9 hours ago, Moonlover said:

 

 

Poverty is rarely, if ever the cause of a reduced TFR. In fact the opposite is the case. Economic growth tends to reduce TFR. Well known examples of that within this region are Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea and Japan.

 

Thailand is following a trend set by many before it of increased urbanization drawing the population in seeking a better economic life. That trend runs in parallel with increased mechanization back home on the farm, making rural life economically less attractive. Lots of kids get in the way of that process.

Absolutely spot on.

These two gentlemen explain the reasons why....

 

 

Edited February 14, 20215 yr by Odysseus123

9 hours ago, Moonlover said:

Poverty is rarely, if ever the cause of a reduced TFR. In fact the opposite is the case. Economic growth tends to reduce TFR. Well known examples of that within this region are Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea and Japan.

 

Thailand is following a trend set by many before it of increased urbanization drawing the population in seeking a better economic life. That trend runs in parallel with increased mechanization back home on the farm, making rural life economically less attractive. Lots of kids get in the way of that process.

Indeed. This is good news. Countries with higher standards of living have lower birth rates. There are a few reasons - better education, more contraception, females being more active in the workforce, improved lifestyles and less need to have children to look after them in old age. https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/birth-rate-by-country

The latest forecast, which is lower than previous UN predictions, on which climate change models are based, sees the global population peaking around 2064 and declining thereafter. This would be positive for the environment and the fight against climate change, at least relative to UN expectations. Fewer people mean lower carbon emissions and less demand for food and water. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/07/17/a-new-forecast-says-the-worlds-population-will-peak-at-97bn-in-2064

Don't worry, be happy ????
 

Edited February 14, 20215 yr by Donga

58 minutes ago, Odysseus123 said:

Absolutely spot on.

These two gentlemen explain the reasons why....

 

 

Thanks for that. It's very interesting.

This is a VERY serious issue for Thailand (and China) for mid and long-term future.

 

They get 'old' before they get 'rich.'

 

Demography is not destiny but it's close.

21 hours ago, rooster59 said:

Thailand’s total fertility rate (TFR) has dropped to lowest

a sure sign thailand is getting more westernised

21 hours ago, quake said:

Finally a good news thread. 

 

 

Actually very bad news. A lower birth rate follows the economical development of countries, it should not proceed it. Low income people need children to take care of them. The main problem for Thailand will be that there will be too many low income elderly with no one to financially look after them. The feudal financial flow  up from young to old, is shifting too fast here. And there are many reasons why, with the main reason the unequal income and wealth distribution