vermin on arrival
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Posts posted by vermin on arrival
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"Thailand should take advantage of the covid epidemic"...something about this individual's statements makes me ill. People everywhere are dying. What should we do? Let's help them and show our moral values? or....let's make money! ????
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2 minutes ago, 3NUMBAS said:
countries have to take the nasty medicine like the UK or face a situation like mexico
Deaths are not looking good there atm, but looks like mexico's cases have already peaked and are going down
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22 minutes ago, brucec64 said:Do you actually believe the nonsense you are spouting? Really not much hope for the human race.
Yes I do. There are intelligent people with expertise on both sides of the debate. To think otherwise is incorrect. Just curious, which part do you think is nonsense? The fact there are health care professionals that don't think masks are ineffective? Or my belief that they are, and that I follow those that who recommend masks? I am actually giving a balanced response to yinn's post trying to explain why believe who don't believe in the efficacy of masks are not moronic conspiracy theorists even though I disagree with them.
I will not respond in kind to your insulting post. I would say this though. It is replies such as yours that are the reason it is so difficult to have a constructive discussion in forums such as this one. The mistaken assumption that people who disagree with you are idiots with no reasonable basis for their beliefs is the reason the human race is having so many problems. Have a good day sir and spout away lol.
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7 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:
As I have posted before, the vast majority of these road deaths are young boys/men speeding around on motorcycles, and other drivers (often hopped-up on alcohol/drugs), getting into accidents. While all deaths are tragic, especially if there are bystanders who are injured/killed, such deaths have little to no affect on society and the economy as a whole that a fast spreading and potentially deadly respiratory virus can have. Therefore the differentiated government response to them.
Actually the deaths of young people are more important to society from an economic standpoint since they have many more years left to contribute to society in income earned and tax dollars contributed. Sadly, from a cold and calculating standpoint (and not a moral, compassionate, empathic one), the older you get, the less important your life becomes to society. The 60+ with comorbidites are actually more of a drain on society and are the "weak trees" that society might like to see cleared out. Please don't infer that I want them dead or cleared out. I am giving kind of a Social Darwinian perspective and not a moral one or the one I believe.
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5 minutes ago, ashkale said:Getting tired of this fear mongering. NZ was shut for months and still got new cases of whatever sickness this is. Its a matter of time before economic woes push people out on the streets.
Not just in NZ, in many places. This current suppression policies are not sustainable. Unless the miracle treatment or vaccine comes fast, the nations doing so will be in a lot of hurt.
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5 minutes ago, mike787 said:
Thailand will remain well into 2021...guaranteed.
Most likely.
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48 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:
Well it only takes 1 germ to take over a government and destroy the country, and unfortunately its become a common occurrence worldwide. I have made several flights lately in Thailand. Masks are worn, but no social distancing is done anymore on the airplanes, even when they are less than half full. Flew to Phuket and Back on Bangkok Air and there were 12 of us on the down flight and 20 on the return flight. Hotel we stayed at had no more than a dozen other folks there, and it felt like we had the whole resort to ourselves which was great. The resort checked your temp on arrival, and that was it, many of the folks running around were not wearing masks as they moved around the resort except the employees, thankfully it was not busy. Flew to Chiang Mai from Bangkok and back as well, flight with very few again, and the resort almost empty. People on the street and in some of the stores we went to were not wearing masks at all, and you could see, even though not many around, that people were living life like it was normal and there was no Covid.
They believe the government propaganda and if it is true that the asymptomatic (as opposed to presymptomatic) "cases", which are probably what is the reservoir here are as non-infectious as many believe(some say they are actually immune), then they are actually not crazy to do so. While many would disagree, I would say to keep the preventive measures and reopen to external travel with tests on both sides and quarantine.
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1 minute ago, Pattaya Spotter said:Maybe there is only so much government capacity to monitor those in both quarantine schemes, therefore the limits on those allowed in? And I have to think that with the quarantine in effect, I doubt there are really that many who want to come to Thailand at this time; the main group being the non-immigrant visa holders and Elite Visa members who were caught out when the borders closed. I personally know 3 people in the latter catagory.
I don't believe that, and there are plenty of jobs to be created for those who are without work to monitor those quarantine schemes. They are just being excessively cautious in their approach. They believe their own propaganda/fearmongering, or have backed themselves into a corner with it. There are many more who want to/need to travel than many think to be the case.
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14 hours ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
For some reason, a lot of folks here seem to paint these issues as EITHER OR....
EITHER we reopen the economy full blast (and the people saying this typically mean with few if any public health precautions), which would encourage the virus and its impacts to grow and spread.
OR we have to shut and lock everything down, along with public health precautions, in order to prevent the virus from spreading and protect people's health.
But it's NOT an either-or situation and that presents false choices. You CAN reopen the economy and have people working IF you combine that with sensible public health measures that the public/citizens actually follow and are enforced by the government.
