Terrific news.   Harris is competitive in Iowa due to women voters.  Hopefully, women will turn out in record numbers in all the states in this super close election.   Meanwhile, Trump just said he shouldn't have given up the presidency after he lost by 7 million votes in 2020.   He should have refused to leave.  What more evidence does anybody with a functioning brain need to finally understand how dangerous  he is to America?  With those comments he is telling you loud and clear that he does NOT just want to be a dictator for a day.  Wake up and smell the coffee already.  

2 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

I have never said that would be the case. However if the polls are off it favors Trump not Kamala. You realize I am not voting for  Trump right? 

I’m not sure how you determine poll error to favor Trump.

 

Many of Trump’s supporters don’t vote.

2 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

I have never said that would be the case. However if the polls are off it favors Trump not Kamala. You realize I am not voting for  Trump right? 

Whether you are voting or not is impossible to determine.  However, the one candidate you consistently criticize is Harris. So. please, spare us your pretensions to neutrality.

could it be that rumors about people, illegals, able to vote or the bios password of the voting machines are being used?

 

https://www.google.com/search?q=bios+password+of+the+voting+machines

8 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I’m not sure how you determine poll error to favor Trump.

 

Many of Trump’s supporters don’t vote.

 

when running against Clinton lady, where the media assumed she would win by a landslide, rumors where she has 17% advance in the polls, to discourage trump voters to even go vote as it would be useless, kind of manipulation ?

 

5 minutes ago, john donson said:

 

when running against Clinton lady, where the media assumed she would win by a landslide, rumors where she has 17% advance in the polls, to discourage trump voters to even go vote as it would be useless, kind of manipulation ?

 

Apart from that being a misrepresentation of the facts, are you saying the 2016 polls are now relevant to the 2024 election?

8 minutes ago, john donson said:

could it be that rumors about people, illegals, able to vote or the bios password of the voting machines are being used?

 

https://www.google.com/search?q=bios+password+of+the+voting+machines

No not a thing.

56 minutes ago, Berkshire said:

I was rather shocked about the Iowa poll, even though it's a tiny state.  It could portend the momentum going into the election.  States that Trump figures are a lock may not be anymore.  Think Texas, Florida...etc.  As for your comment that "Trump supporters won't accept it and will take to the streets in a violent uprising".....let them try.  More lawless right wing nutters in prison is a good thing. 

‘…More lawless right wing nutters in prison is a good thing.” Much better than the Antifa and BLM rioters which destroyed lives, businesses and properties in Spring and Summer 2020 and were never prosecuted. It’s a matter of choice depending where you live.

2 minutes ago, Nid_Noi said:

‘…More lawless right wing nutters in prison is a good thing.” Much better than the Antifa and BLM rioters which destroyed lives, businesses and properties in Spring and Summer 2020 and were never prosecuted. It’s a matter of choice depending where you live.

 

Link to evidence for this lie?

17 minutes ago, pattayasan said:

 

Link to evidence for this lie?

Maybe you should keep informed by what’s going on in today’s world… or learn how to use the internet for a start. Even the leftist mainstream media have been reporting about these events.
 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_incidents_and_protests_of_the_United_States_racial_unrest

1 minute ago, Nid_Noi said:

Maybe you should keep informed by what’s going on in today’s world… or learn how to use the internet for a start. Even the leftist mainstream media have been reporting about these events.
 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_incidents_and_protests_of_the_United_States_racial_unrest

 

I asked for evidence to support your lie that nobody was prosecuted.

I would like to see Harris win by 10 or 12 million popular votes, and at least 30 or 40 delegates, and that would make Trump a two-time loser, three times if you count the midterms. He would like to be exiled into political oblivion and MAGA would likely collapse, which would be a great thing for the planet.

 

In addition the bonus prize would be the very significant possibility that he'll be locked up for some of the many crimes that he's committed. 

 

 

1 hour ago, pattayasan said:

 

I asked for evidence to support your lie that nobody was prosecuted.

https://minnesotareformer.com/2021/05/27/one-year-later-few-charges-for-the-arson-and-destruction/#:~:text=Nearly 100 people have been,city (try Minneapolis%2C St.
 

https://nypost.com/2024/08/25/opinion/kamala-harris-support-for-bail-fund-that-freed-violent-criminals-shows-how-tough-on-crime-she-really-is/
 

 

3 minutes ago, Nid_Noi said:

https://minnesotareformer.com/2021/05/27/one-year-later-few-charges-for-the-arson-and-destruction/#:~:text=Nearly 100 people have been,city (try Minneapolis%2C St.
 

https://nypost.com/2024/08/25/opinion/kamala-harris-support-for-bail-fund-that-freed-violent-criminals-shows-how-tough-on-crime-she-really-is/
 

 

 

Support for a bail fund says nothing about being tough on crime or her opinion or otherwise of guilt. Your first link proves you lied.

Edited November 4, 20241 yr by pattayasan

6 hours ago, pattayasan said:

 

They will vote for the other guy who supports genocide instead?

and punish the Democrats.

6 hours ago, Cryingdick said:

We already know this won't be settled in 48 hours.

Again, you won't be worrying about polls in 48 hours.

2 hours ago, pattayasan said:

 

Support for a bail fund says nothing about being tough on crime or her opinion or otherwise of guilt. Your first link proves you lied.

