I'll put it this way.
After the shooting, during the convention, before Trump's garbage Hannibel Lechter convention speech when everyone including democrats was thinking we're in for a maga fascist landslide, I was talking to a Trump sympathizer and said yeah it looks very bad but in American politics the mood can change on a dime dramatically and there is still plenty of time for that to happen (multiple times) before the election.
Well we have our first such change on a dime.
Predicting this election is a fool's game.