Well, given your track record on this issue, not at all surprising it doesn't look good to you. However...
Russia will soon exhaust its combat capabilities, Western assessments predict
Small shifts in territorial control matter less than the overall balance of forces, which analysts say could shift back in favor of Ukraine in the coming months
The Russian military will soon exhaust its combat capabilities and be forced to bring its offensive in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region to a grinding halt, according to Western intelligence predictions and military experts.
“There will come a time when the tiny advances Russia is making become unsustainable in light of the costs and they will need a significant pause to regenerate capability,” said a senior Western official, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive issue.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/25/ukraine-russia-balance-of-forces/