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No One Can Afford To Lose This Bruising Battle: Thai Talk


webfact

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If the Democrats can't win an absolute majority - and most public opinion polls suggest so - any attempt to form a coalition to pre-empt Pheu Thai would be met with strong "red-shirt" demonstrations that could further destabilise Thailand's politics.

If, after the election, the Democrats form a coalition along the same lines as they currently have, what reason will the red shirts use for their protests?

They've had their election (which they could have had 5-6 months ago). And the majority would have decided they don't want Thaksin in power.

What's to protest about?

I am afraid that you have hit a very important nail on the head. The thing that really hurts Thaksin is the knowledge that a coalition can be built against him. He would like to buy off the coalition partners and made several failed attempts to do so. The street violence last year and in 2009 was an attempt to break down the coalition. Now that the PTP is looking shaky the red lash-up does not exactly present a pinnacle of strength. A lame attempt to provoke something, anything, before the general election vote is taken is a desperate attempt to provide a rationale for back to the streets and more violence. It is all subordinate for what they want as the singular prize: the return of Thaksin the saviour.

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