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Texas Republicans May Have Shot Themselves in the Foot

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Evidence from the recent election shows that Hispanic voters are souring on Trump. Not surprising considering that his immigration policy is much harsher than they expected. Which has affected many of their relatives and hurt their business. In addition, in South Texas, his push against Mexico has hurt local businesses and damaged voters. It turns out that Texas politicians weren't really so hyped on the redistricting plans since it depended on Hispanic voters voting at levels for Republicans similar to those in their recent past. But they had to render obeisance to Trump.

 

How the Republican Texas Redistricting Scheme Could Backfire  

    Before he called lawmakers back to Austin to redraw Texas’ congressional maps, Gov. Greg Abbott was initially resistant to the plan pushed by President Donald Trump’s political team to pick up new GOP seats through a rare mid-decade redistricting, according to two people who have spoken to Abbott and the White House about the behind-the-scenes discussions.  

    The majority of Texas’ GOP congressional delegation was also wary of the idea, with many members concerned that Republican map-drawers could miscalculate and spread their voters too thin—thus putting their jobs in jeopardy—while trying to flip Democratic seats, six people involved in internal delegation discussions told The Texas Tribune. 

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2025/08/01/trump-texas-map-could-backfire/

 

 

Democrats Won Big Because They Won Over Trump Supporters

The same story holds among Hispanic voters, who snapped back toward Democrats in both states. The exit polls in New Jersey found that Ms. Sherrill won a whopping 18 percent of Mr. Trump’s Hispanic support in the state (no figures were reported for Virginia, where the Hispanic vote is smaller).
Ms. Sherrill also seemed to benefit from a much stronger turnout among Democratic-leaning Hispanic voters. In the New Jersey exit poll, Hispanic voters who cast ballots in 2025 reported backing Ms. Harris by 25 points; in the actual 2024 election, Ms. Harris won Hispanic voters by just nine points, according to New York Times estimates.
Together, it was enough for Ms. Sherrill to win Hispanic voters by 37 points, according to the exit polls.

https://archive.ph/pNsG4#selection-495.0-495.56

 

Is the Hispanic Red Wave for Donald Trump Starting to Crash?

https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-the-southwest/is-the-hispanic-red-wave-for-donald-trump-starting-to-crash

The only reason I can think of that Hispanic voters switched to Trump this time around was because the Democrats fielded such a terrible candidate, and had nothing to offer.

 

If the Democrats can get their act together Trump and MAGA are doomed. And that can't happen soon enough. 

Hispanic/Latino voters need to vote in large numbers to have influence.

Texas had the 2nd lowest turnout of voters  for the last presidential election.

Hispanics/Latinos  have the lowest turnout/participation of voters (Black/White/Asia Pacific/Hispanic) and it is a significant gap in their participation.

 

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Latinos made up 40.2% of Texas' 2022, while the non-Hispanic white share was 39.8%. The development was first reported by The Texas Tribune. However, the latino population is young and skews to the under 21  age group, a  demographic that has a notoriously low  voter turnout,  and a male culture that is often aligned with the male themed politics of MAGA.

 

If anything is to change, there has to be more  voter participation form the Latino/Hispanic population.

7 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

The only reason I can think of that Hispanic voters switched to Trump this time around was because the Democrats fielded such a terrible candidate, and had nothing to offer.

 

If the Democrats can get their act together Trump and MAGA are doomed. And that can't happen soon enough. 

The Latinos I’ve known are generally very misogynistic it’s part of that machismo bs just like the Alfa nonsense the trumpers are on about.Please Dems no more female candidates for president we aren’t mature enough for that yet and the consequences are 2 high!!some one solid like mark Kelley …..I don’t think trumps masked thugs are helping out with the Latino voters as well.

8 hours ago, Alan Zweibel said:

Evidence from the recent election shows that Hispanic voters are souring on Trump. Not surprising considering that his immigration policy is much harsher than they expected. Which has affected many of their relatives and hurt their business. In addition, in South Texas, his push against Mexico has hurt local businesses and damaged voters. It turns out that Texas politicians weren't really so hyped on the redistricting plans since it depended on Hispanic voters voting at levels for Republicans similar to those in their recent past. But they had to render obeisance to Trump.

 

How the Republican Texas Redistricting Scheme Could Backfire  

    Before he called lawmakers back to Austin to redraw Texas’ congressional maps, Gov. Greg Abbott was initially resistant to the plan pushed by President Donald Trump’s political team to pick up new GOP seats through a rare mid-decade redistricting, according to two people who have spoken to Abbott and the White House about the behind-the-scenes discussions.  

    The majority of Texas’ GOP congressional delegation was also wary of the idea, with many members concerned that Republican map-drawers could miscalculate and spread their voters too thin—thus putting their jobs in jeopardy—while trying to flip Democratic seats, six people involved in internal delegation discussions told The Texas Tribune. 

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2025/08/01/trump-texas-map-could-backfire/

 

 

Democrats Won Big Because They Won Over Trump Supporters

The same story holds among Hispanic voters, who snapped back toward Democrats in both states. The exit polls in New Jersey found that Ms. Sherrill won a whopping 18 percent of Mr. Trump’s Hispanic support in the state (no figures were reported for Virginia, where the Hispanic vote is smaller).
Ms. Sherrill also seemed to benefit from a much stronger turnout among Democratic-leaning Hispanic voters. In the New Jersey exit poll, Hispanic voters who cast ballots in 2025 reported backing Ms. Harris by 25 points; in the actual 2024 election, Ms. Harris won Hispanic voters by just nine points, according to New York Times estimates.
Together, it was enough for Ms. Sherrill to win Hispanic voters by 37 points, according to the exit polls.

https://archive.ph/pNsG4#selection-495.0-495.56

 

Is the Hispanic Red Wave for Donald Trump Starting to Crash?

https://www.newyorker.com/news/letter-from-the-southwest/is-the-hispanic-red-wave-for-donald-trump-starting-to-crash

The election was 12 months ago

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