Battleground Michigan seen as last stand for Bernie Sanders

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Battleground Michigan seen as last stand for Bernie Sanders

By Michael Martina and James Oliphant

 

U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders speaks during a town hall in Flint, Michigan, U.S.,March 7, 2020. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

 

DETROIT (Reuters) - For Bernie Sanders to remain competitive with Joe Biden in the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination, he will have to repeat what he did four years ago: win the Michigan primary.

 

This time around, that probably will be harder.

 

Ahead of Tuesday's vote, Biden is showing strength with the same kinds of voters that Sanders, a U.S senator from Vermont, relied upon in his surprise defeat of front-runner Hillary Clinton in the state in 2016.

 

Sanders goes into Michigan badly in need of a win after former Vice President Biden seized control of the race on Super Tuesday last week, winning a bevy of Southern states as well as Massachusetts, Minnesota and Texas and causing rivals Elizabeth Warren and Michael Bloomberg to drop out.

 

Biden got a boost on Sunday with an endorsement from Senator Kamala Harris of California, and the former 2020 Democratic rival will campaign with him Monday night in Detroit. Sanders won the backing of Rev. Jesse Jackson, a longtime civil rights leader who planned to campaign with him in Grand Rapids, Michigan, on Sunday.

 

U.S. Democratic presidential candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders campaigned in the Midwest on Saturday, as the two prepare for a showdown in Michigan, Missouri and four other nominating contests next week. Conway G. Gittens reports

 

Michigan is the most competitive of the six states that hold nominating contests on Tuesday. It offers the largest number of the minimum 1,991 delegates a candidate needs to secure the nomination outright: 125. A victory in the state is critical for Sanders to recapture momentum before the contest shifts to Florida and Illinois the following week.

 

In addition to Michigan, Washington state, Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho will be holding primary elections on Tuesday. North Dakota will hold caucuses.

 

A Sanders' loss in Michigan could give Biden an insurmountable lead as the state-by-state nominating process moves into friendly territory for the man best remembered as No. 2 in President Barack Obama's administration.

 

The state also greatly matters for Nov. 3 general election. It flipped Republican in 2016, voting for Republican Donald Trump over Clinton by just over 10,000 votes, helping Trump capture the White House.

 

"Michigan is your got-to-win state," said Adam Hollier, an African-American state senator from Detroit who backs Biden.

 

Biden parlayed his popularity with black voters into huge gains on Super Tuesday, winning 70% of African-American voters in Alabama and Virginia and 60% in North Carolina and Texas, according to exit polls from Edison Research.

 

They will be crucial in Michigan, where they comprise almost 14% of the population. Some areas of Detroit are 80% African-American.

 

"When you look at what he did all across the South, those same demographics are going to be at play in Detroit," Hollier said.

 

Sanders cancelled plans to campaign in Mississippi this weekend, focusing instead on Michigan.

 

UNION LABELS

Sanders may have better luck with union voters in manufacturing-heavy Michigan. He won the state's white working-class voters in 2016, and they remain a reliable part of his base.

 

Richard Cassel, 28, lost his job as an auto engineer in Detroit last month. That same week, he walked into a Sanders campaign office and volunteered to work the phones.

 

"For me, Biden is just more of the same. The middle class is working professionals, and everyone else is slowly drowning," Cassel said.

 

But Biden has longstanding ties to labour unions and routinely talks about how the middle-class and union members built the nation.

 

The powerful United Auto Workers Union has yet to endorse any candidate, but its spokesman, Brian Rothenberg, said it supports the idea of universal healthcare. Sanders has made a government-run healthcare system, Medicare for All, the heart of his campaign.

 

"The high cost of healthcare is one of the impacts when you're bargaining, so universal healthcare would actually give you a better ability to bargain at the table," Rothenberg said.

 

Not all of Sanders' positions play well with the state's unions, though. In particular, he has called for the closure of a 66-year-old crude oil pipeline that runs below portions of the Great Lakes, as part of his sweeping plan to swiftly end the U.S. fossil fuel economy to fight climate change.

 

"It's going to cost (Sanders) a lot of support in our union," said Terry Gilligan, business manager of Detroit Pipefitters Local 636.

 

And two Michigan chapters of the United Food and Commercial Workers Union endorsed Biden on Friday.

 

Sanders is running ads in Michigan criticizing Biden over his past support for global trade deals such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Biden, in turn, argues that he was a key player in the 2009 auto industry bailout that rescued jobs in the state.

 

RURAL RUN

In 2016, Sanders performed surprisingly well in the wealthy suburbs outside Detroit and blew Clinton away in rural counties. But there is evidence he won’t do that again this time.

 

On Super Tuesday, Biden consistently beat Sanders in suburbs outside of cities including Charlotte, North Carolina, and Houston.

 

And in rural regions of Minnesota, a Midwestern state like Michigan with a largely white population, Biden smashed Sanders, 43% to 19%, according to exit polls.

 

This weekend, Biden's campaign deployed another former Democratic rival, U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, to stump in Grand Rapids – an area that Sanders won in 2016.

 

Dawn Bryant, 40, a General Motors Co <GM.N> factory worker who was laid off earlier this year, said she was torn between Sanders and Biden.

 

"I'm divided. I'm not sure. I'm going to keep watching and weighing my options on both of the candidates," she said. "It's a tough, tough call."

 

(Reporting by Michael Martina in Detroit and James Oliphant in Washington, additional reporting by Chris Kahn, Simon Lewis and Laura Sanicola; Editing by Scott Malone, Jonathan Oatis and Lisa Shumaker)

 

-- © Copyright Reuters 2020-03-09

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[Tug]

As much as I like the idea of receiving something for my taxes other than paying for tax breaks for the wealthy I hope Biden wins we just can’t afford Bernie especially now it will also allow more time to unify to get rid of trump and start calling trump out on the issues 

[Matzzon]

The biggest scare for US voters, must be if Sanders actually would survive a win. Looks to me that he´s just a day between the stroke and the grave.

[Isaan sailor]

Decisions, decisions: a grumpy communist or an obvious dementia victim.

Of course, voters will pay close attention to the VP running mate, since either of these candidates would become the oldest US President ever.

[Chomper Higgot]

2 minutes ago, Isaan sailor said:

Decisions, decisions: a grumpy communist or an obvious dementia victim.

Of course, voters will pay close attention to the VP running mate, since either of these candidates would become the oldest US President ever.

Another keyboard doctor.

[Nigel Garvie]

1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Another keyboard doctor.

All three of them Saunders, Trump, Biden, are showing signs of wear and tear are they not? With Warren, by comparison, Dems had someone well more intelligent and still bright as a button. Also less given to ideological posturing, like Bernie is, though Bernie fades into insignificance on that front compared with Corbyn, who was little else IMHO. 

 

It is beginning to look like Biden, now the hopefuls who are coming onside with him, need to extract some sort of commitment from him to a more radical program. I liked Bernie's program, anyone with a shread of human decency would, but he is not the man to sell to Joe punter. Having an army of youthful enthusiasts is not enough, as Corbyn proved, many times. The US is not going to get over it's pathetic aversion to what it idiotically, and completely inaccurately, describes as "Socialism", overnight.

 

Maybe they can take Biden and train him, remorselessly and brutally,  to stand up to Mafia thug 45 in debate. Putin is going to play a big part in this election also to be sure. 

Edited March 9, 2020 by Nigel Garvie

[SinCityGr8One]

Putin to play a big part of this election? Why, is he going to be on the debate stage?