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Ukraine is winning the war

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https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/s/2SMPktlCe1

Last year or more if a plant was hit with drones it would cause damage

9 High speed/capacity rocket powered missiles now destroys a factory in one go.

Edited by Cave Johnson

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  • Because youve never lied here before or anything

  • LOL, in the beginning I thought you're just lacking of basic knowledge and information, but now I see you're just stupid beyond comprehension . "credible news and evidence"  

  • Another Putin propagandist spreads some more garbage.

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Moscow Rushes Air Defences After Refinery Strike Shock

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Russia has moved an unusually large concentration of air defence systems to protect a key Moscow oil refinery after Ukrainian drone strikes exposed vulnerabilities deep inside the country’s strategic infrastructure.

The redeployment highlights growing pressure on Russian commanders as Ukraine continues to target energy facilities far from the front line, forcing Moscow to make difficult choices about where to position its limited defensive assets.

Refinery Becomes Fortress After Drone Attack

According to reports cited by Defence Express, Russian forces have deployed at least four Pantsir air defence systems around the Moscow oil refinery in the Kapotnya district.

Videos circulating online appear to show multiple Pantsir units positioned within a few hundred metres of one another, including on elevated sections of the Moscow Ring Road. The systems have reportedly been placed on some of the highest available points around the facility to maximise coverage against incoming drones.

The concentration of so many systems around a single site is notable and underlines the refinery’s strategic importance following recent attacks.

Protection for Moscow, Exposure Elsewhere

Military analysts say the move comes with a trade-off. Every Pantsir system moved to Moscow is one less available to protect military bases, industrial facilities and infrastructure elsewhere across Russia.

That raises questions about whether other regions could become more vulnerable to future Ukrainian strikes. The redistribution reflects the challenge facing Russian planners as attacks increasingly reach targets hundreds of miles from the battlefield.

Why the Pantsir Matters

The Pantsir system is designed to defend critical facilities against a range of aerial threats, including drones, cruise missiles, helicopters and aircraft.

Its key advantage is its combination of guided missiles and rapid-fire cannons on a single platform. Missiles engage targets at longer distances, while cannons provide close-range protection against low-flying threats.

In recent years, Pantsir systems have become a familiar sight across Moscow, with units positioned on rooftops and around sensitive infrastructure.

Pressure Builds on Russia’s Defences

The latest deployment follows Ukrainian drone attacks that reportedly targeted the Moscow refinery in June.

Ukrainian military officials later claimed the strikes caused significant damage and disrupted operations at the facility. While Moscow has not publicly confirmed the full extent of the impact, the rapid reinforcement of air defences suggests Russian authorities are determined to prevent a repeat attack on one of the capital’s most important energy assets.

Russia moves unprecedented number of Pantsir air defense systems to Moscow after oil refinery attack

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Crimea plunged into darkness after blaze engulfs Kerch power plant

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Half of Crimea loses power as flames engulf Kerch plant after strikes© RBC-Ukraine (UK)

Large parts of Russian-controlled Crimea were left without electricity on Monday after a major fire erupted at a thermal power plant in Kerch following reported overnight strikes.

The incident marks the latest blow to critical infrastructure on the peninsula, as Ukrainian attacks continue to target energy, logistics and military facilities far behind the front line.

Fireball Over Kerch Sparks Blackout

Reports from local monitoring channels said a thermal power plant in Kerch's Arshyntseve district caught fire after a suspected strike.

Initial information suggests a storage tank at the facility was hit, triggering a large blaze. Satellite imagery reportedly showed a plume of smoke stretching for dozens of kilometres across the eastern Crimean sky.

The fire quickly fuelled speculation that another key piece of infrastructure had been successfully targeted in the escalating campaign against Russian-controlled assets.

Half The Peninsula Left Without Power

Occupation authorities acknowledged widespread power outages but attributed the disruption to unspecified "technological issues" in electrical networks.

The blackout affected major population centres including Yevpatoria, Saky and Dzhankoi, along with several surrounding districts. Residents across large areas of the peninsula faced sudden disruptions as electricity supplies failed.

Energy provider Krymenergo said emergency repair teams had been deployed and restoration work was underway. Officials claimed power could be fully restored within 24 hours.