Precisely. This seems painfully obvious to me . In the words of Groucho Marx, "This is so obvious a child could see. Could someone please bring me a child?"
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14 hours ago, bwpage3 said:
Put into perspective 330,000,000 people and do the math.
Not opening the economy, such as what Thailand is doing, will have adverse effects
I see the math, that doesn't mean that we should just ignore it. Hundreds of thousands dying in a blip or with long term damage because people don't want to do any preventive matters is also very bad for society
Of course, not opening the economy will have bad effects. There needs to be a balanced approach that takes into account both public health and the economy. Did you not read that I said that the economic fallout is a disaster? Is a disaster an adverse effect? Please read my full post.
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14 hours ago, bwpage3 said:
You don't think when a person wearing a mask sneezes germs don't escape?
99% are not air tight and the germs go all over
Only takes 1 germ
Actually viral load is important to infect you. It doesn't just take 1 germ.
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14 hours ago, Yinn said:
Yes.
Me and the doctor and scientist.
You a antimasker? Watch YouTube?
The problem is that many western scientists and studies, from a few years ago on the flu and even some done now, have said that it doesn't help. The people on the other side are also following scientists. We are not talking about conspiracy theorists, but professionals-researchers and epidemiologists. I believe that masks help and really require like 80% compliance to hit the right mark for society, but there are legitimate studies that doubt the efficacy of masks. The anti-maskers are actually following science as well, but there needs to be more conclusive studies done.
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1 hour ago, bwpage3 said:
Disastrous epidemic?
More are killed in the USA every single year from the flu, cancer, others
And more are not killed every year in the US by the flu. If you look at other disease or total diseases, sure. The only things that will end up being more are cancer and heart disease which are around 600k+ each, but for flu and pneumonia definitely not - influenza and pneumonia approximately 60K combined per year.
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40 minutes ago, bwpage3 said:Let's say you are wearing a mask and a person with CV sneezes in your face?
Do you get CV or not?
Does the germ all stop at the mask and not get in your eyes, ears, hair, skin?
What if the other person is wearing a mask too?
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12 minutes ago, bwpage3 said:
Disastrous epidemic?
There are 330,000,000 people. Do the math.
More are killed in the USA every single year from the flu, cancer, others
The real disaster, held unchecked, is the economic fallout of people losing their jobs, economies tanking, rising costs, starvation, rising crime, etc
Sure there are probably 8,800 a day killed in the US everyday (at least what it was in 2019), and right now about 1k for covid, but for sure this is far greater death toll than any flu epidemic to hit the US outside of the Spanish flu pandemic. It's definitely worse than Hong Kong and Asain flu deaths which killed 116K and 100K in the US. The US is at 160k+ and ongoing-will be in the 200-300k range probably, maybe more. For an upper respiratory disease epidemic, that's a huge amount. Compared to what has been going on in other countries and what has happened historically, I would call it a disaster.
The poor containment and governmental response has contributed to what will be an economic meltdown. The economic fallout is also a disaster. The horrible political climate and divisive partisan infighting has made everything worse. Both the public health and economic spheres need to be addressed in a comprehensive bipartisan measured response, but it won't be because people say it is one or the other and it's both.
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3 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:
The Ramblings of an intellectual person would understand that Covid isolation and sequestration of a country is not political or "Stupidcal". Countries are closed in order to either contain the virus, and or the Covididiots as some people would say. The issue at hand is whether to throw all caution to the wind and keep shut down or, throw the baby out with the bath water, and go balls to the walls and just open everything up and let Hundreds of thousands more become infected because of a lack of personal responsibility and an uncaring attitude of so what if Thousands die they were old and it was there time........Yes very heavy on sarcasm.
There is a middle path.
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On 8/11/2020 at 1:09 PM, uhuh said:
PCR is a lot more accurate than all these antibody tests on the market.
Interesting follow up.
Recently 4 people tested positive for covid 19 when leaving Taiwan and/or arriving elsewhere. Think at least 3 of the 4 had no symptoms. All the people test so far don't have covid or antibodies; looks like 700+ tested. What the hell is going on? Are the tests accurate or not? Are people contracting the disease or not? Seems in 1 case the person left quarantine and probably is a local Hong Kong case, but what about the other 3 who tested negative going in and tested positive going out with no contact trail of illness or know cause of transmission. Taiwan supposedly has no local cases.
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7 minutes ago, ttrd said:
RE - Did they both quarantine 14 days when arriving in Thailand, or could they by any chance both have brought the virus with them from Japan?
* As it's told, they have been in LOS for a period of 3 weeks and the incubation time is max 2 weeks so with that fact in mind they have contracted the virus in Thailand ...
They quarantined. Just like the case I mentioned above in Taiwan.
