According to John Hopkins site, once a country hits 80-100 confirmed case, it looks like it doubles every 4 days until around 5000 cases and then it tapers off slightly as it continues to rise.

Thailand has not yet, (at least not yet reported), made it to the point where it quickly ramps up in number of cases. But seems to be only a matter of time now, the Genie is Out of the Bottle.

13 minutes ago, CGW said:

Geography not one of your specialities? it gets cold in Egypt (19c at present) and parts of India have had unseasonably cool weather.

Wow did your geography degree provide you with the ability to google 'parts of countries'?

 

relevant to the outbreaks:

cairo high today 83F/28C

jaipur high today 79F/26C

 

not exactly 'cool weather'

14 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

 

No publicly available vaccine for a year or more, seems to be the best word at present from the research community. In part, because even after something may be invented, they have to do trials on it with limited groups, before they release it for mass distribution.

 

I was just taking the pi$$ as I know the vaccine is at least 12 months away, as for self quarantining, wasn't joking, no Covid-19, but safer indoors than out at the moment, although we are looking to make a dash for some remote island away from the populous next month before Songkran while everyone spreads the love, returning just after, as for the kids returning to school in May, if anyone has it, the kids will have the year or longer off, or until a vaccine is released.

 

As for all of those young ladies in wait, well, see you when that vaccine is readily available for this hanhom man in the future. 

23 minutes ago, unsubscribe said:

I guess warm/hot weather isn't much of a deterrent if it's spreading in countries like India and Egypt.

 

They get lots of snow in India!Have you been there?

4 minutes ago, unsubscribe said:

cairo high today 83F/28C

Its 08:00 in Cairo now & its 19c ???? 

I was unfortunate enough to work in Egypt - it gets cold!

1 hour ago, webfact said:

Thailand reports four new coronavirus cases - including Italian tourist - total 47

I am very optimistic, so I suspect that if we talk about a number 10 times greater we are closer to reality ...

I have been looking for a website with lots of experts on the issue of Corona or Covid-19, but I had little luck to be honest.

 

I am so glad I finally found ThaiVisa!!!! Everyone here is an expert, a delight to get all the right info on one page. 

Edited March 5, 20206 yr by Wildliferescue
spelling mistake

Meanwhile thousands of illegal Thai workers are leaving South Korea to return home, where they will be welcomed with open arms and no hand sanitiser.

Not read every post, but, if the Italian guy and the Thai guy returning from Ital have got it, what about the people who spen 10 hours on a plane with these guys breating in their germs ? Are the Thai autorities chasing these down or will the next report be about how they have all got it ? Why the <deleted> are they letting planes from Italy in here anyway ?

8 minutes ago, Wildliferescue said:

I have been looking for a website with lots of experts on the issue of Corona or Covid-19, but I had little luck to be honest.

 

I am so glad I finally found ThaiVisa!!!! Everyone here is an expert, a delight to get all the right info on one page. 

Not just experts on corona I might add .... You will "learn" everything there is to know about everything!

An off topic troll post has been removed. DO NOT try to hijack this or any other topics with your nonsense.

If each of them arrived by air and terminated in Thailand what if anything will be done to contact probably hundreds of other visitors who might have the virus?  nothing I guess

 

1 hour ago, bkkcanuck8 said:

Closing the border will not work IMHO and would be more damaging to the economy.  I have no doubt now that Thailand is only reporting traceable cases linked with foreigners who entered the country, local transmission is not though I have no doubt they are doing the tracing and 'quarantining' while 'under investigation' but not adding it to the confirmed cases.   The government would see no benefit in being completely transparent and only serves to damage the tourism business etc.

been saying the same thing for weeks - 100% agree

 

what they don't test they don't need to report - they just send sick people home - I suspect thousands - hospitals couldn't cope with the vast numbers anyway so what's the point in testing them - they have all likely been told not to post on social media

1 minute ago, tonyevans said:

If each of them arrived by air and terminated in Thailand what if anything will be done to contact probably hundreds of other visitors who might have the virus?  nothing I guess

 

they report the Italian being detected in Chonburi which likely means Pattaya, so this person had already left the airport and travelled to his destination and perhaps even reported himself to hospital after feeling ill - who was he in contact with ?

49 minutes ago, NoBrainer said:

According to John Hopkins site, once a country hits 80-100 confirmed case, it looks like it doubles every 4 days until around 5000 cases and then it tapers off slightly as it continues to rise.

Thailand has not yet, (at least not yet reported), made it to the point where it quickly ramps up in number of cases. But seems to be only a matter of time now, the Genie is Out of the Bottle.

Seeing as only China has reached 5000 cases so far this conclusion of tapering is a bit of a reach! The graph will reach millions in some countries, I am willing to bet

Overdue to shut the door for a while

"I suspect these are just the tip of the iceberg....more honesty by the authorities needed"

 

I am very sure there must be hundred and thousands more of infected people in this country if they would follow up a proper procedure and information politics. But they still try to hide the cases to show how safe Thailand is! They authoroties in Thailand are far from beeing honest and wont be ever and are lying day by day and when they open their mouth only most redicoulouse informations getting spread!