Strikes Intensify Across Crimea

The power plant fire followed reports of a large-scale overnight drone attack across Crimea. Explosions were reported near multiple sites, while authorities temporarily halted traffic on the strategically important Crimean Bridge.

The disruption highlights the growing pressure on Russian forces tasked with defending the peninsula's transport and energy networks.

Infrastructure Becomes Front-Line Target

The latest incident comes after a series of reported Ukrainian strikes over the weekend targeting gas facilities, oil terminals, air defence systems and logistics hubs across Crimea.

As attacks reach deeper into Russian-controlled territory, Moscow faces an increasingly difficult balancing act: protecting military assets while keeping essential civilian infrastructure operational. Monday's blackout underlined just how vulnerable that network remains.

Half of Crimea loses power as flames engulf Kerch plant after strikes

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https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/s/6vqKmfOqxT

During the night of June 23, operators of the Unmanned Systems Forces struck enemy strike UAVs, air defense assets, energy infrastructure facilities, fuel supplies, and logistics transport in the operational depth of temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.

In Crimea, operators of the @1usc_army struck three Orion deep-strike reconnaissance and attack UAVs near Kerch. These UAVs are used as carriers for guided aerial bombs and small cruise missiles.

In Crimea, operators of the 1st Separate Center struck oil storage tanks at the Kerch (Kamysh-Burun) Thermal Power Plant.

In Crimea, operators of the 1st Separate Center struck a Pantsir-S1 air defense missile and gun system near Baherove, an S-300 launcher and a ZU-23 anti-aircraft gun near Kurortne, as well as a Nebo-U radar system near Kerch.

In Crimea, operators of the 1st Separate Center struck the Simferopol gas distribution station near Trudove.

In Crimea, operators of the @RAROG427 , together with the @Raid_413 , struck the 330/110 kV West Crimea electrical substation.

In Donetsk Oblast, operators of the @k_2army struck an enemy UAV operator training ground near Debaltseve and a fuel tanker carrying petroleum products near Horlivka.

In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, operators of the 412th Nemesis Brigade struck enemy logistics transport near Pryazovske.

Across temporarily occupied Crimea and the occupied territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts, operators of Detachment 13 of the @414magyarbirds , the 20th K-2 Brigade, the 412th Nemesis Brigade, and the 1st Separate Center struck enemy transport vehicles and fuel tankers.

Systematic strikes against air defense assets, strike UAVs, energy infrastructure, and logistics reduce the enemy’s ability to sustain combat operations and support its military groupings in temporarily occupied territories.

USF: One step ahead!

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The God Squad brought in the solve Russian fuel shortages.

Russian tanker. Going the way of Mad Max.

GDANSK, June 23 (Reuters) - The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development plans to sign new investments worth more than €500 million ($571 million) in Ukraine's critical sectors at a conference for the country's recovery this week, EBRD Banking Vice President Matteo Patrone said.

EBRD expects to sign a loan for a 189 MW wind power plant, developed by one of Ukraine's largest filling stations Galnaftogaz, at a two-day conference in the Polish costal city of Gdansk.

Another a loan for a 120 MW wind power plant operated by the German renewable energy company Notus Energy is expected to be signed.

The bank plans to sign deals worth about €270 million of EBRD finance with seven Ukrainian banks.

EBRD to sign more than €500 million in Ukraine projects this week

Last winter, Russian attacks damaged more than half of Ukraine's power generation capacity.

Even though I'm not a fan of this news channel, this is a good summary of everything that's happened in the last few days.

Russia’s Fuel Crunch Spreads to Heart of Oil Country

Russia’s worsening fuel crisis has reached the heart of its oil industry, with rationing measures now imposed in a region responsible for around 40% of the country’s crude production.

New limits on petrol and diesel sales in western Siberia have exposed growing strains on Russia’s energy infrastructure, as refinery disruptions and supply shortages ripple across the country.

Rationing Reaches the Oil Capital

Authorities and fuel suppliers in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug have introduced strict limits on fuel purchases, according to local reports.

At some filling stations, motorists can reportedly buy no more than 40 litres of petrol and 80 litres of diesel per visit. Fuel is being dispensed only directly into vehicle tanks, with prepayment required.

