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Political prospects may get harder to read


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By Tulsathit Taptim

 

Prawit Wongsuwan, Jatuporn Prompan and the unbendable Move Forward Party have all expressed sound reasons lately when it comes to the future course of Thai politics. The greatest influencer, though, is not what they think, but how many seats each of Thailand’s political parties get in the next general election.

 

In other words, the trio have made great points, but the reality of the future could be dictated more by expediency and lesser by ideology. Move Forward resents that potential reality, and Jatuporn also seemingly so. Prawit, however, is presenting himself as more flexible, but he is still apparently relying on the provisional powers of the Senate.

 

The three are part of a political landscape that looks deceptively simple, with ideological divide carving the country in half in what appears to be irreconcilable polarization, a much-deplored situation but it appears to be the norm all the same. It is increasingly apparent that the upcoming election will not be that straightforward.

 

Move Forward is the easiest to analyse. It will not form a government with either the Palang Pracharath Party or Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party, full stop. The only chance Move Forward can be in the government is for the current opposition bloc, of which it is a part, to win a massive combined number of House of Representatives seats, enough to keep the Senate at bay and take away any Pheu Thai excuse to rely on Palang Pracharath.

 

Full story: https://www.thaipbsworld.com/political-prospects-may-get-harder-to-read/

 

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-- © Copyright Thai PBS 2023-03-03
 

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Historically, the Thai political methodology can be made up of exhausting elements and predictable outcomes. 

Rhetorical Asian theatre at it's finest and duly noted desire to make sure that the ruling oligarchical always has it's way. 

 

Why do we bother going through the motions and pretending that we are equipped to change a rock solid dominate paradigm when the stage and script have already been settled. 

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