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Here's an interesting article from Taiwan. Recently 4 people tested positive for covid 19 when leaving Taiwan and/or arriving elsewhere. Think at least 3 of the 4 had no symptoms. All the people test so far don't have covid or antibodies; looks like 700+ tested. What the hell is going on? Are the tests accurate or not? Are people contracting the disease or not? Seems in 1 case the person left quarantine and probably is a local Hong Kong case, but what about the other 3 who tested negative going in and tested positive going out with no contact trail of illness or know cause of transmission. Taiwan supposedly has no local cases.
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Well you know it is everywhere. We see mild and asymptomatic cases in countries which have closed their borders when people travel to other countries and are tested, for example, Thailand and Taiwan. In countries, which do massive testing, such as NZ we also see cases. We need to learn to live with it and use sensible precautions. We can have international travel and not have massive up-spike if we do things like 14 day quarantines, pre and post travel tests and use masks and hand sanitizers and temp checks during travel. We are deluding ourselves if we think the suppression strategy will eliminate the virus. At the same time, these countries with low/no confirmed case counts that also have asymptomatic reservoirs are not at risk of a major outbreak since the asymptomatic case are less infectious if at all, as long as society maintains some preventive measures.
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38 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:Yes, and Thailand closed its borders, the US did not.
Thailand, especially in urban areas, took mask wearing seriously, the U.S. did not.
The Thai govt made the CV something to rightly be feared. The U.S. govt. did not.
And look where Thailand is now... compared to the U.S. The facts speak for themselves.
It's truly shocking the depths of the disastrous epidemic the US is having that really one cannot compare with what has happened anywhere in Asia of Europe. Something strange and terrible is going on in the US and not just with covid. It's almost a complete societal failure. The best decision I ever made was when I decided to leave America 22 years ago.
While some Asian societies took prompt action. Thailand waited 3 months to institute many policies. Masks certainly showed up much earlier. It seems to me that it is circulating at some low level everywhere. Look at New Zealand. If their extreme measures and geographic isolation cannot suppress it completely, it cannot be done. In the long term, public health, must be balanced with economic health, etc.
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5 hours ago, RR2020 said:Meanwhile countries with a sensible attitude to the virus have mostly open borders and open skies.
Live with the virus - people die all the time.
50 people die on average every day on Thailands roads.......should Thais be banned worldwide from driving motorbikes and cars and lorries ?
UK, USA, Europe.......open skies and borders..........life is going on, economies are recovering.
Cases rise but deaths continue to fall, soon everyone will see................the virus is weak, and only kills the very weak. Just like flu, pneumonia and all the other diseases there are. Median death age worldwide is over 80 years old.
Yes, I just watched an interview with some oxford epidemiologists and they were saying something similar. One was saying that he had been asked by someone wasn't it a disaster that 100 people were dying per day in the UK from covid. He replied that normally on average in the winter 1500 people die per day and in the summer 1200 people die per day so it actually wasn't because things like this happen, but people don't really understand how many people actually die normally. Just checking stats for 2018 in UK the average daily deaths was 1687/day. The other said he was shocked. This was the 4th pandemic he had lived through and the first one that they shut the world. That in both the Hong Kong flu and Asian flus of 1957/58 and 1968 there was a great deal of death and the world wasn't shut down.
They also believe the suppression strategy of states like New Zealand will fail long term. We need to learn to live with it. Cutting oneself off from the world long term would fail as the virus can't be controlled.
This is a serious illness and precautions need to be taken, but it's not the black death, and it's not it's not even the Spanish flu of 1918. The world can be reopened with sensible precautions. 1 case will not result in the disastrous outbreak of America or Brazil. A balance must be achieved between public health and global economy, etc.
If anyone is interested here is the link to the interview. Lots of interesting insights on how the government strategies failed in the UK. Apparently 20% of all cases in the UK were contracted while in hospital as the government didn't adequately isolate the sick. Food for thought.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3plSbCbkSA
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6 hours ago, BritTim said:
If using an agent, they would typically need about three weeks and would deliver a 15 month permission to stay (they, in addition to other advantages can get the one year extension of your permission to stay without waiting until the last 30 days of the initial 90-day permission to stay). The costs depend on the immigration office where the visa and extension are processed (which can even be different when an agent is involved). Usually, the agent wants to minimise the bribes that are necessary to pay to immigration. If the local immigration office is difficult, they will usually process everything through a different immigration office, possibly in the wilds of Isaan. A rough figure for what you can expect to pay for the visa plus extension is somewhere between 23,000 and 30,000 baht.
Thanks, so would need to start by the end of August at the latest if I go that route. Where would one look to find a reputable agent in BKK or who would help someone currently staying in BKK?
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2 minutes ago, phungo said:
Whoever has more power gets to say who is more important. Hopefully power does not reside in corrupted imm staff.
So far it has resided in the cabinet who have disregarded immigration's recommendations in favor of those of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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Husband and wife no longer allowed to share ASQ room
in Thai Visas, Residency, and Work Permits
Posted
Umm I just had a friend with his Thai wife come together from Vietnam and they are just finishing their ASQ. They were living together and working in Vietnam.