The move has sparked frustration among residents in one of the most oil-rich regions on earth. Drivers questioned how a country awash with crude oil could be facing shortages at the pump.

Restrictions Spread Across Russia

The measures are no longer isolated. Similar restrictions have emerged in neighbouring regions, while officials elsewhere have warned that rationing may soon follow.

Reports indicate that limits on fuel sales are already in force in more than 50 Russian regions. Local authorities have cited efforts to prevent fuel from being transported in bulk to areas experiencing more severe shortages.

The growing patchwork of restrictions highlights mounting pressure on domestic supply chains.

Drone Strikes Hit Refining Capacity

Industry analysts point to sustained attacks on Russia’s oil refining sector as a major factor behind the shortages.

Refinery throughput reportedly fell sharply in early June, with a significant share of processing capacity left idle. Damage to infrastructure has complicated efforts to maintain fuel supplies across Russia’s vast territory.

The disruption has forced authorities to consider emergency measures, including relaxing environmental fuel standards to keep production flowing.

Pressure Builds on Moscow

The fuel crunch presents a growing challenge for the Kremlin at a time when energy remains central to both the economy and the war effort.

What began as isolated shortages has evolved into a broader logistical problem. As restrictions spread deeper into Russia’s oil-producing heartland, questions are mounting over how long domestic supplies can remain stable without further intervention.

Fuel crisis reaches Russia's key oil-producing region, media report

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Key gas plant processing nearly 60% of Russia’s gas engulfed in flames near Orenburg

The plants are located more than 1,200 km from the front line. A fire has been reported on the premises of the facilities. The extent of the damage is being assessed.

The OHP receives purified sulfur-free gas and, through deep cooling, extracts its most valuable components—helium (an inert gas used in liquid-fuel rocket engines and guidance systems) and ethane (which is a key raw material for the synthesis of specialty plastics, cable insulation for aviation, and key plasticizers for solid rocket propellants and gunpowder).

The Orenburg Gas Processing Plant is one of the world’s largest gas chemical complexes, commissioned in 1974 (built with foreign participation).

The facility has a capacity of 45 billion cubic meters of gas per year; the plant accounts for 60% of all gas processed by Gazprom Processing.

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Russia turns to Kazakhstan for fuel as drone strikes hit refineries

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Kazakhstan's President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev and Putin

Russia is seeking emergency gasoline supplies from Kazakhstan after Ukrainian drone attacks and refinery outages slashed domestic fuel production, exposing growing strains in one of the world's biggest energy exporters.

Industry sources say Moscow is discussing imports of around 50,000 metric tons of AI-92 gasoline in an effort to stabilise supplies and prevent deeper disruptions across the domestic market.

Drone Campaign Hits at the Heart of Supply

A series of attacks on major refineries in central Russia has dealt a significant blow to fuel production. Combined with unscheduled maintenance, the outages have cut gasoline output by roughly a quarter compared with the same period last year.

The disruption has forced the Kremlin into an increasingly uncomfortable position. A country that routinely exports fuel abroad is now exploring imports to cover shortages at home.

Moscow Scrambles for Emergency Measures

Officials are weighing a range of interventions to contain the pressure. Options reportedly include tighter fuel export restrictions, increased subsidies for refiners and expanded imports.

Earlier this month, authorities also allowed refineries to produce gasoline and diesel that fall below normal quality standards for domestic consumption. Plans for seaborne gasoline imports have further highlighted the scale of the challenge.

Kazakhstan Holds the Key — For Now

Kazakhstan has emerged as the most immediate potential supplier. The country currently has excess gasoline stocks, but that cushion may prove temporary.

Maintenance at the Atyrau refinery, scheduled to run until late July, is expected to reduce available reserves. Industry sources caution that Kazakhstan's production capacity is small compared with Russia's needs, limiting how much relief it can provide.

A Fuel Swap May Be the Dealbreaker

Complicating matters further, one of Kazakhstan's potential supply sources depends on feedstock linked to Russia's TANECO refinery, which halted crude processing after a drone strike in June.

