Because of the trolling of my previous topic I want to make it clear that this is a prediction of the formation of a possible tropical storm. 

 

It is not my prediction I am just doing a heads up for anybody who might need to take action, like find a good spot to take a video of the nearby dam collapsing.

 

Low pressure or tropical storm will possibly hit the coast of Vietnam around 25/10.

 

Updates to follow.

 

Thanks, please keep us informed....

 

 

I like seeing weather storm heads ups. Thanks. Right now in CM it is drizzle rain and cold @ 74F/23C, although it feels way colder than that.

My prediction is it will subside a great deal once it comes inland.

Hope it stays where it is, we have Enough bloody rain in Prachuap we dont need no more

Tropical Depression 19W is now Tropical Storm Saudel.

 

Mods can you change the title of this topic to:  Tropical Storm Saudel. Thank you.

 

Warning #05 Issued at 20/0300Z.

 

Edited October 20, 20205 yr by NCC1701A

Tropical Storm 19W Saudel Warning #08
Issued at 20/2100Z

 

 

Red dot is Bangkok.

and now from Thai government weather. 

 

Weather Warning "Category 3 Tropical Storm SAUDEL" No. 1 Time Issued : October 21, 2020

At 1.00 am on 21 October, the Category 3 tropical storm SAUDEL due east of the Philippines has moved into the middle South China Sea. The storm was centered at latitude 16.8 degrees north, longitude 119.7 degrees east with the maximum sustained winds about 65 km/hr. It is expected to make landfall over middle Vietnam from 24-25 October 2020 and rapidly downgrade into the low cell.

a graphic from the Thai government about TS Saudel.

 

 

Windy.com has a projection of yet another low following Saudel and it will hit the coast of Vietnam on 30/11. This graphic is a forecast of its position on 28/11. 

 

 

Edited October 21, 20205 yr by NCC1701A

Looks like it will be bounced back by the coastline of Vietnam. Would that be possible ?

2 minutes ago, Halfaboy said:

Looks like it will be bounced back by the coastline of Vietnam. Would that be possible ?

not sure if it will bounce back but the wind speed will be greatly decreased and the storm will possibly dump a lot of rain as it continues west. The low also draws moisture from all directions depending on conditions at that time. That is why it will rain in a place like Hua Hin because the low is drawing rain from the Andaman Sea. This just happened with a previous storm where the low entered the gulf.

 

It is very interesting to watch the nationwide composite radar loop as a low crosses Thailand because you can see all the rain slowly rotating around the low.

 

And also the interaction of other high and low pressure areas around Thailand on satellite. 

 

For Thailand these lows are about rain not so much about a tropical wind storm. 

I want to go 7-11 at 5.00pm  to get some more p_ss   .......   will i be rained on   ?

Here is the latest warning graphic. The low will enter Thailand on 25 or 26/10.

 

 

latest satellite:

2 minutes ago, NCC1701A said:

latest satellite:

thank you NCC .... I downloaded windy.com early this morning on my mobile and was looking at all the wind directions and speeds down in the south pole.  very interesting. 

Weather Warning "Category 4 Severe Tropical Storm “Saudel”" No. 3 Time Issued : October 22, 2020

At 4.00 a.m. on 22 October, the Category 4 severe tropical storm SAUDEL over the middle South China Sea was centered at latitude 16.4 degrees north, longitude 116.2 degrees east with the maximum sustained winds about 100 km/hr. It is moving west slowly, expected to make landfall over the upper coast of Vietnam from 25-26 October 2020 and rapidly downgrade into the low cell. Isolated rain with strong wind is likely over the eastern and the lower portion of the Northeast.

10 hours ago, NCC1701A said:

Weather Warning "Category 4 Severe Tropical Storm “Saudel”" No. 3 Time Issued : October 22, 2020

At 4.00 a.m. on 22 October, the Category 4 severe tropical storm SAUDEL over the middle South China Sea was centered at latitude 16.4 degrees north, longitude 116.2 degrees east with the maximum sustained winds about 100 km/hr. It is moving west slowly, expected to make landfall over the upper coast of Vietnam from 25-26 October 2020 and rapidly downgrade into the low cell. Isolated rain with strong wind is likely over the eastern and the lower portion of the Northeast.

This is what happens when you pray for rain and forget to yell "When".

Category 5 Typhoon “Saudel

 

Present wind distribution : Max sustained wids- 085KT, gusts 105KT:

 

 

Edited October 23, 20205 yr by NCC1701A

Weather Warning "Category 5 Typhoon “Saudel”" No. 5 Time Issued : October 23, 2020

At 4.00 a.m. today, the Category 5 typhoon “Saudel” over the middle South China Sea was centered at latitude 17.5 degrees north, longitude 115.5 degrees east with the maximum sustained winds about 140 km/hr. It is moving northwest slowly. It is expected to approach the upper coast of Vietnam from 25-26 October 2020 and rapidly downgrade into the low cell. Isolated rain with strong wind is likely over the eastern and lower portion of the Northeast

Edited October 23, 20205 yr by NCC1701A

it looks like the low will be in the vicinity of Amnat Charoen on the 27th at 00:00 hours.

 

Please provide links to the source of the information regarding this incoming tropical storm. 

 

Thank you

https://www.tmd.go.th/en/list_warning.php

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

 

https://www.tmd.go.th/en/list_warning.php

 

 

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=12.0;103.2;4&l=gust&t=20200920/0600

 

Latest images. Note the formation of low 98W which is forecast to grow into yet another tropical storm and possibly follow a path similar to Saudel only slightly more to the south and will cross over Da Nang on the 29th.

 

 

from the Thai government:

 

Weather Warning "Category 5 Typhoon “Saudel”" No. 7 Time Issued : October 24, 2020

At 4.00 a.m. today, the Category 5 typhoon “Saudel” over the middle South China Sea was centered at latitude 18.0 degrees north, longitude 113.7 degrees east with the maximum sustained winds about 120 km/hr. It is moving west slowly. It is expected to approach the upper coast of Vietnam from 25-26 October 2020 and rapidly downgrade into the low cell. Isolated rain with strong wind is likely over the Northeastern part.

latest sat with Saudel entering frame on the right side of the second image:

 

OK so tropical storm Saudel has been downgraded. We will see how much rain there is over night and tomorrow when the low arrives in Thailand. Looks like it is tracking slightly more north now.

 

 

Edited October 25, 20205 yr by NCC1701A