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vermin on arrival
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Posts posted by vermin on arrival
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28 minutes ago, Oldie said:
New Zealand for instance still has a travel ban. Australia too. So even if Thailand allows them they cannot come. I think it is not that easy.
Still has the ban because the bubbles haven't been negotiated, the whole point of travel bubbles is that they are not unilateral. They are based on bilateral or multilateral agreements. So not that easy because nations need to negotiate and agree to them, but certainly can do them if they desire to.
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22 minutes ago, Oldie said:Which countries are clean?
Taiwan, Vietnam, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Macao, Fiji, Laos, Cambodia for starters.
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50 minutes ago, sqwakvfr said:
I just read an article in of the local rags(not going to mention which rag because I got a warning from a mod) that the newest strategy will be to target wealthy foreigners who will stay in one location for an extended period. The article further stated the days of mass tourism consisting of the likes of backpackers for Thailand is over????? Really?? This could be another sign that the leadership has no idea what they are doing? July 1 is fast approaching and no indications what the new entrance policy for the masses will be.
If one has to leave the country this year then have a backup plan to make it a one way trip.
I had that one way trip planned for March 29 and the border closures on March 18th blocked me before I could flee back to Taiwan. Flight I got onto was 2 hours too late to board as EVA staff and service in BKK was useless. Now I am stuck waiting for Taiwan to let me back (unable to incorporate from outside the country) in our maybe Laos, but that would really be aided if the powers that be agreed to some kind of travel bubbles with nearby states who have dealt with the pandemic well. Seems like they may be using this horrible situation to get rid of those of us they deem unworthy to be here.
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3 minutes ago, steevjee said:
But note, strictly for business purposes with written proof of business from the Taiwanese company, so no destination for holiday makers
Not sure of the others but currently Australia wont let Australians other than Diplomats and Medical experts travel anywhere outside of Oz, but there is talk of a bubble between Oz and NZ that will be for holiday makers.
Qantas just grounded all flights until October so I'm guessing someone high up has whispered in their ear
Sure, but it's a start. If travel bubbles are agreed upon, then more could be allowed. The main point I wanted to make was that countries with high quality epidemic control did actually see Thailand as low risk and it could be possible to set up a travel bubble if the nations involved agreed upon it.
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Comical. With these restrictions only those who are super rich or need to be in Cambodia will go there.
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Also interesting to note that BKK Post has an article today about Thailand using this situation to reset to being a destination for wealthy tourists and to move away from backpackers and tour groups. So the usual kak about high quality tourists again. Not surprising seeing that they shot down travel bubbles on the same day.
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3 hours ago, steevjee said:For a bubble to be a bubble both countries must feel confident that the other has Covid under control.
Given that scenario then imposing a 14 day quarantine would be senseless and totally discouraging to all except perhaps partners wanting to return to their loved ones.
That still has barriers as the home country may not allow these partners to enter Thailand if they see it as too great a risk, in other words they dont believe the Covid stats that Thailand puts out
Actually seems they do. Starting June 22 Taiwan will start allowing business travelers from Thailand and other low and medium risk countries. "The low-risk countries/regions include New Zealand, Australia, Macao, Palau, Fiji, Brunei, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Thailand, Mongolia, Bhutan. Medium-risk countries/regions include South Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore." This has also been reported in Taiwan News and the Bangkok Post. Before Thailand was extremely lenient and now it is being excessively cautious. The problem is on the Thai side I think.
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4 hours ago, Fairynuff said:Totally agree with you, but if you want imbeciles mismanaging virus control you need look no further than America, the UK and Brazil to start with
Sure, but it's not a binary (no international travel or you will be in the same situation as the aforementioned countries). Plenty of countries in the region that have done a successful job and you can start resuming travel with. New Zealand eradicated the virus. Taiwan has 60 days with no local infection, etc etc. It's time to start some opening up of international travel with sensible precautions. Keeping the world shut until there is a vaccine makes no sense.
Seems like Thailand has done a good job and is in a good situation now, but we don't know the whole story here, and it seems like they got lucky for reasons which are not fully known.
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If they quarantine people, it is not a travel bubble. The whole purpose of the bubbles is to allow relatively free travel between countries which have the epidemic under control. The people running this country are imbeciles.
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2 minutes ago, samran said:
I'm actually skeptical we will be getting a vaccine anytime soon. Nor for a magic bullet pill. What I suspect will happen will be some sort of combo therapy to blunt the worst effects for it.
Hopefully that and travel bubbles will be the best home for a return to some medium term normalcy.
I also am skeptical of these magic bullets coming anytime soon and some realistic method of continuing life with sensible precautions must start first.
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6 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:Immune warriors known as T cells help us fight some viruses, but their importance for battling SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, has been unclear. Now, two studies reveal infected people harbor T cells that target the virus—and may help them recover. Both studies also found some people never infected with SARS-CoV-2 have these cellular defenses, most likely because they were previously infected with other coronaviruses.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/t-cells-found-covid-19-patients-bode-well-long-term-immunity
So, in other words, cross coronavirus immunity is true and may be the reason people can fight off the virus without developing antigens and the ifr is probably lower than studies would suggest as certain people are probably immune.