You seem to be frustrated by your life. Get a hobby or start meditation.

2 minutes ago, Nid_Noi said:

You seem to be frustrated by your life. Get a hobby or start meditation.

 

I though you were going to supply a cogent argument supporting your belief that support of a bail fund meant weak on crime. oh, well.

 

 

 

 

OMG....what am I looking at???

 

Just been on 270toWin and their simulation shows an absolute seismic for Trump.....tell me it ain't so!!!!

1 hour ago, Will B Good said:

 

 

OMG....what am I looking at???

 

Just been on 270toWin and their simulation shows an absolute seismic for Trump.....tell me it ain't so!!!!

Our resident forum pollster has not being posting those happy Trump polls lately. Sign of a deflating air of optimism. 

45 minutes ago, Eric Loh said:

Our resident forum pollster has not being posting those happy Trump polls lately. Sign of a deflating air of optimism. 

Trump and MAGAs have also amplified voter fraud claims recently, which is a good sign he's not sure to win.

I just see how a poll of 800 people can be meaningful.   I took statistics.   I have read where they try to get the participants to represent who they guess will be voting.  

 

The fact that the pools are even within 30% makes me sad to be American.

It's mon morning so in about 40 hours we will get some real numbers.  

I'm counting on women, Latinos, young and black voters to save the Constitution , democracy, and the rule of law.  

I still think Harris is going to win. I've thought so since the day she replaced Biden. Too many women upset about anti-abortion laws and some Republicans playing into their hands, such as Vance. If this does end up being the case, the irony of it all will be that Trump lost the election because of the two Catholic anti-abortion justices he put on the supreme court. I do wish polling would disappear. It is something that is grotesque, because it never ends. We'll probably be seeing polls on 6 November about candidates for 2028.

Edited November 4, 20241 yr by John Drake

suppression poll. Harris is so far underwater with early voting and low propensity voters. She needs a miracle turnout at the polls on election day to have any chance. If Trump election day vote numbers follow normal trends, it's a Trump landslide.

Edited November 4, 20241 yr by darbie-foos

1 minute ago, darbie-foos said:

suppression poll. Harris is so far underwater with early voting and low propensity voters. She needs a miracle turnout at the polls on election day to have any chance. If Trump election day vote numbers follow normal trends, it's a Trump landslide.

Normal trends in the most abnormal U.S. election in over 100 years. Good luck with that.

18 hours ago, pattayasan said:

 

They will vote for the other guy who supports genocide instead?

Their respective support for genocide in Palestine is a wash. Seems to me the election comes down to abortion vs open borders. Similar to the media in the USA pollsters are on one side or the other so cannot be trusted. If you choose to I have a WMD in Iraq story to sell you. Any accuracy to it being a tossup nationally she is in trouble. If you add up the half dozen states with the widest margins from 2020 Biden was up by 10m votes. She would need about a 4% margin to repeat his win. The person whose judgement I trust most is political scientist from the University of Chicago John Mearsheimer who says his gut judgement is a Trump win. 

2 minutes ago, pegman said:

Their respective support for genocide in Palestine is a wash. Seems to me the election comes down to abortion vs open borders. Similar to the media in the USA pollsters are on one side or the other so cannot be trusted. If you choose to I have a WMD in Iraq story to sell you. Any accuracy to it being a tossup nationally she is in trouble. If you add up the half dozen states with the widest margins from 2020 Biden was up by 10m votes. She would need about a 4% margin to repeat his win. The person whose judgement I trust most is political scientist from the University of Chicago John Mearsheimer who says his gut judgement is a Trump win. 

 

The election comes down to Russia and Ukraine. The immigration issues will sort them selves out with identical results no matter who wins. As will the middle east.

1 hour ago, pegman said:

Their respective support for genocide in Palestine is a wash. Seems to me the election comes down to abortion vs open borders. Similar to the media in the USA pollsters are on one side or the other so cannot be trusted. If you choose to I have a WMD in Iraq story to sell you. Any accuracy to it being a tossup nationally she is in trouble. If you add up the half dozen states with the widest margins from 2020 Biden was up by 10m votes. She would need about a 4% margin to repeat his win. The person whose judgement I trust most is political scientist from the University of Chicago John Mearsheimer who says his gut judgement is a Trump win. 

Yeah the same guy who said Russia will never invade Ukraine, days before you guessed it Russia invaded Ukraine.

10 hours ago, Jingthing said:

Yeah the same guy who said Russia will never invade Ukraine, days before you guessed it Russia invaded Ukraine.

Larry Fink's purchase of Ukraine only holds if there is a Democrat in the executive branch. 

8 minutes ago, pegman said:

Larry Fink's purchase of Ukraine only holds if there is a Democrat in the executive branch. 

Thank you for sharing your addled and paranoid take on this:

Zelenskyy, BlackRock CEO Fink agree to coordinate Ukraine investment

BlackRock Financial Markets Advisory and the Ukrainian Ministry of Economy signed a memorandum of understanding in November.
Zelenskyy and Fink agreed Wednesday to “focus in the near term on coordinating the efforts of all potential investors and participants in the reconstruction of our country, channelling investment into the most relevant and impactful sectors of the Ukrainian economy.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/28/zelenskyy-blackrock-ceo-fink-agree-to-coordinate-ukraine-investment.html