maybe, could, but since most of them are Incels anyway, that would not be proof of femininity or cross gender appeal. No, leave that beast for MAGAs and their messiah.
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BREAKING NEWS Watch Live: Trump to deliver address to Congress
Walker88 replied to Social Media's topic in World News
Since MAGAs have sided with a dictator and aggressor, it is understandable if Ukrainians now consider MAGAs enemy combatants and treat them accordingly. Wherever brave Ukrainians take their fight, know that real Americans support both your fight for freedom and your efforts against your enemies. If anyone anywhere is wearing a MAGA hat, he or she is an enemy combatant and an enemy to the free people of Ukraine. -
Is This the Start of the Trump Market Crash?
Walker88 replied to JK-Trilly's topic in Political Soapbox
As Winston Churchill said, "It's not the beginning of the end; it's not even the end of the beginning". There are significant historical peaks in markets that become part of history. December 2024 may well prove to be one. For all you dip buyers, go ahead and bet your life on a rebound. The clown in the White House has an uncanny ability to destroy everything. His tariff talk is not some 3-D chess; it's making foreign nations ignore him until he finally makes up his mind, and the equity market is reacting as it usually does to uncertainty. Stagflation is coming, because his policies will not only crush growth but cause significant price rises. His silly lie about 'auto plants being built' (because of tariffs) is absurd, except to the dumb MAGAs who think one can design an entire auto plant in a day and break ground on construction. His tax cuts will juice the yearly deficit by $900 billion, and matched against DOGE's measly savings of $2.7 billion (per the Wall Street Journal) are going to present a problem for the Fed in terms of controlling rates. Foreigners, who own 30% of US debt, remember the President's comment about defaulting on foreign-owned debt if needed. If they go on a buyer's strike, rates will soar to >10%, which would make the equity market overvalued by about 70%. After the market peak in 1929, it took until 1954 for the averages to reach the 1929 level, and that was only because indices replaced bankrupt companies. The Nikkei peaked at 38,915.87 on 28 December 1989, and did not hit that level again until 2024---and that after tumbling all the way to 7000. Many of the folks claiming there's a "buying opportunity" coming are unlikely to live long enough to see gains, if history of market peaks is any guide. Better they buy MAGA merchandise to toss in the box with them when they pass on. The consensus is that this recent fall is a blip, and the up trend will soon continue. The consensus is usually dead wrong. Also, after the kind of rout the market has seen in the last two months (especially stocks like Tesla), there tends to be a lot more fear. I don't see any fear, which suggests everybody who wants to be in the market is already in. That is not good. Markets do not announce tops. Real tops come when the majority is convinced it's just a blip. That consensus view could be the harbinger of a total rout, and we'll look back and say "we should have seen it". -
Elon Musk’s AI program Grok, which is being used to determine which Federal workers should be fired, was used to answer the following question: What is the likelihood, from 1-100, that the President is a Putin compromised asset. Use all publicly available information from 1980 on. Grok answered: "Weighing this, the financial ties (decades-long, opaque, and substantial), intelligence suggesting Russian intent, and the President’s unwavering refusal to criticize Putin despite attacking allies, tilt the scale. The lack of transparency---e.g., hiding tax returns, seizing interpreter notes after Putin talks---amplifies suspicion. No smoking gun proves direct control, but the “useful idiot” scenario, where the President’s ego and debts make him unwittingly pliable, fits the evidence. Adjusting for uncertainty and alternative explanations (e.g., ideological alignment or naivete), I estimate a 75-85% likelihood the President is a Putin-compromised asset, leaning toward the higher end due to the consistency of his behavior and the depth of historical ties." (Note that this was asked of Grok before the cut-off in military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine, so the estimate may have shifted even higher.) Now if Grok is good enough to use to fire Federal employees, certainly we can believe it’s good enough to fire a likely asset of a hostile foreign government.
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Speaking of sickening, the latest from AG Bondi, when asked about releasing more Epstein files, said: "More will be released but first some must be redacted for reasons of national security". Oh dear! What national security concerns could be revealed in Epstein files? I though this Administration was all about transparency. Well, one thing we know is that RFK, Jr admitted to flying on the Lolita Express at least twice. What and who are in the files requiring "redaction"? I suspect it is "sickening", although MAGAs would justify anything, including---for example---if Epstein (perhaps via Putin) provided a 12 year old Russian girl who bore a striking resemblance to a certain lusted after daughter of a miscreant daddy.