Sources suggest a fuel swap could unlock deliveries, with Kazakhstan supplying gasoline in exchange for Russian jet fuel. Astana faces its own aviation fuel shortage next month as demand rises and refinery maintenance bites.

The episode underlines a striking reality: Ukraine's long-range strikes are no longer just damaging infrastructure. They are forcing Russia to seek help from its neighbours to keep fuel flowing at home.

Russia asks Kazakhstan for gasoline to ease shortages, sources say

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/s/83RwdWQF7Y

Russian army recruitment plunges as Moscow struggles to fill Ukraine ranks

Russia is finding it increasingly difficult to recruit new contract soldiers and hold occupied Ukrainian territory. In Moscow, the number of people willing to sign contracts with the Defense Ministry and go to war against Ukraine fell by one-third in the spring. The same pattern is emerging in the regions.

Russian outlet Verstka reported the figures, citing data obtained by its newsroom.

Moscow sent 1,708 contract soldiers to the war in April and 1,378 in May. The report said that was 1,000 fewer than in 2025 and roughly in line with 2024 levels, before Moscow began offering million-ruble-level payouts for signing a contract.

A source in the Moscow mayor’s office told the outlet that the numbers have continued to fall in June.

“Few people are coming in, and even fewer are motivated,” the source said.

They also acknowledged that the quality of recruits has deteriorated.

Sources said the situation in Moscow reflects the broader picture across Russia.

The outlet also quoted a soldier in the occupying army who complained that new contract soldiers are mostly “unable to fight.” One mobilized soldier described them as “homeless people, literally” and “criminals” who cannot be taught anything, making them, as he put it, “disposable.”

He also said “new contract soldiers do not live longer than a month unless they get there through connections,” and pointed to a large number of deserters.

Various measures are being discussed to address the shortage of people willing to sign contracts with Russia’s Defense Ministry, including a new wave of mobilization.

The outlet also quoted a soldier in Russia’s occupying army who confirmed that “there are no people; the fools willing to do it for money have run out.” In his view, Russia will face either mobilization “or a deal with loss of ‘face,’ as well as unfulfilled conditions and goals of the so-called ‘special military operation.’” The soldier said “the choice here is obvious.”

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To the pro-Ukraine / anti-Putin brigade -- are we tired of all this winning?
I can say NO!

Ukraine apparently making moves to retake the Kinburn Spit.

Ukraine’s Odesa operational group said the blue-and-yellow flag was raised on Kinburn Spit after Ukrainian fire forced Russian troops to retreat from their positions. Surviving personnel are now evacuating and abandoning defensive lines.

https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mp462yoea22f

Edited by GroveHillWanderer

State of emergency declared in Crimea

Sergei Aksyonov, the Moscow-appointed governor of Crimea, has declared a state of emergency in Crimea and Sevastopol. He stated that the measure was coordinated with the occupation administration of Sevastopol and is intended to address issues regarding finances, loans, contracts, and compensation, as the situation on the occupied peninsula continues to deteriorate.

  • Author

Note to dear Russkie occupiers in Krim -- Time to go home. "Mother" Shucker Russia awaits with open gas siphons. The Kirch bridge is still open (for now so don't dilly dally). But you may have to walk. Bless their hearts!

Edited by Jingthing

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For a country that has "no cards" Ukraine sure seems to know how to turn a 16 into a blackjack.

  • Author
18 minutes ago, pomchop said:

For a country that has "no cards" Ukraine sure seems to know how to turn a 16 into a blackjack.

Ukraine needs to keep hitting hard now.

They have a significant technological advantage now that must be exploited.

Russia hasn't lost until they've lost. They could catch up to Ukraine's tech in six months to a year.

Of course any "end" will be negoitated.

There is danger in that too.

Trump may step in as he's desperate for a big deal win and pressure a bad deal ceasefire which just gives Russia time to catch up.

As it stands now Putin is still mouthing delusions that he's winning so the reality on the ground and in Russia needs to go much further before he wakes up and smells the coffee.

Edited by Jingthing

This is somebodies worst nightmare, the orcs are obsessive about secrecy because they have the best in the world according to them.

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https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/s/IN6wf11BzN

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So attacking refineries is leading to gas line ups 4500km away 🤣

Outstanding work.