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On 6/10/2020 at 8:17 AM, stupidfarang said:
A positive point is Australia and NZ are arranging a travel bubble between their two countries which is a first in the world, (good thinking OZ and NZ) now other countries are talking about travel bubbles.
That is off the table as Oz has extended it's border close to Sept 17 both in and out.
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On 6/10/2020 at 8:02 AM, samran said:
All of this is unprecedented - true. But you can’t prove the counter factual either.
What is well known however is that business abhors unpredictability. Now they don’t have the threat of pandemic to worry about, people are free to move around. Your borders are open to trade, and just not people.
Will people suffer still? Sure. But now they have the best chance to get back on their feet without the threat of rolling shutdowns.
Only if they keep their borders shut to high rick countries until a treatment or vaccine emerges. If you are lucky it's fast. If not, since there will be no herd immunity developing, NZ may be in a lot of trouble (there are number of epidemiologists who believe this policy is a mistake, but their voices are being stifled). For the moment, it is a great success story and may bear out to be long term. I do hope that they create travel bubbles with other successful nations in containing the virus.
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On 6/9/2020 at 9:43 AM, Oliver Holzerfilled said:
This doesnt look like a ripple.
That was from April 18 and the numbers were already on the decline looking at Japan's viral curve. Seems more like a scaremongering title to get hits.
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On 6/14/2020 at 2:32 PM, Beandrops said:
That would be HUGE help! Thanks so much!
I pmed you
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37 minutes ago, Scouse123 said:
And if they only actually mean Permanent residents, then what about all those on retirement extensions and marriage visa extensions?
In general, travel bubbles mean a relatively free movement of all people who are in the respective nations via bilateral agreement on safety protocols since those nations have the epidemic under control. However, they may just restrict it to smaller subsets of people.
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48 minutes ago, barryofthailand said:
In the past the Thai government said only 7% of the Thai economy was tourism
Yes, but a lot of current information says it is in the 14-20% range.
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How are drag races any more of a threat to infection from covid than any other group activity? For sure while they are racing social distancing will be going on.
"He thanked the business people who implemented more disease control measures than what the government required." And here we have the explanation for why everyone is competing for extreme measures to curry favor.
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7 minutes ago, natway09 said:
Thai Airways can fly to Auckland & bring a planeload of Kiwis back pretty well knowing that they will not spread any Covid.just as Singapore Airlines is doing.
Problem: After their 10day holiday they have to go into 14 day isolation still on returning home
which makes it pretty much a non starter
Not if they have negotiated a travel bubble between the two nations, which means they have agreed to mutual safety protocols. Presumably all nations involved will have the same ones in place.
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It's comical. Once the directive has been given from up high, underlings compete to see how extreme they can be. "Jump! How high sir?!" Before super lenient from up high and little done except light screening at airports. Now super strictness from up high so everywhere new strictness and panic measures are introduced even as the threat level goes down.
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Let's hope it works out. Let people travel with sensible precautions between the countries who have dealt properly with the pandemic. Was only able to get on a flight to Taiwan that was leaving 2 hours after the country was closed due to the little notice and information that was given, and I am still stuck here. The travel bubbles will be mostly be regional short haul flights (except for NZ and Oz)
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Yes, there is a pharmacy by Victory Monument. Let me look for the card I have. I think I still have my receipt too.
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50 minutes ago, farang51 said:
The duration will be for a long time. From what I have read, it will take a year or two to achieve herd-immunity. And even with herd-immunity, there will still be a risk.
Even if quarantined, the virus may enter with deliveries to the nursing home.The duration to achieve herd immunity or the saturation point is a subject of much debate. Some say a very long time. Other say it would be much much shorter. The lockdowns certainly will in fact negate the possibility achieving herd immunity making a vaccine or reliable treatment a necessity, and may in fact, mean those societies with low infection rates now will most likely have a second wave unless the world remains shut.
If you listen to epidemiologists such as Knut Wittkowski(I recommend the above debate I posted as an interesting listen) and Sunetra Gupta, you will see much more optimistic viewpoints of a quicker achievement of herd immunity occurring, and differing thoughts on the % needed to reach herd immunity (much lower than the 80% as is conventionally though of as needed). There is the possibility of cross coronavirus immunity and people fighting off the disease without producing antigens, so in fact, many more people may already be immune in the first place than is commonly thought.
There will be risk no matter what one does. but unless there is a quickly developed and reliable vaccine or drug therapy, or the virus miraculously disappears, herd immunity will be a necessary protection.
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14 minutes ago, nauseus said:
With the right methods, of course you can.
Yes, I think so too. One method I have read that can be done is to have the staff needed to maintain the nursing home to actually live and be quarantined with the people they are to protect and care for for the duration of the emergency.
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Tourists banned from first wave of ‘travel bubbles’, says Anutin
in Thailand News
Posted
I said for starters. It also enables the beginning of some kind of normalcy and enables people who got trapped in certain places to move and do things they need to do for their lives.