An illustration released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Alissa Eckert, MS; Dan Higgins, MAM/CDC/Handout via REUTERS.

 

Thailand’s Centre for COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) Spokesman Dr. Taweesin Visanuyothin warned today (Monday) that new infections, which have been slowing, may surge again in mid-October because of the easing of lockdown restrictions, unless members of the public keep their guard up.

 

Dr. Taweesin expressed concern over the sight of many people crowding at the entrances of malls, waiting for them to open, saying that the virus can be easily transmitted in a crowded environment, with the consequences being seen in the next two weeks.

 

He said that infections for the months of July and August had slowed, thanks to the cooperation of all parties adding, however, that he is concerned that infections may rebound due to the easing of restrictions and many people lowering their guard.

 

Full Story: https://www.thaipbsworld.com/ccsa-warns-covid-infections-may-surge-in-october-if-guard-lowered/

 

-- © Copyright Thai PBS 2021-09-06

 

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Nowbody lowering their guard. Some of these responsible health blah blah guys with a fixed monthly salary don't even know what it means to feed a family without income. Better these theoretical bla bla guys concentrate on their part and see that the population is supplied with effective vaccines.

There will be a surge because the real numbers can now be posted. The PM won the debate. No need to lie any more.

When the surge comes , he can blame the people. No more alcohol folks!

Well we do know that with the openings and a lack of true regulations for dining in and shopping at malls the cases will grow.  I am sure this is what they want anyway, that way they can still hand out contracts to their buddies who are running the Hospitels, and such. I see it all as an exhibition of stupidity and so do the western countries and why Thailands tourism woes will continue with the red list and the Level 4 travel advisory from the US.  China will not be letting their citizens out until mid 2022, so it must be the Indians who will be flocking in droves to Thailand starting in October.

So now when the numbers are down, the government will rush to remove CoE etc to entice people to book their holidays in Thailand. Happy days back for TAT. But in a few weeks, the numbers are of course up again, and the old rules must be put back in place. Flip flop. 

Lower the testing to get better numbers so they can have their "mission accomplished!" moment and once things reopen, they can blame the citizens when they jump back up again

 

It's all so transparent

Thailand has 69 million people. Thailand has 1.28 million detected Corvit cases. Thailand has 12,855 Corvit dead. The death rate for detected Corvit cases in relation is around 1%. The risk of death in relation to the population would be: 12855 × 100 / (69000000-1280000) = 0.018%. Why do some doctors fail to understand that the population is willing to live under normal conditions with this risk.

13 minutes ago, tomacht8 said:

Thailand has 69 million people. Thailand has 1.28 million detected Corvit cases. Thailand has 12,855 Corvit dead. The death rate for detected Corvit cases is around 1%. The risk of death in relation to the population would be: 12855 × 100 / (69000000-1280000) = 0.018%. Why do some doctors fail to understand that the population is willing to live under normal conditions with this risk.

Is it something you do often?

 

Speak for whole populations of people?

 

......

Your calculations are flawed.

 

You neglect to recognize the death rates you use are based on deaths with lockdowns and other precautions.

7 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Is it something you do often?

 

Speak for whole populations of people?

 

......

Your calculations are flawed.

 

You neglect to recognize the death rates you use are based on deaths with lockdowns and other precautions.

True. Is just for a thought.

What part the lockdowns have is difficult to mathematically add, isn't it?

1 hour ago, tomacht8 said:

Nowbody lowering their guard. Some of these responsible health blah blah guys with a fixed monthly salary don't even know what it means to feed a family without income. Better these theoretical bla bla guys concentrate on their part and see that the population is supplied with effective vaccines.

Supplying the population with effective vaccines is the job of covid-czar Prayut and his incompetent sidekick Anutin. Dr Taweesin's job is to advise the Govt on the possible consequences of their actions coming out of lockdown.

So all the previous announcements of the peak has passed was just fake news then ????

2 hours ago, tomacht8 said:

Nowbody lowering their guard. Some of these responsible health blah blah guys with a fixed monthly salary don't even know what it means to feed a family without income. Better these theoretical bla bla guys concentrate on their part and see that the population is supplied with effective vaccines.

Be fair to him. Without covid there would be no CCSA and no job for him, so he's hardly likely to downplay the risks. He's just doing what he' s paid to do; keep the ball rolling.

35 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

You neglect to recognize the death rates you use are based on deaths with lockdowns and other precautions.

It's obvious that all those "precautions" worked perfectly...

 

Close the restaurants ? Cases go up.

 

Ban on alcohol ? Cases go up.

 

Curfew 8 or 9 PM or whatever ? Cases go up.

 

Phuket sandbox ? Cases go up.

1 hour ago, tomacht8 said:

Thailand has 69 million people. Thailand has 1.28 million detected Corvit cases. Thailand has 12,855 Corvit dead. The death rate for detected Corvit cases in relation is around 1%. The risk of death in relation to the population would be: 12855 × 100 / (69000000-1280000) = 0.018%. Why do some doctors fail to understand that the population is willing to live under normal conditions with this risk.

