Jingthing

I can imagine him being president during a second term if he had continued running and had won. Running for president, doing debates, etc. is a different thing than actually being president. Do I think he would have lasted the entire four years? I don't know. I'm not God. But if not, then we would have Harris, who we will hopefully have starting in January.

This is a very interesting issue to me as I have a traditional taxed in the US as income IRA. People with Roth IRA's are not taxed on withdrawals. What's confusing to me is that why should the Thai tax system see any withdrawal from basically a retirement savings account (Roth IRA, trad IRA, or 401K) as income even if the U.S. system does? I'm not certain that they would. Also, IF they do, aren't people with Roth IRAs at risk as being taxed on withdrawals by Thailand even though they're exempt in the U.S.? Is there really any DTA law to cover this mess?!?

To dodge prison is the main reason. He also loves the pomp and circumstance of the office, fancies himself a dictator, loves to be worshipped and loves to punish those who don't worship him and make all such people fear him, but doesn't like to do the actual work involved of a normal presidency. He's an extremely dangerous and mentally deranged individual. Yes also he is mentally deteriorating at a rapid pace. Compared to Biden, he's as decrepit as Biden, but has been graded on a curve by the media, because he's always been insane. VOTE HIM OUT! Next ...

I don't know about this popular vote vs. actual outcome controversy but I do know his current position recently stated is the truth that the popular national vote is irrelevant. So as far as his current prediction it's only about the results, not the popular vote. Of course there is zero chance Trump will win the popular vote.

No surprise. Both Tucker and Vance both useful idiots for Putin or worse.

Exactly. They would have definitely doomed him.

Right. You can't apply the PC standards of today to any historical figure.

Aside from Lichtman's remarkable success in predicting, a really cool thing about him is that he's open about his political views while at the same time being totally objective on his presidential keys analysis. The same man posted this and also correctly predicted Trump would win in 2016 which went against the consensus.

Cheap tease. Spill the beans or don't say anything. You just don't want to be on record because your theory like most of your U.S. political theories are most likely completely ridiculous.

That's garbage if you look at how the Trump campaign was totally unprepared (and still is) to run against Harris instead of Trump. There is ZERO chance Trump would have picked Vance if he really thought he would be running against Harris. Sometimes your lack of elementary level understanding of U.S. politics surprises but I guess you have an excuse as a foreigner. Harris won't melt down in the debate. That's absurd. Doesn't mean she will strongly "win" it but melting down, nope.

100 percent

Whether the convicted felon wins or loses, I agree that history will show it was a mistake by Trump to do an early debate. But I think that was an accidental error. There is no way that Trump could have known that the debate would have been as incredibly bad as it was for Biden. I think its safe to assume early debates which haven't happened before, won't happen again.

You obviously think that's clever. It ain't.

Wait, there's MUCH more.

Yes it happened. The Oracle has spoken!

You just want her to lose.

Your sleaze attacks on Ukraine are epic. Zelinsky has nothing to do with Nguyễn Văn Thiệu. The Russia Ukraine war of choice by genocidal war criminal dictator Putin has nothing to do with the Vietnam war. You are obviously simping for Putin.

What a disgusting accusation about Zelinsky's character! You have no shame at all with your vicious pro Putin propaganda.

Explaining the all important KEYS, the backbone of the almost flawless prediction system of Professor Lichtman.

You are very naive and/or a shameless Trump propagandist. Trump is lazy. He's a frail feeble completely insane old man who likes to golf, eat fast food, and is only running to dodge prison. If he wins, the Project 2025 people will actually do the work.

The rapidly declining mentally ill orange stain of Margarine Lardo.

Welcome to Madame President Kamala Harris and First Gentleman Doug Emhoff! You can take this to the bank. You can ignore debates. You can ignore polls. It's over, baby!

Project 2025 is radically anti LGBT.

Not to mention Putin's genocidal intentions towards Ukraine.

Good point. Engaging at that level is low value for sure. I will follow your lead on that action.