Poll: Predict the outcome of the U.S. presidential election (electoral college and after)

[Jingthing]

Vote your prediction, NOT your preference.

This poll closes OCTOBER 31 at midnight.

 

 

Edited October 12 by Jingthing

[NickyLouie]

Trump has already won.

 

#MAGA💯

[Jingthing]

Just now, NickyLouie said:

Trump has already won.

 

#MAGA💯

Sure he has, in Cloudcuckooland.

[NickyLouie]

6 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

Sure he has, in Cloudcuckooland.

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

[CallumWK]

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

[Jingthing]

Just now, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

Then I'm 0 for 2.

[Jingthing]

1 minute ago, CallumWK said:

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

How does it have an agenda?
It's fully balanced between both sides.

I fear your prediction might come true and it certainly could. 

[CallumWK]

4 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

How does it have an agenda?
It's fully balanced between both sides.

I fear your prediction might come true and it certainly could. 

 

Of course not adding the same option to the other part of the poll would have made it too obvious, but everyone on this forum knows for ages already about your anti-trump agenda in every political sided post you make

[Jingthing]

4 minutes ago, CallumWK said:

 

Of course not adding the same option to the other part of the poll would have made it too obvious, but everyone on this forum knows for ages already about your anti-trump agenda in every political sided post you make

Irrelevant but it is a FACT that Trump tried to overturn the last election and also that he's setting the stage for the same sort of effort this time if he loses the electoral vote.

But this POLL itself is objectively really neutral.

How you or anyone else feels about what I think about Trump is totally irrelevant. Why would that impact anyone's choice in this poll?!?

Again, I'm asking people to make their PREDICTION, not their preference.

 

Edited October 12 by Jingthing

[Smokin Joe]

You could have just combined options 3 and 6 which would both result in chaos and civil war.

[Cryingdick]

I already started a thread on this. It seems JT wants us to choose from his custom set of polling options. I am not doing that but here is my best guess on the electoral college which is the only thing that matters.

 

I have it scored 287 GOP 251DFL. That's giving Kamala Nevada and Pennsylvania and the others MI, WI GA and NC to Trump. 

[BLMFem]

4 hours ago, CallumWK said:

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

So committing treason again? Time for him to get bent over a barrel then.

Edited October 12 by BLMFem

[Smokin Joe]

1 minute ago, BLMFem said:

So committing treason again? Time for him to get put up against a wall then.

You read that wrong. It said :

 

• Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
   
  0

[BLMFem]

14 minutes ago, Smokin Joe said:

You read that wrong. It said :

 

• Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
   
  0

No I did not but my recommendation wouldn't have changed anyway.

[Danderman123]

7 hours ago, CallumWK said:

Another poll with an agenda 

 

Harris will win the electoral college vote BUT Trump will take power anyway

Or die trying.

[Danderman123]

2 hours ago, Smokin Joe said:

You read that wrong. It said :

 

• Trump will win the electoral college vote BUT Harris will take power anyway and Harris will be sworn in January 20
   
  0

You have an active fantasy life.

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

I already started a thread on this. It seems JT wants us to choose from his custom set of polling options. I am not doing that but here is my best guess on the electoral college which is the only thing that matters.

 

I have it scored 287 GOP 251DFL. That's giving Kamala Nevada and Pennsylvania and the others MI, WI GA and NC to Trump. 

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

[Danderman123]

7 hours ago, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

What kind of nut job are you?

 

Politics isn't a religion.

[Cryingdick]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

 

At least I made my prediction without a slew of senseless trolling. 

[Patong2021]

9 hours ago, NickyLouie said:

 

The only thing The Donald asks of you,

is that you accept him,

the same way,

you have accepted our Lord, Jesus Christ.

 

 

Please do not equate Trump to Jesus Christ. The statement is offensive to  Christians. You obviously have not studied the teachings of the Christian faith. Have some respect for others please.

[Patong2021]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

November 5 will be a sad day for you.

 

Democrats are doing better in 2024 early voting than in 2020, in terms of percentage of the vote. The GOP is being crushed.

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

 

At least I made my prediction without a slew of senseless trolling. 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

 

Here is actual data for you to enjoy.

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

We haven't seen any references to polling from Trumpers since @illisdean was posting polls four months ago.

[Cryingdick]

3 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

 

Here is actual data for you to enjoy.

Make your prediction or drop over. We have no need to discuss this. The thread isnt about cheerleading it is simply making a prediction. 

[Danderman123]

6 hours ago, Patong2021 said:

 

The polling data suggests that voter sentiment in some swing states (PA, AZ) is now back to Trump. 3 weeks to go. Still anyone's election.

The NY Times poll today has Trump down by four in Pennsylvania.

[herfiehandbag]

I suspect option 3.

 

Harris will win the electoral college by a slim margin, and the popular vote "bigly" as one might say. There will follow an absolute blizzard of litigation designed to push the electoral process beyond various deadlines, leading to a demands for a "contingent election" and if that doesn't work out for him an urgent appeal to the Supreme Court.

Edited October 13 by herfiehandbag

[illisdean]

RCP average in battleground state PA. Trump leads all swing states now except for MAYBE Nevada so should Trump prevail (as he should) in all the safe sunbelt states he will need only one rust belt state (WI, MI, PA) for the victory and Kamala needs all the rust belt states which she is now losing in all of them. Pay attention to AtlasIntel polling as they were by far the most accurate pollsters in the 2020 election. In 2020 Biden held a 4.7 point lead over Trump and won PA by only 1.1 points showing Trump consistently over-performs in most of the polling results. Unless Kamala leads by more than 3 to 4 points she will lose. Bye bye cackle queen.

 

 

 

Edited October 13 by illisdean

[still kicking]

Well can't vote 

[bunnydrops]

I didn't take part in this Poll. Still to close to call. One thing of interest that I have seen in the polls is that when the pollsters do both the LV (likely voters) and the RV ( registered voters) simultaneously, Trump wins by +1 in the LV but Harris wins by +2 or more in the RV poll. The LV polls only count voters who voted in the last two national elections, whereas the RV includes registered voters who are first-time voters who were too young to vote before and voters who did not vote in the last two elections. The turnout will mean a lot this time around.

[illisdean]

20 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

@illisdean

Then there is this from CNN

 

 

Edited October 13 by illisdean