1 hour ago, MikeyScars said:

Dumb and illogical pezzonovantes!

 

29 year old Italian arrived on March 1st, and on March 2nd he was diagnosed with the virus? 

Same with the 42 year old Thai man. It only took ONE day.

Really?!?!

 

How many PUI do we have in Thailand at the moment waiting to be tested?

Forget about it!!!

 

 

3,680

 

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/eng/file/situation/situation-no60-030363.pdf

their Numbers, of foreigner cases they come up against, isn't concealed as much as the ones of their own kind. 

 Still playing a them'n'us game

 Detections of foreigners happens (so magically quickly) because the foreignwer has actually paid them for it 

1 hour ago, unsubscribe said:

Wow did your geography degree provide you with the ability to google 'parts of countries'?

 

relevant to the outbreaks:

cairo high today 83F/28C

jaipur high today 79F/26C

 

not exactly 'cool weather'

Both Thailand & Singapore are Much, much hotter

1 hour ago, bkkcanuck8 said:

Closing the border will not work IMHO and would be more damaging to the economy.  I have no doubt now that Thailand is only reporting traceable cases linked with foreigners who entered the country, local transmission is not though I have no doubt they are doing the tracing and 'quarantining' while 'under investigation' but not adding it to the confirmed cases.   The government would see no benefit in being completely transparent and only serves to damage the tourism business etc.

Border closure is not about stopping the virus it is about containing whats already in the country and watching for a period of time to ensure that it is contained.. Open borders .... might as well have the government proclaim loud and clear.... Tourism and baht over virus all day and every day....if you die then your fault for coming to LOS

Just reported on the Aussie news an 81 yr old who came in from Thailand has tested positive for the virus

 

A small country like Norway already up to 60 infected with the virus, but most of them traveled to Northern Italy on winter holiday. 

4 minutes ago, eastendanto said:

...if you die then your fault for coming to LOS

Actually "if you die then you'll have died in Thailand, the best place on Earth"

First one must beLIEve Thailand only has had 47 infected while every other country can not contain it.

Edited March 5, 20206 yr by metisdead
Bold font removed.

8 minutes ago, findlay13 said:

Just reported on the Aussie news an 81 yr old who came in from Thailand has tested positive for the virus

 

Well there's something the Thai Authorities can't hide! https://www.9news.com.au/national/coronavirus-australia-chinese-students-housemate-cleared-of-covid19-queensland-news/ea64f992-94da-44a3-bc08-af987babc438

Edited March 5, 20206 yr by Bkk Brian
link added

3 minutes ago, eastendanto said:

Border closure is not about stopping the virus it is about containing whats already in the country and watching for a period of time to ensure that it is contained.. Open borders .... might as well have the government proclaim loud and clear.... Tourism and baht over virus all day and every day....if you die then your fault for coming to LOS

To contain an outbreak you have to be able to trace and track as infections arrive.  If you close the borders people will make it into the country overland typically without entering legally.  Thais that were returning home would fly into Cambodia, or others that have to be here for business purpose,  would then cross the border on land as a 'day trip' by boat avoiding the immigration police (or other ways such as paying off immigration).  Since they are not entering legally, there would be no record, they would not report any hint of an infection and you would have a harder time tracking and tracing (actually it would be impossible).  Viruses do not respect borders, and there are many ways to enter a closed border through other means.  You just have to measure the black market trade etc. to realize how large the back channels are.   Additionally if the R0 (virus doubling time) is around 6.4 days, the existing infections that are not currently reported would still grow rapidly over time.   People would even have less respect for authority (if that is possible) so if you were here legally, but became infected, the last thing you would do (other than dying) is report it to authorities since you would not know what the disposition would after you had medical treatment.

12 minutes ago, SAINT THOMAS said:

First one must beLIEve Thailand only has had 47 infected while every other country can not contain it.

 

Now that sufficient "noise" is being created, by other countries rising number of cases ("masking" Thailand), expect to see more confirmed cases/deaths owned up to.

 

 

Edited March 5, 20206 yr by Enoon

1 hour ago, EricTh said:

Well, if Thailand were to ban tourists from certain countries, they should be fair and ban the top 10 most risky countries. All these have more than 100 cases.

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

 

1. China (including HK, Macau)

2. Korea

3. Italy

4. Iran

5. Japan

6. France

7. Germany

8. Spain

9. USA

10. Singapore

 

What goes around comes around.

But then you should ban them forever.

For example there are 130 confirmed deaths related to influenza in Germany this flu season already. And 0 deaths related to COVID 19

So far I think the measures are appropriate.

 

I hope the people will treat me nice when I come to Thailand next week.