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Multiple Ukrainian FP-5 “Flamingo” Cruise Missiles slam into the Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology’s “Titan-Barrikady” Defense Plant, which designs and produces parts for artillery and ballistic missile launchers, in the Southern Russian city of Volgograd.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2070691879738327061/video/1

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Russia's long-range drone campaign against Ukraine could be facing a significant setback after relay stations in Belarus were reportedly switched off, depriving Moscow of key battlefield capabilities even as attacks continue.

Ukrainian officials say the move will not stop Shahed drone strikes altogether, but it could sharply reduce their effectiveness by stripping away real-time control and reconnaissance functions.

Attacks Continue – But With New Limits

According to Serhii "Flash" Beskrestnov, an adviser to Ukraine's defence minister, Russia will still be able to launch Shahed drones using pre-programmed GPS coordinates.

What it will lose, he argues, is the ability to guide drones in flight through relay networks. Without those communications links, operators can no longer adapt attacks to changing battlefield conditions or redirect drones towards emerging targets.

Reconnaissance Capability Hit

The bigger loss, Ukrainian officials say, is intelligence gathering. Relay stations allowed Russian forces to use drones not only as strike weapons but also as reconnaissance platforms capable of identifying military positions, infrastructure and air defence systems.

Without that network, drones become significantly less flexible. Beskrestnov also claims Russia will no longer be able to engage moving targets such as locomotives or mobile air defence units, missions that require continuous radio control rather than fixed coordinates.

Ukraine Claims Tactical Advantage

Ukrainian officials further argue that Russia has lost the ability to identify gaps in Ukraine's air defence network.

According to Beskrestnov, some Russian drones carry upward-facing cameras that help operators identify areas where interceptors are absent, allowing future attacks to be routed through weaker sections of Ukraine's defences. If relay stations are no longer operational, that tactic becomes far more difficult to execute.

Pressure on Minsk Pays Off?

The reported shutdown follows a public warning from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who gave Belarus one week to dismantle four relay stations in the Gomel and Brest regions or face Ukrainian action.

Belarusian media subsequently reported that Shahed drones had stopped flying along the border for several days, while Zelenskyy later announced the relay stations were no longer operating.

If confirmed over the longer term, the development would mark another shift in the evolving technological contest that has become central to the war, with both sides racing to gain an edge in drone warfare.

How Belarus' relay stations shutdown could impact Russia's strikes on Ukraine

Ukraine strikes drive Russians out of Crimea, analysts claim

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Ukraine's expanding campaign against Russian military infrastructure in occupied Crimea is beginning to reshape life on the peninsula, with analysts claiming that tourists, occupation officials and even Russian troops are increasingly leaving as security deteriorates.

The assessment comes as Kyiv intensifies long-range drone attacks aimed at weakening Russia's military foothold and disrupting its logistics network.

Crimea's Sense of Security Crumbles

According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), sustained Ukrainian strikes are prompting a growing exodus of Russian visitors, residents who moved to occupied Crimea after 2014, military personnel and occupation officials.

Analysts argue that if the campaign continues, the departures could produce longer-term demographic changes across the peninsula, eroding one of Moscow's key objectives of integrating Crimea more deeply into Russia.

Wave of Strikes Hits Military Infrastructure

The latest assessment follows a large-scale Ukrainian drone operation targeting dozens of sites across Crimea.

Ukrainian officials said military and logistics facilities, including power infrastructure, radar stations, substations and an oil depot in Dzhankoi, were struck. Soon afterwards, Russian-installed authorities declared a regional state of emergency across Crimea and the city of Sevastopol, describing the measure as necessary to address administrative and economic issues.

Oil Pressure Mounts on the Kremlin

The ISW also argues that Ukraine's campaign is placing growing pressure on Russia's energy sector. Since March, repeated attacks on oil infrastructure have disrupted refining capacity and logistics, contributing to fuel shortages and rising prices in parts of Russia and occupied Ukrainian territory.

Against that backdrop, President Vladimir Putin has extended Russia's ban on oil exports that comply with the G7 and EU price cap until the end of 2027, a move analysts say is intended to demonstrate defiance despite mounting economic pressures.

