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Cambodia reports no new COVID-19 cases for 30 days straight, only one still hospitalised


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For the 30th consecutive day, Cambodia has unearthed zero new COVID-19 positive cases while one of the two remaining in hospital was treated and discharged Monday. Ministry of Health officials said that despite the long stretch of no new positive cases, Cambodians must keep up their vigilance as slackening on this could have dire consequences as seen in second wave of infections in other Asean nations and around the world.

 

However, businesses analysts have echoed that while vigilance was important and in fact critical, businesses should be allowed to re-open as the continued closure of cash based economies and businesses are driving more and more people out of jobs and out of money. “Cambodia has come through relatively good in terms of no new cases since the last reported case on April 12. However, businesses have to resume. Retailers are suffering. SME’s are in a bad way and so too are service sectors.

 

“While advocating vigilance, the Ministry of Health should also recommend ways of re-opening businesses which can generate revenue for the enterprises and for the state in terms of taxes. Cambodians have already come out in full force since after the Khmer New Year and life has returned to normal, except for businesses,” business consultant said.

 

read more https://www.khmertimeskh.com/50722327/cambodia-reports-no-new-covid-19-cases-for-30-days-straight-only-one-still-hospitalised/

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While lack of testing might be a factor, the real measure is the actual mortality rate versus the effective mortality rate.If there is an enormous outbreak, such as that in the UK, you would expect at least the health sector to be swamped and huge queues of funerals at Temples or at least bodies piling up somewhere (as occurred in New York).

 

Since neither had happened, this means that the actual mortality rate (the number of people dying) is close to the effective mortality rate (the expected number of deaths at this time of the year). So very little virus.

 

Since this is the case in neighbouring countries, I would suggest that there is a unifying factor in SE ASia, which is probably the climate - currently in the high thirties to low forties. Brings the transmission rate to a very low rate. 

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2 hours ago, Proboscis said:

While lack of testing might be a factor, the real measure is the actual mortality rate versus the effective mortality rate.If there is an enormous outbreak, such as that in the UK, you would expect at least the health sector to be swamped and huge queues of funerals at Temples or at least bodies piling up somewhere (as occurred in New York).

 

Since neither had happened, this means that the actual mortality rate (the number of people dying) is close to the effective mortality rate (the expected number of deaths at this time of the year). So very little virus.

 

Since this is the case in neighbouring countries, I would suggest that there is a unifying factor in SE ASia, which is probably the climate - currently in the high thirties to low forties. Brings the transmission rate to a very low rate. 

A climate not unlike Brazil then. Which is having a few problems.

A different suggestion is that SE Asia had a previous pandemic (SARS) and while it caused fewer deaths, it is possible that many people could have been asymptomatic and the previous exposure to SARS have provided some kind of immunity to Covid19.

South Korea was affected by SARS and its climate is much more like New York than Bangkok. Its population density is also about the same as New York state.

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It will be an interesting thing to see if and when evidence of why some Asian countries seem to have faired so well in this pandemic. Whether it was lack of exposure by citizens and low immigration of the virus into the countries e.g. Cambodia and Thailand or whether there is some natural immunity feature giving rise to the low numbers of infection and morbidity, or other as yet unknown reasons.

 

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