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BREAKING NEWS Watch Live: Trump to deliver address to Congress
Walker88 replied to Social Media's topic in World News
Thank you for sending the one real man who was in the Oval Office last Friday, President Zelenskyy. Also, please know that real Americans fully support the brave Ukrainian people and their relentless and courageous effort to defend themselves from the barbaric aggression of the psychopath in Russia. Sadly, you have a new group of enemies in addition to Putin, and that is MAGAs and their cowardly leader. Should Ukraine decide to take the battle to these new enemies, real American patriots fully support it. To borrow a quote from America's first war, "Don't fire until you see the red of their hats". -
BREAKING NEWS Watch Live: Trump to deliver address to Congress
Walker88 replied to Social Media's topic in World News
Is that British subtle humor? The clown pandered to his goobers with lie after lie after lie. Among his best: "The Dems spent $8 million---$8 million---on transgender mice." The little tweeb Speaker shakes his head like the trained seal he is. Reality (MAGAs might need to apply for a visa to enter this Reality, a land unknown to them): The money was spent on transgenic mice. That means altering genes to make lab experimentation more effective...you know, like testing drugs that might save human lives. Now maybe MAGAs have suddenly gotten a soft spot for mice, as they are so close on the evolutionary scale (though mice would kick MAGAs butts in maze-running), but this was likely either a known lie put together by Stephen Miller or whatever fascist wrote that collection of turbo-charged mendacity, or Miller and 47's goobers are just too stupid to even Google the difference in meaning between "transgender" and "transgenic". The whole world is laughing. -
Cut him some slack. He's a shut-in with virtually no reason to remain above ground. AN is all he has in his miserable life.
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A wise move. Of course it's the fascist righties more prone to violence, as the world saw when they lost in 2020 and were told by their messiah to go storm the Capitol. It was that group of terrorists who beat 140 cops, shat on the floor of the Capitol, and set up a gallows to hang the Vice President. Notice the Capitol was quiet after the 2024 election. It's a big mistake, however, to think "lefties" are unarmed pacifist types. Lots of vets and lots of folks who have gone into harm's way for the US, and who still believe in American ideals, are on the political left. The US has stood against tyrants and dictators for most of its history, and it is an abomination that one willfully ignorant, self-serving clown is changing that and siding with autocratic scum like Putin and Kim Jong-un. Obviously those MAGA who support this drift toward obscenity should be in the crosshairs of real patriots. Today the US is not engaging in a battle of political differences. Today is truly a battle between good and evil, right and wrong. Support fascist scum, and those who do should be targets. They represent a much greater threat to the US than some jihadi in the tribal regions of Pakistan, yet even the current POTUS gave authority to take out those guys. If the clown attacks Greenland, real Americans will side with Greenland and the people of Denmark. Danes even in far away countries might see fit to eradicate scum wearing MAGA hats, so as I began this message, wise that you lay low.
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Trump Threatens to Cut Federal Funding Over Campus Protests
Walker88 replied to Social Media's topic in World News
In Amerika, you must know the difference between "illegal protests" and "love fests". For example, a totally peaceful protest in Lafayette Park is illegal if the fat POTUS wants to do a photo op in front of a nearby church holding an upside down Bible. Such illegal assembly calls for tear gas and stormtroopers beating the peaceniks. In contrast, beating and bear spraying cops, smashing windows and doors, sh!tting on the floor of the Capitol, and erecting a gallows and threatening to hang the Vice President is both lawful and if some "lib" judge sentences you, you are a "hostage" and should be set free. -
It's a clown show in the White House now. Pure amateur hour. Zelenskyy has re-solidified Europe as the US has lost all of its long term historical allies, the ones who've helped keep the world safe and economically prosperous. The US' "friends" now are Putin and the little rugrat and psych Kim Jong-un . He and Vance looked like the idiots they are, when trying to play whatever game they were trying to play with Zelenskyy, and MTG's goofball boyfriend got torn a new on by Zelenskyy when the "journalist" was "allowed" to ask a question about Zelenskyy's clothes. "Maybe when the war ends I will wear something like you have, only much better." Acting like an idiot re geopolitics isn't all POTUS did. He's changed his call on tariffs so many times in the last week, with the sometimes help of his Commerce Sec, that nobody is paying attention anymore POTUS is more fickle than a pre-pubescent girl trying to decide which boyfriend she wants. He has no strategy; he just mouths off whatever random and bizarre thought enters his addled brain one second to the next.
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NATO should station some troops in Canada or Greenland. The real threat is MAGAstan. Maybe the psycho who started the war should stop first? Apologize, pay compensation, and make amends with the 500,000 babushkas who lost their sons in Putin's Folly? MAGAs have this bizarre view that if attacked, bend over and enjoy it. Oh, and blame the victim,. too. If your wife or girlfriend was being raped, I guess you'd just advise her to enjoy the ride, lest taking exception to the assault result in more violence. Plus it's probably her fault. There are things in life worth fighting for. Freedom is one of them. Of course when the fat man decides it's time for military force to steal Greenland, no doubt you'll be first in line at the Induction Office. Or maybe you'll send your wife or girlfriend, but stay safely home wearing your red cap and golden sneakers to "show your support"..