Battle for Crimea Enters New Phase

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has described Ukraine's recent operations in Crimea as carefully planned and has argued that increased military support from Western allies could further accelerate pressure on Russian forces.

While Russia continues to maintain its grip on the occupied peninsula, analysts believe Kyiv's expanding strike campaign is steadily raising the military and political costs of holding Crimea, turning what Moscow once presented as a secure rear base into an increasingly contested theatre of war.

Russian tourists and troops are fleeing Crimea as Ukraine's attacks intensify, ISW says

Ukraine hits Moscow space hub again in deep drone strike

Ukraine says it has struck a key Russian space communications centre in the Moscow region for the second time in little more than a week, signalling an expanding campaign to disrupt military infrastructure far beyond the front line.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the overnight drone attack targeted a strategic satellite communications facility more than 500 kilometres from Ukraine's border, underscoring Kyiv's growing long-range strike capability.

Strategic Target Hit Again

According to Zelenskyy, the Dubna space communications centre supports Russian military reconnaissance and helps coordinate occupation forces operating in Ukraine.

The latest strike follows an earlier attack on June 22, when Ukraine said it damaged the site's 32-metre Mark-IV satellite antenna complex and an adjacent technical building. Ukrainian officials have not yet released an assessment of the latest damage.

Long-Range Campaign Expands

Zelenskyy said the attack forms part of a wider effort to degrade Russia's military infrastructure behind the battlefield.

He claimed Ukrainian forces have now struck four similar communications facilities, including sites in both the Moscow and Vladimir regions. Further operations against comparable targets are already being prepared, he said, as Kyiv seeks to make Russia's invasion harder to sustain.

Drone Pressure Reaches the Capital

The strike came during a wider overnight drone attack across the Moscow region. Videos circulating on social media appeared to show drones flying towards the Russian capital, although the footage has not been independently verified.

The latest operation highlights Ukraine's increasing ability to project force deep inside Russian territory, forcing Moscow to divert resources to defend strategic installations far from the front.

Battle Beyond the Front Line

Kyiv has increasingly targeted military, logistics and communications infrastructure inside Russia, arguing such facilities directly support Moscow's war effort.

As both sides intensify long-range attacks, the conflict is expanding well beyond the battlefield. Strategic assets hundreds of kilometres from the fighting are becoming regular targets, raising the pressure on Russia's military command while exposing the growing reach of Ukrainian drone operations

Ukraine strikes Moscow space communications center for second time, Zelenskyy says

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42 minutes ago, Roadsternut said:

Face palm. Not 2026. Not 2022. Not even 2014. And the photograph was not even taken in Ukraine.

The photo you posted is from 2007, and Poland. The flag in the background is that of a Polish fascist party. The man in the centre of the photograph is Tomasz Greniuch, who in 2019 was appointed head of the local branch of the Institute of National Remembrance in Opole, in southwestern Poland. At the time of the photograph, he was a member of the ONR "Obóz Narodowo-Radykalny", a revival of a pre-second world war fascist organisation. The revived organisation is profoundly anti-Ukrainian.

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https://www.timesofisrael.com/state-historian-in-poland-seen-in-pictures-from-2007-giving-nazi-salute/

https://www.jta.org/quick-reads/polish-historian-resigns-state-position-over-2007-photos-of-him-performing-nazi-salute

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/02/22/polish-ww2-war-crimes-historian-quits-outcry-nazi-salute-pictures/

https://wroclaw.tvp.pl/52479330/tomasz-greniuch-controversial-candidate-replaced

It's kind of academic.

There are such factions in most nations.

The point in THIS war is that fascist dictator Putin has falsely painted Ukraine as a Nazi nation and cynically conflating this war with the Soviet Great Patriotic War against the Nazis.

It is in no way a Nazi nation.

In THIS war it's the Russian side that is behaving like Nazis.

2 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

It's kind of academic.

There are such factions in most nations.

The point in THIS war is that fascist dictator Putin has falsely painted Ukraine as a Nazi nation and cynically conflating this war with the Soviet Great Patriotic War against the Nazis.

It is in no way a Nazi nation.

In THIS war it's the Russian side that is behaving like Nazis.

Wait, what? I thought Trump was a Nazi, no?

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