Not only doctors. Some members of this forum, who are supposed to be educated enlightened westerners, fail to understand this too. Talk about mass scale brainwashing that did a total blackout of logic and math skills :D

3 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

He said that infections for the months of July (...) had slowed (...)

Wasn't that when new Covid cases started to rise towards 20,000 a day??

 

It's nice to know that Thailand, once more, is the 'Hub of Misinformation'...

^{don't know who to believe}

 

^{somedays there are warning and be careful}

other day.. don't worry, the good days and time to open the country.

 

they can't lie about the dead bodies.

 

 

 

9 hours ago, tomacht8 said:

Thailand has 69 million people. Thailand has 1.28 million detected Corvit cases. Thailand has 12,855 Corvit dead. The death rate for detected Corvit cases in relation is around 1%. The risk of death in relation to the population would be: 12855 × 100 / (69000000-1280000) = 0.018%. Why do some doctors fail to understand that the population is willing to live under normal conditions with this risk.

 

Your figures are misleading, because Thailand had almost no covid deaths until recently:

 

April 15th 2020 - 43 deaths

October 15th 2020 - 59 deaths

April 15th 2021 - 97 deaths

September 4th 2021 - 12,631 deaths

 

Thailand has been averaging 250 deaths/day for the last 3 weeks. Assuming the daily deaths don't rise any further - optimistically - that would be 250x365 - 91,250 deaths a year.

 

 

11 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

Dr. Taweesin expressed concern over the sight of many people crowding at the entrances of malls, waiting for them to open, saying that the virus can be easily transmitted in a crowded environment, with the consequences being seen in the next two weeks.

Unfortunately you can't educate those who are beyond help.

10 hours ago, tomacht8 said:

Nowbody lowering their guard. Some of these responsible health blah blah guys with a fixed monthly salary don't even know what it means to feed a family without income. Better these theoretical bla bla guys concentrate on their part and see that the population is supplied with effective vaccines.

Nobody lowering their guard... come take a look around were I live, it'll change your mind.

 

10 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

Well we do know that with the openings and a lack of true regulations for dining in and shopping at malls the cases will grow.  I am sure this is what they want anyway, that way they can still hand out contracts to their buddies who are running the Hospitels, and such. I see it all as an exhibition of stupidity and so do the western countries and why Thailands tourism woes will continue with the red list and the Level 4 travel advisory from the US.  China will not be letting their citizens out until mid 2022, so it must be the Indians who will be flocking in droves to Thailand starting in October.

Not forgetting the half million Russians laced with Sputnik.

2 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

Unfortunately you can't educate those who are beyond help.

That's half the battle - for a year and a half, health authorities have been engaging and promoting the simple ideals of mitigation protocol......worldwide. 

And the waves after surges continue on and the populations can't understand why.

More than half the world's population still doesn't get it.

5 minutes ago, nkg said:

 

Your figures are misleading, because Thailand had almost no covid deaths until recently:

 

April 15th 2020 - 43 deaths

October 15th 2020 - 59 deaths

April 15th 2021 - 97 deaths

September 4th 2021 - 12,631 deaths

 

Thailand has been averaging 250 deaths/day for the last 3 weeks. Assuming the daily deaths don't rise any further - optimistically - that would be 250x365 - 91,250 deaths a year.

 

 

 

Or to put it another way, Thailand's covid deaths (250 a day) are currently 4 times higher than Thailand's road deaths (62 a day).

 

I don't hear anyone saying that road deaths in Thailand are a minor problem ...

 

9 hours ago, tomacht8 said:

Thailand has 69 million people. Thailand has 1.28 million detected Corvit cases. Thailand has 12,855 Corvit dead. The death rate for detected Corvit cases in relation is around 1%. The risk of death in relation to the population would be: 12855 × 100 / (69000000-1280000) = 0.018%. Why do some doctors fail to understand that the population is willing to live under normal conditions with this risk.

Maybe they went to a different maths class ?

5 minutes ago, hotchilli said:

Nobody lowering their guard... come take a look around were I live, it'll change your mind.

 

As it is in our area. Folks are extremely cautious.

9 hours ago, sammieuk1 said:

So all the previous announcements of the peak has passed was just fake news then ????

No it was true during the period of the censure debate.

...hopeless...you can't protect a castle if you leave the drawbridge down and all the exits open.

7 minutes ago, zzaa09 said:

As it is in our area. Folks are extremely cautious.

...maybe so...but no real numbers bein vaccinated...time to have 'walk-ins' for all ages.

10 hours ago, Tropicalevo said:

There will be a surge because the real numbers can now be posted. The PM won the debate. No need to lie any more.

When the surge comes , he can blame the people. No more alcohol folks!

...time to have 'walk-in-vaccinations' for all ages.

8 minutes ago, tandor said:

...maybe so...but no real numbers bein vaccinated...time to have 'walk-ins' for all ages.

Should've started this process a couple of months ago. 

Avoiding all this bureaucratic/unnecessary registering and scheduling. 

A couple of central locals - open to all. 

 

 

 

I have to pop down to the 7-11, anybody got a buckshee noddy suit they can lend me?